Seismicity analysis and machine learning models for short-term low magnitude seismic activity predictions in Cyprus

Soil Dynamics and Earthquake Engineering - Tập 130 - Trang 105932 - 2020
Khawaja M. Asim1, Sayed SR. Moustafa2,3, Iftikhar Azim Niaz4, Eslam A. Elawadi2,5, Talat Iqbal1, Francisco Martínez-Álvarez6
1Centre for Earthquake Studies, National Centre for Physics, Islamabad, Pakistan
2Department of Geology and Geophysics, King Saud University, Saudi Arabia
3National Research Institute of Astronomy and Geophysics (NRIAG), Egypt
4Department of Computer Science, COMSATS University, Islamabad, Pakistan
5Nuclear Materials Authority, Egypt
6Department of Computer Science, Pablo de Olavide University of Seville, Spain

Tài liệu tham khảo

Ozarisoy, 2018, An investigation of urban process and mass housing estates development through topographical formations in urban peripheries: a case study of Famagusta, Cyprus Land Use Policy, 79, 481, 10.1016/j.landusepol.2018.08.040 Varnava, 2009 Ergin, 2018, Lower crustal seismic activity in the Adana Basin (Eastern Mediterranean): possible connection to gravitational flexure, Tectonophysics, 730, 1, 10.1016/j.tecto.2018.02.015 Kythreoti, 2002 Ambraseys, 1993, vol. 5, 85 Çemen, 2017, vol. 225 Papadimitriou, 2006, Earthquake generation in Cyprus revealed by the evolving stress field, Tectonophysics, 423, 61, 10.1016/j.tecto.2006.03.014 Trovato, 2017, Landscape risk assessment model and decision support system for the protection of the natural and cultural heritage in the Eastern Mediterranean Area, Land, 6, 76, 10.3390/land6040076 Akis, 1996, vol. 17, 481 Çağnan, 2012, A new catalogue of eastern Mediterranean earthquakes, 2150 BC‐2011 Lammers, 2018, Towards a new harmonised earthquake catalogue for the euro-mediterranean region, 12225 Gülerce, 2017, Probabilistic seismic‐hazard assessment for East Anatolian fault zone using planar fault source models, Bull Seismol Soc Am, 107, 2353, 10.1785/0120170009 Pavel, 2016, An updated probabilistic seismic hazard assessment for Romania and comparison with the approach and outcomes of the SHARE project, Pure Appl Geophys, 173, 1881, 10.1007/s00024-015-1223-6 Asim, 2017, Earthquake magnitude prediction in Hindukush region using machine learning techniques, Nat Hazards, 85, 471, 10.1007/s11069-016-2579-3 Lomnitz, 1994, 103 Gutenberg, 1956, Earthquake magnitude, intensity, energy, and acceleration (second paper), Bull Seismol Soc Am, 46, 105, 10.1785/BSSA0460020105 Cortes, 1995, Support-vector networks Machine learning, 20, 273 Asim, 2018, Seismic indicators based earthquake predictor system using Genetic Programming and AdaBoost classification, Soil Dyn Earthq Eng, 111, 1, 10.1016/j.soildyn.2018.04.020 Morales-Esteban, 2013, Earthquake prediction in seismogenic areas of the Iberian Peninsula based on computational intelligence, Tectonophysics, 593, 121, 10.1016/j.tecto.2013.02.036 Adeli, 2009, vol. 22, 1018 Khosravikia, 2018, Neural network‐based equations for predicting PGA and PGV in Texas, Oklahoma, and Kansas Panakkat, 2007, Neural network models for earthquake magnitude prediction using multiple seismicity indicators, Int J Neural Syst, 17, 13, 10.1142/S0129065707000890 Asencio-Cortés, 2017, vol. 28, 1043 Ikram, 2015, Developing an expert system based on association rules and predicate logic for earthquake prediction, Knowl Based Syst, 75, 87, 10.1016/j.knosys.2014.11.024 Fernández-Gómez, 2017, Large earthquake magnitude prediction in Chile with imbalanced classifiers and ensemble learning, Appl Sci, 7, 625, 10.3390/app7060625 Asencio-Cortés, 2016, A