Scandinavian floods: From past observations to future trends

Andersson, 2010, Late Holocene climate change in central Sweden inferred from lacustrine stable isotope data, J. Quatern. Sci., 25, 1305, 10.1002/jqs.1415 Andreasson, 2004, Hydrological change—climate change impact simulations for sweden, Ambio, 33, 228, 10.1579/0044-7447-33.4.228 Arnell, 2002 Bader, 2011, A review on Northern Hemisphere sea-ice, storminess and the North Atlantic Oscillation: observations and projected changes, Atmos. Res., 101, 809, 10.1016/j.atmosres.2011.04.007 Baker, 1987, Paleoflood hydrology and extreme flood events, J. Hydrol., 96, 79, 10.1016/0022-1694(87)90145-4 Bakke, 2005, Utilizing physical sediment variability in glacier-fed lakes for continuous glacier reconstructions during the Holocene, northern Folgefonna, western Norway, The Holocene, 15, 161, 10.1191/0959683605hl797rp Bakke, 2010, A complete record of Holocene glacier variability at Austre Okstindbreen, northern Norway: an integrated approach, Quat. Sci. Rev., 29, 1246, 10.1016/j.quascirev.2010.02.012 Ballantyne, 1989, The Loch Lomond readvance on the Island of Skye, Scotland: glacier reconstruction and paleoclimatic implications, J. Quatern. Sci., 4, 95, 10.1002/jqs.3390040201 Barnett, 2001, Holocene climatic change and tree-line response in Leirdalen, central Jotunheimen, south central Norway, Rev. Palaeobot. Palynol., 117, 119, 10.1016/S0034-6667(01)00081-1 Beniston, 2012, Is snow in the Alps receding or disappearing?, WIREs Clim. Chang, 10.1002/wcc.179 Benito, 2008, Paleoflood and floodplain records from Spain: evidence for long-term climate variability and environmental changes, Geomorphology, 101, 68, 10.1016/j.geomorph.2008.05.020 Bergström, 2001, Climate change impacts on runoff in Sweden—assessments by global climate models, dynamical downscaling and hydrological modeling, Clim. Res., 16, 101, 10.3354/cr016101 Bjune, 2005, Holocene mean July temperature and winter precipitation in western Norway inferred from palynological and glaciological lake-sediment proxies, The Holocene, 15, 177, 10.1191/0959683605hl798rp Bøe, 2006, Holocene river foods in the upper Glomma catchment, southern Norway: a high-resolution multiproxy record from lacustrine sediments, The Holocene, 16, 445, 10.1191/0959683606hl940rp Brown, 2009, The response of northern hemisphere snow cover to a changing climate, J. Clim., 22, 2124, 10.1175/2008JCLI2665.1 Brown, 2000, 10 000yr record of extreme hydrologic events, Geology, 28, 335, 10.1130/0091-7613(2000)28<335:YROEHE>2.0.CO;2 Cassou, 2008, Intraseasonal interaction between the Madden-Julian Oscillation and the North Atlantic Oscillation, Nature, 455, 523, 10.1038/nature07286 Dahl, 1996, A new approach to calculating Holocene winter precipitation by combining glacier equilibrium-line altitudes and pine-tree limits: a case study from Hardangerjøkulen, central southern Norway, The Holocene, 6, 381, 10.1177/095968369600600401 Dasgupta, 2010, Three thousand years of extreme rainfall events recorded in stalagmites from Spring Valley Caverns, Minnesota, Earth Planet. Sci. Lett., 10.1016/j.epsl.2010.09.032 Davis, 2003, The temperature of Europe during the Holocene reconstructed from pollen data, Quat. Sci. Rev., 22, 1701, 10.1016/S0277-3791(03)00173-2 Derksen, 2012, Spring snow cover extent reductions in the 2008–2012 period exceeding climate model projections, Geophys. Res. Lett., 39, 10.1029/2012GL053387 Ely, 1997, Response of extreme floods in the southwestern United States to climatic variations in the late Holocene, Geomorphology, 19, 175, 10.1016/S0169-555X(97)00014-7 Gillett, 2002, How linear is the Arctic Oscillation response to greenhouse gases?, J. Geophys. Res., 107, D3, 10.1029/2001JD000589 Gilli, 2003, A 600-year sedimentary record of flood events from two sub-alpine lakes (Schwendiseen, Northeastern Switzerland), Ecol. Geol. Helv., 96, S49 Glaser, 2010, The variability of European floods since AD 1500, Clim. Chang., 101, 235, 10.1007/s10584-010-9816-7 Glur, 2013, Frequent floods in the European Alps coincide with cooler periods of the past 2500years, Sci. Rep., 