Ten iterative steps in development and evaluation of environmental models

Environmental Modelling & Software - Tập 21 Số 5 - Trang 602-614 - 2006
Anthony J. Jakeman1,2, Rebecca Letcher3,2, J.P. Norton3,2
1Centre for Resource and Environmental Studies, The Australian National University, Canberra, ACT 0200, Australia
2Integrated Catchment Assessment and Management Centre, Building 48A, The Australian National University, Canberra, ACT 0200, Australia
3Department of Mathematics, The Australian National University, Canberra, ACT 0200, Australia

Tóm tắt

Từ khóa


Tài liệu tham khảo

Aber, 2003, Standards of practice for review and publication of models: summary of discussion

Bates, 1988

Beck, 2005, Vulnerability of water quality in intensively developing urban watersheds, Environmental Modelling and Software, 20, 381, 10.1016/j.envsoft.2004.02.002

Bellman, 1970, On structural identifiability, Mathematical Biosciences, 7, 329, 10.1016/0025-5564(70)90132-X

Beven, 2000

Caminiti, 2004, Catchment modelling – a resource manager's perspective, Environmental Modelling and Software, 19, 991, 10.1016/j.envsoft.2003.11.002

Checchi, 2005, Reliability of parameter estimation in respirometric models, Water Research, 39, 3686, 10.1016/j.watres.2005.06.021

Davis, 1995, Expert systems and environmental modelling, 505

Denzer, 2005, Generic integration of environmental decision support systems – state-of-the-art, Environmental Modelling and Software, 20, 1217, 10.1016/j.envsoft.2004.09.004

Fath, 2005, Elucidating public perceptions of environmental behavior: a case study of Lake Lanier, Environmental Modelling and Software, 20, 485, 10.1016/j.envsoft.2004.02.007

Forsyth, 1984, The expert systems phenomenon, 3

Funtowicz, 1990

Gawthrop, 1996

Gernaey, 2004, Activated sludge wastewater treatment plant modelling and simulation: state of the art, Environmental Modelling and Software, 19, 763, 10.1016/j.envsoft.2003.03.005

Grafton, 2004

Hare, 2003, Participatory modelling in natural resource management: a comparison of four case studies, Integrated Assessment, 4, 62, 10.1076/iaij.4.2.62.16706

Hawking, 1988

Hession, 2000, Watershed-level uncertainties; implications for phosphorus management and eutrophication, Journal of Environmental Quality, 29, 1172, 10.2134/jeq2000.00472425002900040019x

Jakeman, 1993, How much complexity is warranted in a rainfall–runoff model?, Water Resources Research, 29, 2637, 10.1029/93WR00877

1993

Janssen, 1988, Model structure selection for multivariable systems by cross-validation methods, International Journal of Control, 47, 1737, 10.1080/00207178808906133

Jolma, 2005, Methods of uncertainty treatment in environmental models, Environmental Modelling and Software, 20, 979, 10.1016/j.envsoft.2004.10.004

Jorgensen, 2001

Kidd, 1987, Knowledge acquisition an introductory framework

Konikow, 1992, Ground-water models cannot be validated, Advances in Water Resources, 15, 75, 10.1016/0309-1708(92)90033-X

Letcher, 2003, Application of an adaptive method for integrated assessment of water allocation issues in the Namoi River Catchment, Australia, Integrated Assessment, 4, 73, 10.1076/iaij.4.2.73.16708

Ljung, 1999

Marsili-Libelli, 2005, Identification of dynamic models for horizontal subsurface constructed wetlands, Ecological Modelling, 187, 201, 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2005.01.043

Mostert, E., Participation for sustainable water management. In: Giupponi, C., Jakeman, A., Karssenberg D., Hare M. (Eds.), Sustainable Management of Water Resources: An Integrated Approach. Edward Elgar, Cheltenham, UK, in press.

Murray-Darling Basin Commission, 2000

Norton, 1975, Optimal smoothing in the identification of linear time-varying systems, Proceedings of the Institution of Electrical Engineers, 122, 663, 10.1049/piee.1975.0183

Norton, 1986

Oreskes, 1994, Verification, validation, and confirmation of numerical models in the earth sciences, Science, 263, 641, 10.1126/science.263.5147.641

Parker, 2002, Progress in integrated assessment and modeling, Environmental Modelling and Software, 7, 209, 10.1016/S1364-8152(01)00059-7

Petersen, 2003, A simplified method to assess structurally identifiable parameters in Monod-based activated sludge models, Water Research, 38, 2893, 10.1016/S0043-1354(03)00114-3

Ravetz, 1997

Refsgaard, 2005, Quality assurance in model based water management – review of existing practice and outline of new approaches, Environmental Modelling and Software, 20, 1201, 10.1016/j.envsoft.2004.07.006

Reichert, 1997, On the usefulness of overparameterized ecological models, Ecological Modelling, 95, 289, 10.1016/S0304-3800(96)00043-9

Risbey, 1996, Assessing integrated assessments, Climatic Change, 34, 369, 10.1007/BF00139298

2000

Schmoldt, 1996

Seber, 1989

Seppelt, 2003

Söderström, 1989

STOWA/RIZA, 1999

Van der Sluijs, 2005, Combining quantitative and qualitative measures of uncertainty in model-based environmental assessment: the NUSAP system, Risk Analysis, 25, 481, 10.1111/j.1539-6924.2005.00604.x

Veres, 1991

Versyck, 1998, Optimal experimental design for practical identification of unstructured growth models, Mathematics and Computers in Simulation, 46, 621, 10.1016/S0378-4754(98)00091-3

2004

Walker, 2003, Defining uncertainty: a conceptual basis for uncertainty management in model-based decision support, Integrated Assessment, 4, 5, 10.1076/iaij.4.1.5.16466

Walter, 1997

Wellstead, 1979

Young, 1984

Young, 1993, Environmental modelling and the scientific method, 204