Pushing past the tipping points in containment trajectories of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) epidemics: A simple arithmetic rationale for crushing the curve instead of merely flattening it

van Doremalen, 2020, Aerosol and surface stability of SARS-CoV-2 as compared with SARS-CoV-1, New England Journal of Medicine, 382, 1564, 10.1056/NEJMc2004973 Anfinrud, 2020, Visualizing speech-generated oral fluid droplets with laser light scattering, New England Journal of Medicine, 382, 2061, 10.1056/NEJMc2007800 Feachem, 2019, Malaria eradication within a generation: Ambitious, achievable, and necessary, Lancet, 394, 1056, 10.1016/S0140-6736(19)31139-0 Ferguson, 2020, Impact of non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) to reduce COVID-19 mortality and healthcare demand, 20 Fineberg, 2020, Ten weeks to crush the curve, New England Journal of Medicine, 382, e37, 10.1056/NEJMe2007263 Gandhi, 2020, Asymptomatic transmission, the Achilles’ Heel of current strategies to control covid-19, New England Journal of Medicine, 382, 2158, 10.1056/NEJMe2009758 Killeen, 2020 Kissler, 2020, Projecting the transmission dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 through the postpandemic period, Science, 368, 860, 10.1126/science.abb5793 Martin, 2007, Demonstrating freedom from disease using multiple complex data sources 2: Case study--classical swine fever in Denmark, Preventive Veterinary Medicine, 79, 98, 10.1016/j.prevetmed.2006.09.007 Rubin, 2020, Audio interview: Approaches to covid-19 vaccines and antivirals, New England Journal of Medicine, 382, e58, 10.1056/NEJMe2012889 Rubin, 2020, Audio interview: Loosening covid-19 restrictions, New England Journal of Medicine, 382, e67, 10.1056/NEJMe2014793 Saez, 2020, Effectiveness of the measures to flatten the epidemic curve of COVID-19. The case of Spain, The Science of the Total Environment, 727, 138761, 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.138761 Tang, 2020, The effectiveness of quarantine and isolation determine the trend of the COVID-19 epidemics in the final phase of the current outbreak in China, International Journal of Infectious Diseases, 95, 288, 10.1016/j.ijid.2020.03.018