3, 2770, 10.1038/srep02770 Gottschalk, 1979, Hydrologic regions in the Nordic countries, Nord. Hydrol., 10, 273, 10.2166/nh.1979.0010 Hanssen-Bauer, 2009, Klima i Norge 2100 Hegerl, 2011, Elusive extremes, Nat. Geosci., 4, 142, 10.1038/ngeo1090 Hurrel, 1995, Decadal trends in the North Atlantic Oscillation: regional temperatures and precipitation, Science, 269, 676, 10.1126/science.269.5224.676 IPCC, 2007 IPCC, 2012, Managing the risks of extreme events and disasters to advance climate change adaptation. A special report of Working Groups I and II of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, 582 Jacobeit, 2003, Links between flood events in central Europe since AD 1500 and large-scale atmospheric circulation modes, Geophys. Res. Lett., 30, 1172, 10.1029/2002GL016433 Jacobeit, 2003, Atmospheric circulation variability in the North-Atlantic-European area since the mid-seventeenth century, Clim. Dyn., 20, 341, 10.1007/s00382-002-0278-0 Karlén, 1976, Lacustrine sediments and tree-limit variations as indicators of Holocene climatic fluctuations in Lappland: Northern Sweden, Geogr. Ann., 58A, 1, 10.2307/520740 Knox, 1993, Large increases in flood magnitude in response to modest changes in climate, Nature, 361, 430, 10.1038/361430a0 Knox, 2000, Sensitivity of modern and Holocene floods to climate change, Quart. Sci. Rev., 19, 439, 10.1016/S0277-3791(99)00074-8 Lawrece, 2011, Hydrological projections for floods in Norway under a future climate Leonard, 1984, Late Pleistocene equilibrium-line altitudes and snow accumulation patterns, San Juan Mountains, Colorado, USA, Arctic Alpine Res., 16, 65, 10.2307/1551173 Li, 1997, δ13C and δ18O covariance as a paleohydrological indicator for closed-basin lakes, Palaeogeogr. Palaeoclimatol. Palaeoecol., 133, 69, 10.1016/S0031-0182(96)00153-8 Lie, 2003, A theoretical approach to glacier equilibrium-line altitudes using meteorological data and glacier mass-balance records from southern Norway, The Holocene, 13, 365, 10.1191/0959683603hl629rp Lilleøren, 2012, The relative age of mountain permafrost—estimation of Holocene permafrost limits in Norway, Glob. Planet. Chang., 92–93, 209, 10.1016/j.gloplacha.2012.05.016 Mahlstein, 2012, Perceptible changes in regional precipitation in a future climate, Geophys. Res. Lett., 39, 10.1029/2011GL050738 Matthews, 2005, Holocene glacier history of Bjørnbreen and climatic reconstruction in central Jotunheimen, Norway, based on proximal glaciofluvial stream-bank mires, Quat. Sci. Rev., 24, 67, 10.1016/j.quascirev.2004.07.003 Moreno, 2008, Flood response to rainfall variability during the last 2000years inferred from the Taravilla Lake record (Central Iberian Range, Spain), J. Paleolimnol., 40, 943, 10.1007/s10933-008-9209-3 Nesje, 2009, Latest Pleistocene and Holocene alpine glacier fluctuations in Scandinavia, Quat. Sci. Rev., 28, 2119, 10.1016/j.quascirev.2008.12.016 Nesje, A. 2012. Personal Communication. Nesje, 2000, Is the North Atlantic Oscillation reflected in Scandinavian glacier mass balance records?, J. Quatern. Sci., 15, 587, 10.1002/1099-1417(200009)15:6<587::AID-JQS533>3.0.CO;2-2 Nesje, 2001, A 4500-year history of river floods from eastern Norway: high resolution evidence from lacustrine sediments in Atnsjøern, J. Paleolimnol., 25, 329, 10.1023/A:1011197507174 Nesje, 2001, Holocene glacier fluctuations of Flatebreen and winter-precipitation changes in the Jostedalsbreen region, western Norway, based on glaciolacustrine sediment records, The Holocene, 11, 267, 10.1191/095968301669980885 Nesje, 2006, Holocene palaeoclimate reconstructions at Vanndalsvatnet, western Norway, with particular reference to the 8200cal. yr BP event, The Holocene, 16, 717, 10.1191/0959683606hl954rp Nijssen, 2001, Hydrologic sensitivity of global rivers to climate change, Clim. Chang., 50, 143, 10.1023/A:1010616428763 Nordli, 2005, Glacier mass balance in southern Norway modelled by circulation indices and spring–summer temperatures AD 1781–2000, Geogr. Ann., 87A, 431, 10.1111/j.0435-3676.2005.00269.x Ohmura, 1992, Climate at the equilibrium line of glaciers, J. Glaciol., 38, 