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Sự hội tụ trong tiêu thụ năng lượng từ góc độ các nước đang phát triển: Trường hợp của Thổ Nhĩ Kỳ
Tóm tắt
Các nghiên cứu gần đây về sự hội tụ trong tiêu thụ năng lượng ở cấp ngành trong một quốc gia cho thấy, tiêu thụ năng lượng tổng hợp có thể che giấu những tác động khác biệt đáng kể mà có thể quan sát được ở cấp ngành. Nghiên cứu này nhằm đóng góp và bổ sung vào tài liệu hiện có về sự hội tụ với nỗ lực phân tích sự hội tụ theo ngành trong tiêu thụ năng lượng từ góc độ các nước đang phát triển. Để đạt được mục tiêu này, chúng tôi chọn Thổ Nhĩ Kỳ là một quốc gia đang phát triển và sử dụng cả hai thử nghiệm đơn vị gốc thông thường và phương pháp hồi quy bậc hai tăng cường các bình phương dư - Lagrange multiplier (RALS-LM) để nghiên cứu sự hội tụ ngẫu nhiên có điều kiện trong tiêu thụ năng lượng trên đầu người ở cấp ngành. Những phát hiện của chúng tôi cho thấy một số kết quả thú vị có thể liên quan đến tiêu thụ năng lượng theo ngành đối với các nước đang phát triển. Mặc dù tiêu thụ năng lượng ở Thổ Nhĩ Kỳ có xu hướng tăng lên, nhưng các ngành hàng đầu về tiêu thụ năng lượng của ngành công nghiệp và vận tải theo đầu người lại phân kỳ khỏi mức tiêu thụ trung bình và do đó dẫn đến việc tăng thêm trong tiêu thụ năng lượng và phát thải liên quan đến năng lượng. Hơn nữa, nông nghiệp và các ngành khác, với giá trị tiêu thụ trên đầu người dưới mức trung bình, đang hội tụ về mức trung bình. Tóm lại, xu hướng tiêu thụ năng lượng theo ngành của Thổ Nhĩ Kỳ theo các mô hình của các nước đang phát triển, và những phát hiện thực nghiệm cho thấy rằng xu hướng này rất đáng lo ngại từ góc độ bền vững.
Từ khóa
#hội tụ #tiêu thụ năng lượng #Thổ Nhĩ Kỳ #quốc gia đang phát triển #phát thải năng lượngTài liệu tham khảo
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