sensitivity study of seismicity indicators in supervised learning to improve earthquake prediction, Knowl Based Syst, 101, 15, 10.1016/j.knosys.2016.02.014 Asim, 2018, Earthquake prediction model using support vector regressor and hybrid neural networks, PLoS One, 13, 10.1371/journal.pone.0199004 Ridder, 2017, Economic and social activities on ancient Cypriot terraced landscapes, J Environ Manag, 202, 514, 10.1016/j.jenvman.2016.12.037 Cagnan, 2010, Seismic hazard assessment for Cyprus, J Seismol, 14, 225, 10.1007/s10950-009-9163-1 Barka, 1997 Galanopoulos, 1965, The seismic activity in the Cyprus area, Prakt Akad Athenon, 40, 387 Comninakis, 1972, Seismicity of the eastern Mediterranean and some tectonic features of the Mediterranean ridge, Geol Soc Am Bull, 83, 1093, 10.1130/0016-7606(1972)83[1093:SOTEMA]2.0.CO;2 Robertson, 1993, Development of concepts concerning the Troodos ophiolite and adjacent units in, Cyprus Geological Society, London, Special Publications, 76, 85, 10.1144/GSL.SP.1993.076.01.05 Kinnaird, 2013, vol. 372, 585 Giardini, 1999, vol. 42 Papazachos, 1999, Lithospheric boundaries and plate motions in the Cyprus area, Tectonophysics, 308, 193, 10.1016/S0040-1951(99)00075-X Kossobokov, 1999, Testing earthquake prediction algorithms: statistically significant advance prediction of the largest earthquakes in the Circum-Pacific, 1992–1997, Phys Earth Planet Inter, 111, 187, 10.1016/S0031-9201(98)00159-9 Chouliaras, 2009, vol. 9, 905 Godey, 2006, The Euro-Mediterranean Bulletin: A comprehensive seismological Bulletin at regional scale Seismological Research Letters, 77, 460 Godey, 2009 Di Giacomo, 2015, ISC-GEM: global Instrumental Earthquake Catalogue (1900–2009), I. Data collection from early instrumental seismological bulletins, Phys Earth Planet Inter, 239, 14, 10.1016/j.pepi.2014.06.003 Matthews, 1988, Statistical methods for investigating quiescence and other temporal seismicity patterns, Pure Appl Geophys, 126, 357, 10.1007/BF00879003 Gutenberg, 1944, Frequency of earthquakes in California, Bull Seismol Soc Am, vol. 34, 185, 10.1785/BSSA0340040185 Gardner, 1974, Is the sequence of earthquakes in Southern California, with aftershocks removed, Poissonian?, Bull Seismol Soc Am, 64, 1363, 10.1785/BSSA0640051363 Zamani, 2013, Application of neural network and ANFIS model for earthquake occurrence in Iran, Earth Sci Inform, 6, 71, 10.1007/s12145-013-0112-8 Matthews, 1988, Statistical methods for investigating quiescence and other temporal seismicity patterns, Pure Appl Geophys, 126, 357, 10.1007/BF00879003 Habermann, 1988, Precursory seismic quiescence: past, present, and future, Pure Appl Geophys, 126, 279, 10.1007/BF00879000 Jaumé, 1999, Evolving towards a critical point: a review of accelerating seismic moment/energy release prior to large and great earthquakes, 279 Reyes, 2013, Neural networks to predict earthquakes in Chile, Appl Soft Comput, 13, 1314, 10.1016/j.asoc.2012.10.014 Kartalopoulos, 1997 Alarifi, 2012, Earthquakes magnitude predication using artificial neural network in northern Red Sea area, J King Saud Univ Sci, 24, 301, 10.1016/j.jksus.2011.05.002 Filletti, 2015, Predicting of the fibrous filters efficiency for the removal particles from gas stream by artificial neural network, Adv Chem Eng Sci, 5, 317, 10.4236/aces.2015.53033 Cortes, 1995, Support-vector networks Machine learning, 20, 273 Munther, 2016, A performance study of hidden Markov model and random forest in internet traffic classification, 319 Cristianini, 2000 Breiman, 2001, Random forests Machine learning, 45, 5, 10.1023/A:1010933404324