397, 10.1017/S0022143000002276 Paasche, 2007, Cirque glacier activity in arctic Norway during the last deglaciation, Quat. Res., 68, 387, 10.1016/j.yqres.2007.07.006 Post, 2011, A complex relationship between calving glaciers and climate, EOS Trans. Am. Geophys., 92, 305, 10.1029/2011EO370001 Renssen, 2012, Global characterization of the Holocene Thermal Maximum, Quat. Sci. Rev., 48, 7, 10.1016/j.quascirev.2012.05.022 Roald, 2002, The large flood of 1860 in Norway, 38 Schuler, 2006, Snow cover and snow water equivalent in Norway: current conditions (1961–1990) and scenarios for the future (2071–2100) Seppä, 2009, Last nine-thousand years of temperature variability in Northern Europe, Clim. Past Disc., 5, 1521, 10.5194/cpd-5-1521-2009 Shorthouse, 1999, The effects of climatic variability on spatial characteristics of European river flows, Phys. Chem. Earth B, 24, 7, 10.1016/S1464-1909(98)00003-3 Sissons, 1979, Palaeoclimatic inferences from former glaciers in Scotland and the Lake District, Nature, 278, 518, 10.1038/278518a0 Støren, 2010, Identifying the sedimentary imprint of high-frequency Holocene river floods in lake sediments: development and application of a new method, Quat. Sci. Rev., 29, 3021, 10.1016/j.quascirev.2010.06.038 Støren, 2012, Linking past flood frequencies in Norway to regional atmospheric circulation anomalies, J. Quatern. Sci., 27, 71, 10.1002/jqs.1520 Sutherland, 1984, Modern glacier characteristics as a basis for inferring former climates with particular reference to the Loch Lomond stadial, Quat. Sci. Rev., 3, 291, 10.1016/0277-3791(84)90010-6 Swierczynski, 2013, Mid- to late Holocene flood frequency changes in the northeastern Alps as recorded in varved sediments of Lake Mondsee (Upper Austria), Quat. Sci. Rev., 80, 78, 10.1016/j.quascirev.2013.08.018 Talbot, 1990, A review of the palaeohydrological interpretation of carbon and oxygen isotopic ratios in primary lacustrine carbonates, Chem. Geol. Isot. Geosci. Sec., 80, 261, 10.1016/0168-9622(90)90009-2 Thorndycraft, 2006, Late Holocene fluvial chronology of Spain: the role of climatic variability and human impact, Catena, 66, 34, 10.1016/j.catena.2005.07.007 Trenberth, 2011, Changes in precipitation with climate change, Clim. Res., 47, 123, 10.3354/cr00953 Trenberth, 2007, Observations: surface and atmospheric climate change Tveito, 2005, Relations between long-term variations in seasonal runoff and large scale atmospheric circulation patterns, no. 7 Uvo, 2003, Analysis and regionalization of Northern European winter precipitation based on its relationship with the North Atlantic Oscillation, Int. J. Climatol., 23, 1185, 10.1002/joc.930 Vannière, 2013, Orbital changes, variation in solar activity and increased anthropogenic activities: controls on the Holocene flood frequency in the Lake Ledro area, Northern Italy, Clim. Past, 9, 1193, 10.5194/cp-9-1193-2013 Vasskog, 2011, A Holocene record of snow-avalanche and flood activity reconstructed from a lacustrine sedimentary sequence in Oldevatnet, western Norway, The Holocene, 21, 1, 10.1177/0959683610391316 Wilhelm, 2012, 1400yr of extreme precipitation patterns over the Mediterranean French Alps and possible forcing mechanisms, Quat. Res., 78, 1, 10.1016/j.yqres.2012.03.003 Wilhelm, 2013, Palaeoflood activity and climate change over the last 1400 years recorded by lake sediments in the north-west European Alps, J. of Quatern Sci, 28, 189, 10.1002/jqs.2609 Wilson, 2010, Has streamflow changed in the Nordic countries?—recent trends and comparisons to hydrological projections, J. Hydrol., 394, 334, 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2010.09.010 Wirth, 2013, Holocene flood frequency across the Central Alps—solar forcing and evidence for variations in North Atlantic atmospheric circulation, Quat. Sci. Rev., 80, 112, 10.1016/j.quascirev.2013.09.002 Wirth, 2013, A 2000year long seasonal record of floods in the southern European Alps, Geophys. Res. Lett., 40, 4025, 10.1002/grl.50741 Yde, 2010, Reconstructing climate change: not all glaciers suitable, EOS Trans. Am. Geophys., 91, 189, 10.1029/2010EO210001