Prediction of Cancer Specific Survival After Radical Nephroureterectomy for Upper Tract Urothelial Carcinoma: Development of an Optimized Postoperative Nomogram Using Decision Curve Analysis

The Journal of Urology - Tập 189 Số 5 - Trang 1662-1669 - 2013
Morgan Rouprêt1,2, Vincent Hupertan3, Thomas Seisen2, Pierre Colin4, Évanguelos Xylinas1,5, David Yates2, Harun Fajković6, Yair Lotan7, Jay D. Raman8, Richard Zigeuner9, Mesut Remzi10, Christian Bolenz11, Giacomo Novara12, Wassim Kassouf13, A. Ouzzane4, François Rozet14, Olivier Cussenot15, Juan Ignacio Martínez‐Salamanca16, Hans-Martin Fritsche17, Thomas J. Walton18, Christopher G. Wood19, Karim Bensalah20, Pierre I. Karakiewicz21, Francesco Montorsi22, Vitaly Margulis7, Shahrokh F. Shariat1
1Academic Department of Urology and Division of Medical Oncology, Weill Cornell Medical College, New York Presbyterian-Hospital, New York, New York
2Academic Department of Urology of la Pitié-Salpêtrière Hospital, Assistance Publique-Hôpitaux de Paris, Faculté de Médecine Pierre et Marie Curie, University Paris VI, Paris, France
3Academic Department of Urology and Statistics of Bichat-Claude Bernard Hospital, Assistance Publique-Hôpitaux de Paris, University Paris VII René Diderot, Paris, France
4Academic Department of Urology, CHRU Lille, University Lille Nord de France, Lille, France
5Academic Department of Urology, Cochin Hospital, Assistance Publique-Hôpitaux de Paris, University Paris V, Paris, France
6General Hospital St. Poelten, St. Poelten, Austria
7University of Texas Southwestern Medical Center, Dallas, Texas
8Penn State Milton S. Hershey Medical Center, Hershey, Pennsylvania
9Medical University of Graz, Graz, Austria
10Landeskrankenhaus Weinviertel-Korneuburg, Korneuburg, Austria
11Mannheim Medical Center, University of Heidelberg, Mannheim, Germany
12Ospedali Riuniti of Bergamo, Bergamo, Italy
13McGill University Health Center, Montreal, Quebec, Canada
14Department of Urology, Institut Mutualiste Montsouris, Paris, France
15Academic Department of Urology of Tenon Hospital, Assistance Publique-Hôpitaux de Paris, Faculté de Médecine Pierre et Marie Curie, University Paris VI, Paris, France
16Hospital Universitario Puerta de Hierro-Majadahonda, Universidad Autonoma de Madrid, Madrid, Spain
17Caritas St. Josef Medical Center, University of Regensburg, Regensburg, Germany
18Nottingham City Hospital, Nottingham, England, United Kingdom
19University of Texas, MD Anderson Cancer Center, Houston, Texas
20Academic Department of Urology, CHU Pontchaillou, Rennes, France
21University of Montreal, Montreal, Quebec, Canada
22Vita-Salute University, Milan, Italy

Tóm tắt

Từ khóa


Tài liệu tham khảo

Kattan, 2010, Comparing prediction tools, Eur Urol, 57, 569, 10.1016/j.eururo.2010.01.006

Lughezzani, 2010, Predictive and prognostic models in radical prostatectomy candidates: a critical analysis of the literature, Eur Urol, 58, 687, 10.1016/j.eururo.2010.07.034

Siegel, 2012, Cancer statistics, 2012, CA Cancer J Clin, 62, 10, 10.3322/caac.20138

Rouprêt, 2011, European guidelines for the diagnosis and management of upper urinary tract urothelial cell carcinomas: 2011 update, Eur Urol, 59, 584, 10.1016/j.eururo.2010.12.042

Ariane, 2012, Assessment of oncologic control obtained after open versus laparoscopic nephroureterectomy for upper urinary tract urothelial carcinomas (UUT-UCs): results from a large French multicenter collaborative study, Ann Surg Oncol, 19, 301, 10.1245/s10434-011-1841-x

Margulis, 2009, Outcomes of radical nephroureterectomy: a series from the Upper Tract Urothelial Carcinoma Collaboration, Cancer, 115, 1224, 10.1002/cncr.24135

