Stochastic model to assess bioeconomic impact of PRRS on pig farms in Costa Rica

Arango-Trujillo, J.C., 2020. Webinar: Costos de Producción Porcina [WWW Document]. URL 〈https://www.3tres3.com/guia333/empresas/vymisa-vitaminas-y-minerales-s-a/posts/5411〉 (accessed 9.13.22). Bermúdez-Zamora, J., 1996. Estudio de Prevalencia de anticuerpos a: Aujezky, Peste Porcina Clásica, Gastroenteritis transmisible, Coronavirus Respiratorio, Síndrome Reproductivo y Respiratorio Porcino en cerdos de Costa Rica. Universidad Nacional, Heredia, C.R. C.N.P. (Consejo Nacional de la Producción), 2022. Análisis y Monitoreo de Mercados - Porcinos. URL 〈https://www.cnp.go.cr/sim/porcinos.aspx〉 (accessed 9.13.22). Campabadal, C., 2009. Guía técnica para alimentación de cerdos: 46. URL 〈http://www.mag.go.cr/bibliotecavirtual/L02–7847.PDF〉 (accessed 9.13.22). Carpenter, 2009, The design and use of an agent-based model to simulate the 1918 influenza epidemic at Norway House, Manitoba, Am. J. Hum. Biol. . J. Hum. Biol. Counc., 21, 290, 10.1002/ajhb.20857 Castro-Mena, B., 2006. Seroprevalencia del virus del síndrome respiratorio y reproductivo porcino en las diferentes etapas de producción porcina en una granja comercial en Costa Rica. Universidad Nacional, Heredia, C.R. Castro-Villescas, C., 2022. Panorama económico de la porcicultura en Costa Rica durante los últimos 10 años [WWW Document]. URL 〈https://www.3tres3.com/latam/articulos/panorama-economico-porcicultura-costa-rica-ultimos-10-anos_13837/〉 (accessed 7.11.22). Collins, 1992, Isolation of swine infertility and respiratory syndrome virus (Isolate ATCC VR-2332) in North America and experimental reproduction of the disease in gnotobiotic pigs, J. Vet. Diagn. Invest., 4, 117, 10.1177/104063879200400201 Cuéllar-Sáenz, J.A., 2021. Heat stress in pigs: how to avoid it? [WWW Document]. Vet. Digit. URL 〈http://https%253A%252F%252Fwww.veterinariadigital.com%252Fen%252Farticulos%252Fheat-stress-in-pigs-how-to-avoid-it%252F〉 (accessed 9.13.22). Dijkhuizen, A.A., Huirne, R.B.M., Jalvingh, A.W., Stelwagen, J., 1997. Economic impact of common health and fertility problems. In: Dijkhuizen, A.A., Morris, R.S. (Eds.), Animal Health Economics: Principles and Applications. Post-Graduate Foundation in Veterinary Science, University of Sydney, pp. 41–58. Dolechek, 2018, Use of a stochastic simulation model to estimate the cost per case of digital dermatitis, sole ulcer, and white line disease by parity group and incidence timing, J. Dairy Sci., 102, 715, 10.3168/jds.2018-14901 Dürr, 2013, Differences in primary sites of infection between zoonotic and human Tuberculosis: results from a worldwide systematic review, PLoS Negl. Trop. Dis., 7, 10.1371/journal.pntd.0002399 Guzmán-Saborío, M., 2020. Prevalencia y caracterización molecular del virus del Síndrome Reproductivo y Respiratorio Porcino (PRRSV) en cerdos de producción de Costa Rica. Universidad Nacional, Costa Rica. Holtkamp, 2013, Assessment of the economic impact of porcine reproductive and respiratory syndrome virus on U.S. pork producers, J. Swine Health Prod., 21, 72 Liang, 2017, Estimating US dairy clinical disease costs with a stochastic simulation model, J. Dairy Sci., 100, 1472, 10.3168/jds.2016-11565 M.T.S.S. (Ministerio de Trabajo y Seguridad Social), 2022. Lista de salarios [WWW Document]. MTSS. URL 〈https://www.mtss.go.cr/temas-laborales/salarios/lista-salarios.html〉 (accessed 7.11.22). Martínez-Lobo, 2011, Porcine reproductive and respiratory syndrome virus isolates differ in their susceptibility to neutralization, Vaccine, 29, 6928, 10.1016/j.vaccine.2011.07.076 Meléndez, 2021, Seroprevalence of porcine reproductive and respiratory syndrome virus on swine farms in a tropical country of the Middle Americas: the case of Costa Rica, Trop. Anim. Health Prod., 53, 10.1007/s11250-021-02799-9 Nathues, 2017, Cost of porcine reproductive and respiratory syndrome virus at individual farm level - An economic disease model, Prev. Vet. Med., 142, 16, 10.1016/j.prevetmed.2017.04.006 Nathues, H., Alarcon, P., Rushton, J., Jolie, R., Fiebig, K., Jimenez, M., Geurts, V., Nathues, C., 2018. Modelling the economic efficiency of using different strategies to control Porcine Reproductive & Respiratory Syndrome at herd level. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.prevetmed.2018.02.005. Neumann, 2005, Assessment of the economic impact of porcine reproductive and respiratory syndrome on swine production in the United States, J. Am. Vet. Med. Assoc., 227, 385, 10.2460/javma.2005.227.385 Nieuwenhuis, 2012, Economic analysis of outbreaks of porcine reproductive and respiratory syndrome virus in nine sow herds, Vet. Rec., 170, 10.1136/vr.100101 Olanratmanee, 2011, Reproductive parameters following a PRRS outbreak where a whole-herd PRRS MLV vaccination strategy was instituted post-outbreak, Trop. Anim. Health Prod., 45, 1099, 10.1007/s11250-012-0332-9 Padilla-Pérez, 2007, Manual de Porcicultura, Minist. Agric. Ganad., 96 Palisade Corporation, 2009. @RISK analysis and simulation add-in for Microsoft Excel. Newfield, NY. USA. Patyk, 2013, An epidemiologic simulation model of the spread and control of highly pathogenic avian influenza (H5N1) among commercial and backyard poultry flocks in South Carolina, United States, Prev. Vet. Med., 110, 10.1016/j.prevetmed.2013.01.003 Pineda-Sáenz, N., 2001. Aislamiento y caracterización del virus del síndrome respiratorio y reproductivo porcino (PRRS) en tres fincas de Costa Rica. Universidad Nacional, Heredia, C. R. Rahmandad, 2008, Heterogeneity and network structure in the dynamics of diffusion: comparing agent-based and differential equation models, Manag. Sci., 54, 998, 10.1287/mnsc.1070.0787 Renken, 2021, Application of an economic calculator to determine the cost of porcine reproductive and respiratory syndrome at farm-level in 21 pig herds in Germany, Porc. Health Manag., 7, 10.1186/s40813-020-00183-x Salazar-Villanea, S., Dorado-Montenegro, S., 2018. Estudio UCR revela competitividad de la producción porcina en Costa Rica [WWW Document]. Univ. Costa Rica. URL 〈https://www.ucr.ac.cr/noticias/2018/06/28/estudio-ucr-revela-competitividad-de-la-produccion-porcina-en-costa-rica.html〉 (accessed 7.18.22). Sargent, R.G., 2011. Verification and validation of simulation models. Proceedings of the 2011 Winter Simulation Conference. S. Jain, R.R. Creasey, J. Himmelspach, K.P. White, and M. Fu, eds. 183–198. Soize, 2013, Stochastic modeling of uncertainties in computational structural dynamics—recent theoretical advances, J. Sound Vib., 332, 2379, 10.1016/j.jsv.2011.10.010 Ugalde-Morales, L.R., 1998. Estudio transversal mediante la relación entre la seroprevalencia de anticuerpos a parvovirus porcino, virus del síndrome respiratorio y reproductivo porcino, virus de la enfermedad de Aujeszky y paramixovirus la Piedad-Michoacán y parámetros reproductivos en cerdas de una granja comercial en Costa Rica. Universidad Nacional, Heredia, C.R. Valdes-Donoso, 2018, Production losses from an endemic animal disease: porcine reproductive and respiratory syndrome (PRRS) in selected midwest US sow farms, Front. Vet. Sci., 5, 10.3389/fvets.2018.00102 Vargas-Céspedes, A., Morales, M., Watler, W., Vignola, R., 2018. Ficha técnica del sector productivo porcino de Costa Rica. Velasova, 2012, Risk factors for porcine reproductive and respiratory syndrome virus infection and resulting challenges for effective disease surveillance, BMC Vet. Res., 8, 184, 10.1186/1746-6148-8-184 Wang, 2018, Cost of bovine respiratory disease in preweaned calves on US beef cow–calf operations (2011–2015), J. Am. Vet. Med. Assoc., 253, 624, 10.2460/javma.253.5.624 Wensvoort, 1993, Lelystad virus and the porcine epidemic abortion and respiratory syndrome, Vet. Res., 24, 117 Zhang, 2022, The economic impact of porcine reproductive and respiratory syndrome outbreak in four Chinese farms: based on cost and revenue analysis, Front. Vet. Sci., 9, 10.3389/fvets.2022.1024720 Zimmerman, 2012, Porcine reproductive and respiratory syndrome virus (porcine arterivirus), Dis. Swine, 387, 417