Dự đoán theo mùa lượng mưa mùa hè ở Bangladesh sử dụng mô hình hồi quy tuyến tính đơn giản

Chang C P, Harr P and Ju J 2001 Possible roles of Atlantic circulations on the weakening Indian Monsoon rainfall–ENSO relationship; J. Climate 14 2376–2380. Clark C O, Cole J E and Webster P J 2000 Indian Ocean SST and Indian summer rainfall: Predictive relationships and their decadal variability; J. Climate 13 2503–2519. Delsole T and Shukla J 2002 Linear prediction of the Indian monsoon rainfall. Centre for Ocean–Land–Atmosphere Studies (COLA); Tech. Rep. 46 52. Gadgil S, Rajeevan M and Nanjundiah R 2005 Monsoon prediction – why yet another failure?; Curr. Sci. 88 1389–1400. Hastenrath S 1988 Prediciton of Indian monsoon rainfall: Further exploration; Bull. Am. Meteor. Soc. 69 819–825. Helsel D R and Hirsch R M 1995 Statistical methods in water resources; New York: Elsevier. Iyengar R N and Raghukanth S T G 2004 Intrinsic mode functions and a strategy for forecasting Indian monsoon rainfall; Meteorol. Atmos. Phys. 90 17–36. Kalnay E et al. 1996 The NCEP/NCAR 40-year reanalysis project; Bull. Am. Meteor. Soc. 77 437–470. Kang I-S, Jin K, Wang B, Lau K-M, Shukla J, Krishnamurthy V, Schubert S D, Waliser D E, Stern W F, Kitoh A, Meehl G A, Kanamitsu M, Galin V Y, Satyan V, Park C K and Liu Q 2002 Intercomparison of the climatological variations of Asian summer monsoon precipitation simulated by 10 GCMs; Clim. Dyn. 19 383–395. Kishtawal C M, Basu S, Patadia F and Thapliyal P K 2003 Forecasting summer monsoon rainfall over India using genetic algorithm; Geophys. Res. Lett. 30(23) 2203, doi: 10.1029/2003GL018504. Krishna Kumar K, Soman M K and Rupa Kumar K 1995 Seasonal forecasting of Indian summer monsoon rainfall; Weather 50 449–467. Krishna Kumar K, Hoerling M and Rajagopalan B 2005 Advancing dynamical prediction of Indian monsoon rainfall; Geophys. Res. Lett. 32 L08704, doi: 10.1029/2004GL021979. Krishnamurti T N, Kishtawal C M, La Row T E, Bachiochi D R, Zhang Z, Williford C E, Gadgil S and Surendran S 2000 Multimodel ensemble forecasts for weather and seasonal climate; J. Climate 13 4196–4216. Latif M, Stockdale T, Wolff J, Burgers G, Maier-Reimer E, Junge M M, Arpe K and Bengtsson L 1994 Climatology and variability in the ECHAM coupled GCM; Tellus 46A 351–366. McCabe G and Dettinger M D 2002 Primary modes and predictability of year-to-year snowpack variations in the western United States from teleconnections with Pacific Ocean climate; J. Hydrometeor. 3 13–25. Narkhedkar S G, Sinha S K and Mukhopadhyay P 2010 Rainfall analysis using conventional and non-conventional rainfall information on monthly scale; Atmosfera 23(2) 141–164. Ntale H K, Gan T Y and Mwale D 2003 Prediction of East African seasonal rainfall using canonical correlation analysis; J. Climate 16(12) 2105–2112. Pai D S and Rajeevan M 2006 Long range prediction models for the Indian summer monsoon rainfall with different lead time periods based on the global SST anomalies; Meteorol. Atmos. Phys. 92 33–43. Piechota T C, Chiew F H S, Dracup J A and McMahon T A 2001 Development of an exceedence probability streamflow forecast; J. Hydrol. Eng. 6(1) 20–28. Rahman M M 2006 A validation of regional climate model simulation with observational data over Bangladesh: M. Phil. thesis, Bangladesh University of Engineering & Technology (BUET) Library, Dhaka, Bangladesh. Rajeevan M 2001 Prediction of Indian summer monsoon: Status, problems and prospects; Curr. Sci. 11 1451–1457. Rajeevan M, Pai D S and Anil Kumar R 2005 New statistical models for long range forecasting of southwest monsoon rainfall over India; NCC Research Report No 1/2005, India Meteorological Department, Pune, India. Rajeevan M, Pai D S and Anil Kumar R 2006 New statistical models for long range forecasting of southwest monsoon rainfall over India; Clim. Dyn., doi: 10.1007/s00382-006-0197-6. Sadhuram Y, Murthy T and Ramana V 2007 Simple Multiple Regression Model for long range forecasting of Indian summer monsoon rainfall; Meteorol. Atmos. Phys., doi: 10.1007/s00703-007-0277. Shabbar A and Barnston G A 1996 Skill of seasonal climate forecasts in Canada using canonical correlation analysis; Mon. Weather Rev. 124 2370–2385. Singh O P and Pai D S 1996 An oceanic model for the prediction of SW monsoon rainfall over India; Mausam 47 91–98. Smith T M and Reynolds R W 2004 Improved extended reconstruction of SST (1854–1997); J. Climate 17 2466–2477. Thapliyal V 1982 Stochastic dynamic model for long range forecasting of summer monsoon rainfall in peninsular India; Mausam 33 399–404. Thapliyal V and Kulshreshtha S 1992 Recent models for long range forecasting of southwest monsoon rainfall over India; J. Arid Environ. 43 239–248. Walker G T 1923 Correlation in seasonal variations of weather; Meteorol. Dept. 24 75–131. Walker G T 1924 Correlation in seasonal variations of weather-IV, a further study of world weather; India Meteorol. Dept. Memoir 24 275–332. Webster P J, Moore A M, Loschnigg J P and Leben R R 1999 Coupled ocean–atmosphere dynamics in the Indian Ocean during 1997–98; Nature 40 356–360.