Piecing it all together and forecasting who governs: The 2015 British general election

Electoral Studies - Tập 41 - Trang 234-238 - 2016
Stephen D. Fisher1
1Department of Sociology, University of Oxford, Trinity College, Oxford OX1 3BH, UK

Tài liệu tham khảo

Curtice, 2008, Exit polling in a cold climate: the BBC–ITV experience in Britain in 2005, J. R. Stat. Soc. Ser. A Stat. Soc., 171, 509, 10.1111/j.1467-985X.2007.00536.x Curtice, 2011, Confounding the commentators: how the 2010 exit poll got it (more or less) right, J. Elect. Public Opin. Parties, 21, 211, 10.1080/17457289.2011.562612 Fisher, 2013 Fisher, 2015, Predictable and unpredictable changes in party support: a method for long-range daily election forecasting from opinion polls, J. Elect. Public Opin. Parties, 25, 137, 10.1080/17457289.2014.952732 Fisher, 2015 Fisher, 2015 Fisher, 2011, From polls to votes to seats: forecasting the 2010 British general election, Elect. Stud., 30, 250, 10.1016/j.electstud.2010.09.005 Jackman, 2005, Pooling the polls over an election campaign, Aust. J. Polit. Sci., 40, 499, 10.1080/10361140500302472 Tapper, 2015, 1 Wlezien, 2002, The timeline of presidential election campaigns, J. Polit., 64, 969