Simulations of observed interannual variability of tropical cyclone formation east of Australia

Atmospheric Science Letters - Tập 4 - Trang 28-40 - 2003
Kevin J.E Walsh1, Jozef Syktus2
1CSIRO Atmospheric Research, Aspendale, Australia
2Queensland Department of Natural Resources and Mines, Natural Resource Sciences Australia, Indooroopilly, Australia

Tóm tắt

AbstractA modelling system comprising a regional climate model nested within a GCM is used to simulate the observed interannual variability of tropical cyclone formation off the east coast of Australia. The model's interannual variability of cyclone formation is weaker than that observed, with shortcomings in the model's simulation of vertical wind shear the likely cause. Copyright © 2003 Royal Meteorological Society. Published by Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.

Tài liệu tham khảo

10.1175/1520-0442(1995)008<1249:TCITSP>2.0.CO;2 Fiorino M. 2002.Analysis and forecasts of tropical cyclones in the ECMWF 40‐year reanalysis (ERA‐40). Preprints of the 25th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology San Diego 29th April–3rd May 2002 American Meteorological Society pp.261–264. 10.1175/1520-0442(1994)007<0375:RCCSOT>2.0.CO;2 10.1002/joc.636 10.1175/1520-0477(1999)080<2661:GSSTAM>2.0.CO;2 10.1175/1520-0477(1996)077<0437:TNYRP>2.0.CO;2 10.1175/1520-0442(1996)009<0115:AAGSFM>2.0.CO;2 McBride, J.L, 1995, Global perspectives on tropical cyclones, 63 10.1007/BF01025367 McGregor J.L. Katzfey J.J. 1998.Climate modelling for the Australian region using DARLAM. Proc. Int. Workshop on General Monsoon System Beijing October 20–22 1997. 10.1175/1520-0442(2001)014<3043:IDATGS>2.0.CO;2 10.1175/1520-0493(1979)107<1221:APMFPS>2.0.CO;2 10.1002/joc.3370040609 10.1175/1520-0493(1985)113<1144:POIVOA>2.0.CO;2 Nicholls, N., 1992, Recent performance of a method for forecasting Australian seasonal tropical cyclone activity, Aust. Meteorol. Mag., 40, 105 10.1175/1520-0493(1987)115<2598:MTMVOT>2.0.CO;2 10.1175/1520-0442(1996)009<1403:ROHSST>2.0.CO;2 10.2151/jmsj.80.249 10.1175/1520-0434(2002)016<0725:ADATSP>2.0.CO;2 10.1002/qj.49709139009 10.1175/1520-0442(1997)010<2240:TCLVIA>2.0.CO;2 10.1175/1520-0442(2000)013<1116:TIOCCO>2.0.CO;2 10.1175/1520-0493(1988)116<1032:TSARBA>2.0.CO;2 10.1175/1520-0442(2001)014<0533:SOATSF>2.0.CO;2 10.1175/1520-0442(1997)010<0745:SOIVOT>2.0.CO;2 10.1175/1520-0442(1999)012<3237:IOLSCO>2.0.CO;2 Walsh, K.J.E., 2003, Fine‐resolution regional climate model simulations of the impact of climate change on tropical cyclones near Australia, Clim. Dyn. 10.1029/97JD00342
Thông tin
Thông tin xuất bản

Atmospheric Science Letters

Tập 4

28-40

Thông tin tác giả