Significance of country-specific context in metal scarcity assessment from a perspective of short-term mining capacity

Resources, Conservation and Recycling - Tập 166 - Trang 105305 - 2021
Ryosuke Yokoi1, Keisuke Nansai2,3, Hiroki Hatayama1, Masaharu Motoshita1
1Research Institute of Science for Safety and Sustainability, National Institute of Advanced Industrial Science and Technology (AIST), 16-1 Onogawa, Tsukuba 305-8569, Japan
2Center for Material Cycles and Waste Management Research, National Institute for Environmental Studies, 16-2 Onogawa, Tsukuba 305-8506, Japan
3ISA, School of Physics, Faculty of Science, The University of Sydney, NSW 2006, Australia

Tài liệu tham khảo

Achzet, 2013, How to evaluate raw material supply risks – an overview, Resour. Policy, 38, 435, 10.1016/j.resourpol.2013.06.003 Ali, 2017, Mineral supply for sustainable development requires resource governance, Nature, 543, 367, 10.1038/nature21359 Arndt, 2017, Future Global Mineral Resources. Geochem, Perspect, 6, 1 Arrobas, 2017 Bach, 2016, Integrated method to assess resource efficiency - ESSENZ, J. Clean. Prod., 137, 118, 10.1016/j.jclepro.2016.07.077 Bustamante, 2018, Comparative Analysis of Supply Risk-Mitigation Strategies for Critical Byproduct Minerals: A Case Study of Tellurium, Environ. Sci. Technol., 52, 11, 10.1021/acs.est.7b03963 Calas, 2017, Mineral Resources and Sustainable Development, Elements, 13, 301, 10.2138/gselements.13.5.301 Connelly, 2005 Crowson, 2011, Mineral reserves and future minerals availability, Miner. Econ., 24, 1, 10.1007/s13563-011-0002-9 de Koning, 2018, Metal supply constraints for a low-carbon economy?, Resour. Conserv. Recycl, 129, 202, 10.1016/j.resconrec.2017.10.040 Drielsma, 2016, Abiotic Raw-Materials in Life Cycle Impact Assessments: An Emerging Consensus across Disciplines, Resources, 5, 12, 10.3390/resources5010012 Drielsma, 2016, Mineral resources in life cycle impact assessment – defining the path forward, Int. J. Life Cycle Assess., 21, 85, 10.1007/s11367-015-0991-7 Gordon, 2006, Metal stocks and sustainability, Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci., 103, 1209, 10.1073/pnas.0509498103 Graedel, 2012, Will metal scarcity impede routine industrial use? Mater. Res. Soc, Bull, 37, 325 Graedel, 2015, Six Years of Criticality Assessments, What Have We Learned So Far? J. Ind. Ecol., 20, 692 Guinée, 1995, A proposal for the definition of resource equivalency factors for use in product life-cycle assessment, Environ. Toxicol. Chem., 14, 917, 10.1002/etc.5620140525 Hatayama, 2015, Criticality Assessment of Metals for Japan's Resource Strategy, Mater. Trans., 56, 229, 10.2320/matertrans.M2014380 Henckens, 2014, Metal Scarcity and sustainability, analyzing the necessity to reduce the extraction of scarce metals, Resour. Conserv. Recycl., 93, 1, 10.1016/j.resconrec.2014.09.012 Hund, 2020 Jowitt, 2020, Future availability of non-renewable metal resources and the influence of environmental, social, and governance conflicts on metal production, Commun. Earth Environ., 1, 13, 10.1038/s43247-020-0011-0 Jowitt, 2018, The Critical Metals: An Overview and Opportunities and Concerns for the Future, Soc. Econ. Geolog. Special Public., 21, 25 Klinglmair, 2014, Assessing resource depletion in LCA: a review of methods and methodological issues, Int. J. Life Cycle Assess., 19, 580, 10.1007/s11367-013-0650-9 Kolotzek, 2018, A company-oriented model for the assessment of raw material supply risks, environmental impact and social implications, J. Clean. Prod., 176, 566, 10.1016/j.jclepro.2017.12.162 Lèbre, 2019, Source Risks As Constraints to Future Metal Supply, Environ. Sci. Technol., 53, 10571, 10.1021/acs.est.9b02808 Lee, 2020, Reviewing the material and metal security of low-carbon energy transitions, Renew. Sustain. Energy Rev., 124, 10.1016/j.rser.2020.109789 Mudd, 2010, The Environmental sustainability of mining in Australia: key mega-trends and looming constraints, Resour. Policy, 35, 98, 10.1016/j.resourpol.2009.12.001 Mudd, 2018, Growing Global