Cha, 2012, Predicting clinical outcomes after radical nephroureterectomy for upper tract urothelial carcinoma, Eur Urol, 61, 818, 10.1016/j.eururo.2012.01.021

Yates, 2012, Cancer-specific survival after radical nephroureterectomy for upper urinary tract urothelial carcinoma: proposal and multi-institutional validation of a post-operative nomogram, Br J Cancer, 106, 1083, 10.1038/bjc.2012.64

Xylinas, 2012, Impact of distal ureter management on oncologic outcomes following radical nephroureterectomy for upper tract urothelial carcinoma, Eur Urol, 10.1016/j.eururo.2012.04.052

Greene, 2002

Epstein, 1998, The World Health Organization/International Society of Urological Pathology consensus classification of urothelial (transitional cell) neoplasms of the urinary bladder. Bladder Consensus Conference Committee, Am J Surg Pathol, 22, 1435, 10.1097/00000478-199812000-00001

Ouzzane, 2011, Ureteral and multifocal tumours have worse prognosis than renal pelvic tumours in urothelial carcinoma of the upper urinary tract treated by nephroureterectomy, Eur Urol, 60, 1258, 10.1016/j.eururo.2011.05.049

Remzi, 2009, Tumour architecture is an independent predictor of outcomes after nephroureterectomy: a multi-institutional analysis of 1363 patients, BJU Int, 103, 307, 10.1111/j.1464-410X.2008.08003.x

Kikuchi, 2009, Lymphovascular invasion predicts clinical outcomes in patients with node-negative upper tract urothelial carcinoma, J Clin Oncol, 27, 612, 10.1200/JCO.2008.17.2361

Harrell, 1996, Multivariable prognostic models: issues in developing models, evaluating assumptions and adequacy, and measuring and reducing errors, Stat Med, 15, 361, 10.1002/(SICI)1097-0258(19960229)15:4<361::AID-SIM168>3.0.CO;2-4

Efron, 1993, An Introduction to the Bootstrap, 275

Harrell

Vickers, 2008, Decision analysis for the evaluation of diagnostic tests, prediction models and molecular markers, Am Stat, 62, 314, 10.1198/000313008X370302

Vickers, 2006, Decision curve analysis: a novel method for evaluating prediction models, Med Decis Making, 26, 565, 10.1177/0272989X06295361

Kattan, 2008, Nomograms are difficult to beat, Eur Urol, 53, 671, 10.1016/j.eururo.2007.12.010

Stephenson, 2006, Preoperative nomogram predicting the 10-year probability of prostate cancer recurrence after radical prostatectomy, J Natl Cancer Inst, 98, 715, 10.1093/jnci/djj190

Klatte, 2010, Development and external validation of a nomogram predicting disease specific survival after nephrectomy for papillary renal cell carcinoma, J Urol, 184, 53, 10.1016/j.juro.2010.03.026

Kattan, 2006, Validating a prognostic model, Cancer, 107, 2523, 10.1002/cncr.22314

Nguyen, 2011, How to tell if a new marker improves prediction, Eur Urol, 60, 226, 10.1016/j.eururo.2011.04.029

Chromecki, 2012, The impact of tumor multifocality on outcomes in patients treated with radical nephroureterectomy, Eur Urol, 61, 245, 10.1016/j.eururo.2011.09.017

Isbarn, 2009, Location of the primary tumor is not an independent predictor of cancer specific mortality in patients with upper urinary tract urothelial carcinoma, J Urol, 182, 2177, 10.1016/j.juro.2009.07.035

Lughezzani, 2012, Prognostic factors in upper urinary tract urothelial carcinomas: a comprehensive review of the current literature, Eur Urol, 62, 100, 10.1016/j.eururo.2012.02.030

Hong, 2012, Predictive power to assist phase 3 go/no go decision based on phase 2 data on a different endpoint, Stat Med, 31, 831, 10.1002/sim.4476

Miller, 2005, How modeling and simulation have enhanced decision making in new drug development, J Pharmacokinet Pharmacodyn, 32, 185, 10.1007/s10928-005-0074-7

Rouprêt, 2009, Cross-cultural validation of a prognostic tool: example of the Kattan preoperative nomogram as a predictor of prostate cancer recurrence after radical prostatectomy, BJU Int, 104, 813, 10.1111/j.1464-410X.2009.08473.x