Synoptic airflow and UK daily precipitation extremes
Tóm tắt
Từ khóa
Tài liệu tham khảo
Akaike, H.: Information theory and an extension of the maximum likelihood principle. In: Petrov, B., Csaki, F. (eds.) 2nd International Symposium on Information Theory, pp. 267–281. Akademie Kiade, Budapest (1973)
Coles, S.: An Introduction to Statistical Modeling of Extreme Values. Springer Series in Statistics. Springer, Berlin (2001)
Cooley, D., Nychka, D., Naveau, P.: Bayesian spatial modeling of extreme precipitation return levels. J. Am. Stat. Assoc. 102(479), 824–840 (2007)
Cox, D.R., Hinkley, D.V.: Theoretical Statistics. Chapman & Hall, London (1994)
Ekström, M., Fowler, H.J., Kilsby, C.G., Jones, P.D.: New estimates of future changes in extreme rainfall across the UK using regional climate model integrations. 2. Future estimates and use in impact studies. J. Hydrol. 300, 234–251 (2005)
Embrechts, P., Klüppelberg, C., Mikosch, T.: Modelling Extremal Events for Insurance and Finance. Applications in Mathematics. Springer, Berlin (1997)
Fowler, H.J., Ekström, M., Kilsby, C.G., Jones, P.D.: New estimates of future changes in extreme rainfall across the UK using regional climate model integrations. 1. Assessment of control climate. J. Hydrol. 300, 212–233 (2005)
Friederichs, P., Hense, A.: Statistical downscaling of extreme precipitation events using censored quantile regression. Mon. Weather Rev. 135(6), 2365–2378 (2007)
Hall, J., Sayers, P., Dawson, R.: National-scale assessment of current and future flood risk in England and Wales. Nat. Hazards 36(1–2), 147–164 (2005)
Hastie, T.J., Tibshirani, R.J.: Generalized Additive Models. Chapman & Hall, London (1990)
Hosking, J.R.M., Wallis, J.R., Wood, E.F.: Estimation of the generalized extreme-value distribution by the method of probability-weighted moments. Technometrics 27(3), 251–261 (1985)
Jenkinson, A., Collison, F.: An initial climatology of gales over the North Sea. Technical report, Synoptic Climatology Branch Memorandum No. 62, Meteorological Office, Bracknell (1977)
Jones, P., Hulme, M., Briffa, K.: A comparison of lamb circulation types with an objective classification scheme. Int. J. Climatol. 13, 655–663 (1993)
Katz, R.W., Parlange, M.B., Naveau, P.: Statistics of extremes in hydrology. Adv. Water Resour. 25(8–12), 1287–1304 (2002)
Leadbetter, M.R., Lindgren, G., Rootzen, H.: Extremes and Related Properties of Random Sequences and Processes. Springer Series in Statistics. Springer, Berlin (1983)
Maraun, D., Osborn, T.J., Gillett, N.P.: United Kingdom daily precipitation intensity: Improved early data, error estimates and an update from 2000 to 2006. Int. J. Climatol. 28(6), 833–842. doi: 10.1002/joc.1672 (2008)
Maraun, D., Rust, H.W., Osborn, T.J.: The annual cycle of heavy precipitation across the UK: a model based on extreme value statistics. Int. J. Climatol. 29, 1731–1744 (2009). doi: 10.1002/joc.1811
Maraun, D., Rust, H.W., Osborn, T.J.: The influence of synoptic airflow on UK daily precipitation extremes. Part I: observed spatio-temporal relations. Clim. Dyn. (2010). doi: 10.1007/s00382-009-0710-9
Marshall, J., Kushnir, Y., Battisti, D., Chang, P., Czaja, A., Dickson, R., Hurrell, J., McCartney, M., Saravanan, R., Visbeck, M.: North Atlantic climate variability: phenomena, impacts and mechanisms. Int. J. Climatol. 21, 1863–1898 (2001)
Mestre, O., Hallegatte, S.: Predictors of tropical cyclone numbers and extreme hurricane intensities over the North Atlantic using generalised additive and linear models. J. Climate 22(3), 633–648 (2009)
Naveau, P., Nogaj, M., Ammann, C., Yiou, P., Cooley, D., Jomelli, V.: Statistical methods for the analysis of climate extremes. Comptes Rendus Geoscience 337(10–11), 1013–1022 (2005)
Osborn, T., Conway, D., Hulme, M., Gregory, J., Jones, P.: Air flow influences on local climate: observed and simulated mean relationships for the United Kingdom. Clim. Res. 13, 173–191 (1999)
Osborn, T.J., Hulme, M., Jones, P.D., Basnett, T.A.: Observed trends in the daily intensity of United Kingdom precipitation. Int. J. Climatol. 20, 347–364 (2000)
Ripley, B.D.: Methods and Models in Statistics. Chapter Selecting Amongst Large Classes of Models, pp. 155–170. Imperial College Press, London (2004)
Rust, H.W., Maraun, D., Osborn, T.J.: Modelling seasonality in extreme rainfall: a UK case study. Europ. Phys. J. Special Topics 174, 99–111 (2009)
Stone, M.: An asymptotic equivalence of choice of model by cross-validation and Akaike’s criterion. J. R. Stat. Soc., B 39, 44–47 (1977)
Yee, T.W., Stephenson, A.G.: Vector generalized linear and additive extreme value models. Extremes 10, 1–19 (2007)
Yee, T.W., Wild, C.J.: Vector generalized additive models. J. R. Stat. Soc., B 58, 481–493 (1996)