Species Distribution Models: Ecological Explanation and Prediction Across Space and Time

Annual Review of Ecology, Evolution, and Systematics - Tập 40 Số 1 - Trang 677-697 - 2009
Jane Elith1, John R. Leathwick2
1School of Botany, The University of Melbourne, Victoria 3010, Australia
2National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research, Hamilton, New Zealand

Tóm tắt

Species distribution models (SDMs) are numerical tools that combine observations of species occurrence or abundance with environmental estimates. They are used to gain ecological and evolutionary insights and to predict distributions across landscapes, sometimes requiring extrapolation in space and time. SDMs are now widely used across terrestrial, freshwater, and marine realms. Differences in methods between disciplines reflect both differences in species mobility and in “established use.” Model realism and robustness is influenced by selection of relevant predictors and modeling method, consideration of scale, how the interplay between environmental and geographic factors is handled, and the extent of extrapolation. Current linkages between SDM practice and ecological theory are often weak, hindering progress. Remaining challenges include: improvement of methods for modeling presence-only data and for model selection and evaluation; accounting for biotic interactions; and assessing model uncertainty.

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Annual Review of Ecology, Evolution, and Systematics

Tập 40 Số 1

677-697

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