Copper Resources, Reserves and Production: Discovery Is Not the Only Control on Supply, Econ. Geol., 113, 1235, 10.5382/econgeo.2018.4590 Mudd, 2018, Global Resource Assessments of Primary Metals: An Optimistic Reality Check, Nat. Resour. Res., 27, 229, 10.1007/s11053-017-9349-0 Mudd, 2013, A Detailed Assessment of Global Cu Resource Trends and Endowments, Econ. Geol., 108, 1163, 10.2113/econgeo.108.5.1163 Norgate, 2010, Low grade ore – Smelt, leach or concentrate? Miner, Eng, 23, 65 Northey, 2018, Unresolved Complexity in Assessments of Mineral Resource Depletion and Availability, Nat. Resour. Res., 27, 241, 10.1007/s11053-017-9352-5 Northey, 2017, The exposure of global base metal resources to water criticality, scarcity and climate change, Global Environ. Change, 44, 109, 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2017.04.004 Prior, 2012, Resource depletion, peak minerals and the implications for sustainable resource management, Grobal Environ. Change, 22, 577, 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2011.08.009 Rosenau-Tornow, 2009, Assessing the long-term supply risks for mineral raw materials – a combined evaluation of past and future trends, Resour. Policy, 34, 161, 10.1016/j.resourpol.2009.07.001 Schandl, 2017, Global Material Flows and Resource Productivity: Forty Years of Evidence, J. Ind. Ecol., 22, 827, 10.1111/jiec.12626 Schmidt, 2019, Scarcity and Environmental Impact of Mineral Resources – An Old and Never-Ending Discussion, Resources, 8 Schneider, 2014, The Economic resource scarcity potential (ESP) for evaluating resource use based on life cycle assessment, Int. J. Life Cycle Assess., 19, 601, 10.1007/s11367-013-0666-1 Scholz, 2013, Approaching a dynamic view on the availability of mineral resources: What we may learn from the case of phosphorus?, Global Environ. Change, 23, 11, 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2012.10.013 Schrijvers, 2020, A review of methods and data to determine raw material criticality, Resour. Conserv. Recycl., 155, 10.1016/j.resconrec.2019.104617 Schulze, 2020, Abiotic resource use in life cycle impact assessment—Part I- towards a common perspective, Resour. Conserv. Recycl., 154, 10.1016/j.resconrec.2019.104596 Schulze, 2020, Abiotic resource use in life cycle impact assessment—Part II – Linking perspectives and modelling concepts, Resour. Conserv. Recycl., 154, 10.1016/j.resconrec.2019.104596 Sonderegger, 2020, Mineral resources in life cycle impact assessment – part I: a critical review of existing methods, Int. J. Life Cycle Assess., 25, 784, 10.1007/s11367-020-01736-6 Sprecher, 2015, Framework for Resilience in Material Supply Chains, With a Case Study from the 2010 Rare Earth Crisis, Environ. Sci. Technol., 49, 6740, 10.1021/acs.est.5b00206 Tilton, 2007, Assessing the long-run availability of copper, Resour. Policy, 32, 19, 10.1016/j.resourpol.2007.04.001 UNEP, 2013. Environmental Risks and Challenges of Anthropogenic Metals Flows and Cycles. A Report of the Working Group on the Global Metal Flows to the international Resource Panel, Paris, France. USGS, 2001-2019. Mineral Commodity Summaries. https://www.usgs.gov/centers/nmic/mineral-commodity-summaries (accessed 20 September 2019). Vadenbo, 2014, Abiotic resources: new impact assessment approaches in view of resource efficiency and resource criticality – 55th Discussion Forum on Life Cycle Assessment, Zurich, Switzerland, April 11, 2014, Int. J. Life Cycle Assess., 19, 1686, 10.1007/s11367-014-0784-4 Valenta, 2019, Re-thinking complex orebodies: Consequences for the future world supply of copper, J. Clean. Prod., 220, 816, 10.1016/j.jclepro.2019.02.146 van Oers, 2002 van Oers, 2016, The Abiotic Depletion Potential: Background, Updates, and Future, Resources, 5, 16, 10.3390/resources5010016 Vivanco, 2017, Scarcity-weighted global land and metal footprints, Ecol. Indic., 83, 323, 10.1016/j.ecolind.2017.08.004 Watari, 2020, Global Metal Use Targets in Line with Climate Goals, Environ. Sci. Technol., 54, 12476, 10.1021/acs.est.0c02471