Quantifying excess deaths related to heatwaves under climate change scenarios: A multicountry time series modelling study

PLoS Medicine - Tập 15 Số 7 - Trang e1002629
Yuming Guo1, Antonio Gasparrini2, Shanshan Li1, Francesco Sera2, Ana M. Vicedo‐Cabrera2, Micheline de Sousa Zanotti Stagliorio Coêlho3,4, Paulo Hilário Nascimento Saldiva4, Éric Lavigne5, Benjawan Tawatsupa6, Kornwipa Punnasiri6, Ala Overcenco7, Patricia Matus Correa8, Nicolás Valdés Ortega8, Haidong Kan9, Samuel Osorio10, Jouni J. K. Jaakkola11,12, Niilo Ryti11,12, Patrick Goodman13, Ariana Zeka14, Paola Michelozzi15, Matteo Scortichini15, Masahiro Hashizume16, Yasushi Honda17, Xerxes Seposo18, Ho Kim19, Aurelio Tobı́as20, Carmen Íñiguez21, Bertil Forsberg22, Daniel Oudin Åström22, Yue Leon Guo23, Bing-yu Chen24, Antonella Zanobetti25, Joel Schwartz25, Trần Ngọc Đăng26,27, Do Van Dung26, Michelle L. Bell28, Ben Armstrong2, Kristie L. Ebi29, Shilu Tong30,31,32
1Department of Epidemiology and Preventive Medicine, School of Public Health and Preventive Medicine, Monash University, Melbourne, Australia
2Department of Public Health, Environments and Society, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London; United Kingdom
3Faculty of Sciences, University of Technology Sydney, Sydney, Australia
4Institute of Advanced Studies, University of São Paulo, São Paulo, Brazil
5School of Epidemiology & Public Health, University of Ottawa, Ottawa, Canada
6Health Impact Assessment Division, Department of Health, Ministry of Public Health, Muang Nonthaburi, Thailand
7Laboratory of Management in Public Health, Chisinau, Republic of Moldova
8Department of Public Health, Universidad de los Andes, Santiago, Chile
9Department of Environmental Health, School of Public Health, Fudan University, Shanghai, China
10Department of Environmental Health, University of São Paulo, São Paulo, Brazil
11Center for Environmental and Respiratory Health Research, University of Oulu, Oulu, Finland
12Medical Research Center Oulu, Oulu University Hospital and University of Oulu, Oulu, Finland
13School of Physics, Dublin Institute of Technology, Dublin, Ireland
14Institute of Environment, Health and Societies, Brunel University London, London, United Kingdom
15Department of Epidemiology, Lazio Regional Health Service, Rome, Italy
16Department of Pediatric Infectious Diseases, Institute of Tropical Medicine, Nagasaki University, Nagasaki, Japan
17Faculty of Health and Sport Sciences, University of Tsukuba, Tsukuba, Japan
18Department of Environmental Engineering, Kyoto University, Kyoto, Japan
19Graduate School of Public Health, Seoul National University, Seoul, Republic of Korea
20Institute of Environmental Assessment and Water Research, Spanish Council for Scientific Research, Barcelona, Spain
21Epidemiology and Environmental Health Joint Research Unit, University of Valencia, Valencia, Spain
22Department of Public Health and Clinical Medicine, Umeå University, Umeå, Sweden
23National Institute of Environmental Health Sciences, National Health Research Institutes, Zhunan, Taiwan
24Department of Environmental and Occupational Medicine, National Taiwan University College of Medicine and National Taiwan University Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan
25Department of Environmental Health, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, Massachusetts, United States of America
26Faculty of Public Health, University of Medicine and Pharmacy, Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam
27Institute of Research and Development, Duy Tan University, Da Nang, Vietnam
28School of Forestry and Environmental Studies, Yale University, New Haven, Connecticut, United States of America
29Center for Health and the Global Environment, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington, United States of America
30School of Public Health and Institute of Environment and Human Health, Anhui Medical University, Hefei, China
31School of Public Health and Social Work, Queensland University of Technology, Brisbane, Australia
32Shanghai Children’s Medical Centre, Shanghai Jiao-Tong University, Shanghai, China

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PLoS Medicine

Tập 15 Số 7

e1002629

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