Responses of crop yield and water use efficiency to climate change in the North China Plain
Tóm tắt
Từ khóa
Tài liệu tham khảo
Abraha, 2006, Potential impacts of climate change on the grain yield of maize for the midlands of KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa, Agriculture Ecosystems and Environment, 115, 150, 10.1016/j.agee.2005.12.020
Alexandrov, 2001, Impact of climate variability and change on crop yield in Bulgaria, Agricultural Forest Meteorology, 104, 315, 10.1016/S0168-1923(00)00166-0
Anwar, 2007, Climate change impact on rainfed wheat in south-eastern Australia, Field Crops Research, 104, 139, 10.1016/j.fcr.2007.03.020
Bender, 1999, Growth and yield responses of spring wheat to increasing carbon dioxide, ozone and physiological stresses: a statistical analysis of ‘ESPACE-wheat’ results, European Journal of Agronomy, 10, 185, 10.1016/S1161-0301(99)00009-X
Brown, 2000, Potential production and environment effects of switchgrass and traditional crops under current and greenhouse-altered climate in the central United States: a simulation study, Agriculture, Ecosystems and Environment, 78, 31, 10.1016/S0167-8809(99)00115-2
Challinor, 2005, Simulation of the impact of high temperature stress on annual crop yields, Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 135, 180, 10.1016/j.agrformet.2005.11.015
Challinor, 2008, Crop yield reduction in the tropics under climate change: processes and uncertainties, Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 148, 343, 10.1016/j.agrformet.2007.09.015
Chartzoulakis, 2005, Global change effects on crop photosynthesis and production in Mediterranean: the case of Crete, Greece, Agriculture, Ecosystems and Environment, 106, 147, 10.1016/j.agee.2004.10.004
de Costa, 2006, Physiology of yield determination of rice under elevated carbon dioxide at high temperatures in a subhumid tropical climate, Field Crops Research, 96, 336, 10.1016/j.fcr.2005.08.002
Dhakhwa, 1997, Maize growth: assessing the effects of global warming and CO, fertilization with crop models, Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 87, 253, 10.1016/S0168-1923(97)00030-0
Dhungana, 2006, Designing crop technology for a future climate: an example using response surface methodology and the CERES-Wheat model, Agricultural Systems, 87, 63, 10.1016/j.agsy.2004.11.004
Eckersten, 2001, Modelling C, N, water and heat dynamics in winter wheat under climate change in southern Sweden, Agriculture Ecosystems and Environment, 86, 221, 10.1016/S0167-8809(00)00284-X
Ewert, 2002, Effects of elevated CO2 and drought on wheat: testing crop simulation models for different experimental and climatic conditions, Agriculture, Ecosystems and Environment, 93, 249, 10.1016/S0167-8809(01)00352-8
Fuhrer, 2003, Agroecosystem responses to combinations of elevated CO2, ozone, and global climate change, Agriculture Ecosystems and Environment, 97, 1, 10.1016/S0167-8809(03)00125-7
Giorgi, 2005, Updated regional precipitation and temperature changes for the 21st century from ensamples of recent AOGCM simulations, Geophysics Research Letters, 32, L21715, 10.1029/2005GL024288
Gregory, 2000, Global change and food and forest production: future scientific challenges, Agriculture, Ecosystems and Environment, 82, 3, 10.1016/S0167-8809(00)00212-7
Hussain, 2007, Prospects for wheat production under changing climate in mountain areas of Pakistan—an econometric analysis, Agricultural Systems, 94, 494, 10.1016/j.agsy.2006.12.001
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate change (IPCC), 2001
Izaurralde, 2003, Integrated assessment of Hayley Center (HadCM2) climate-change impacts on agricultural productivity and irrigation water supply in the conterminous United States, Part II. Regional agricultural production in 2030 and 2090, Agriculture and Forest Meteorology, 117, 97, 10.1016/S0168-1923(03)00024-8
Jones, 2003, The potential impacts of climate change on maize production in Africa and Latin America in 2055, Global Environmental Change, 13, 51, 10.1016/S0959-3780(02)00090-0
Körner, 2002, Modeling temperature effects on crop photosynthesis at high radiation in a solar greenhouse, Acta Horticulturae (ISHS), 593, 137, 10.17660/ActaHortic.2002.593.17
Krishnan, 2007, Impact of elevated CO2 and temperature on rice yield and methods of adaptation as evaluated by crop simulation studies, Agriculture, Ecosystems and Environment, 122, 233, 10.1016/j.agee.2007.01.019
Lin, 1996, Agricultural vulnerability and adaptation to global warming in China, Water Air and Soil Pollution, 92, 63, 10.1007/BF00175553
Ludwig, 2006, Climate change impacts on wheat production in a Mediterranean environment in Western Australia, Agricultural Systems, 90, 159, 10.1016/j.agsy.2005.12.002
Luo, 2005, Potential impact of climate change on wheat yield in South Australia, Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 132, 273, 10.1016/j.agrformet.2005.08.003
Mati, 2000, The influence of climate change on maize production in the semi-humid-semi-arid areas of Kenya, Journal of Arid Environments, 46, 333, 10.1006/jare.2000.0699
Mo, 2007, Climate change impacts on the ecohydrological processes in the Wuding River basin, Acta Ecologica Sinica, 27, 4999
Ortiz, 2008, Climate change: can wheat beat the heat?, Agriculture, Ecosystems and Environment, 126, 46, 10.1016/j.agee.2008.01.019
Sanchez, 2000, Linking climate change research with food security and poverty reduction in the tropics, Agriculture, Ecosystems and Environment, 82, 371, 10.1016/S0167-8809(00)00238-3
Tao, 2003, Future climate change, the agricultural water cycle, and agricultural production in China, Agriculture, Ecosystems and Environment, 95, 203, 10.1016/S0167-8809(02)00093-2
Tao, 2008, Global warming, rice production, and water use in China: developing a probabilistic assessment, Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 148, 94, 10.1016/j.agrformet.2007.09.012
Thomas, 2008, Agriculture irrigation demand under present and future climate scenarios in China, Global and Planetary Change, 60, 306, 10.1016/j.gloplacha.2007.03.009
Thomson, 2006, Climate change impacts on agriculture and soil carbon sequestration potential in the Huang-Hai Plain of China, Agriculture Ecosystems and Environment, 114, 195, 10.1016/j.agee.2005.11.001
Tubiello, 2007, Reducing climate change impacts on agriculture: Global and regional effects of mitigation, 2000–2080, Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 74, 1030, 10.1016/j.techfore.2006.05.027
Unsworth, 1996, Combined effects of changing CO2, temperature, UVB radiation and O3 on crop growth, 171
Van Ittersum, 2003, Sensitivity of productivity and deep drainage of wheat cropping systems in a Mediterranean environment to changes in CO2, temperature and precipitation, Agriculture, Ecosystems and Environment, 97, 255, 10.1016/S0167-8809(03)00114-2
Walker, 2006, An assessment of sustainable maize production under different management and climate scenarios for smallholder agro-ecosystems in KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa, Physics and Chemistry of the Earth, 31, 995, 10.1016/j.pce.2006.08.012
Walker, 2008, Climate change impacts on agro-ecosystem sustainability across three climate regions in the maize belt of South Africa, Agriculture Ecosystems and Environment, 124, 114, 10.1016/j.agee.2007.09.001
Wolf, 2002, Analysis of the experimental variability in wheat responses to elevated CO2 and temperature, Agriculture, Ecosystems and Environment, 93, 227, 10.1016/S0167-8809(01)00353-X
Wu, 2006, Quantifying production potentials of winter wheat in the North China Plain, European Journal of Agronomy, 24, 226, 10.1016/j.eja.2005.06.001
Yang, 2006, Grain filling of cereals under soil drying, New Phytologist, 169, 223, 10.1111/j.1469-8137.2005.01597.x