Kịch bản dựa trên vật lý về chu kỳ động đất trên hệ thống đứt gãy Ventura ở California: Ảnh hưởng của ma sát biến đổi và hình học đứt gãy

Ampuero, J. P., & Rubin, A. M. (2008). Earthquake nucleation on rate and state faults—aging and slip laws. Journal of Geophysical Research Solid Earth, 113, B1. Anderson, G., Aagaard, B., & Hudnut, K. (2003). Fault interactions and large complex earthquakes in the Los Angeles area. Science, 302(5652), 1946–1949. Ariyoshi, K., Matsuzawa, T., Yabe, Y., Kato, N., Hino, R., Hasegawa, A., et al. (2009). Character of slip and stress due to interaction between fault segments along the dip direction of a subduction zone. Journal of Geodynamics, 48(2), 55–67. Bai, L., Liu, H., Ritsema, J., Mori, J., Zhang, T., Ishikawa, Y., et al. (2016). Faulting structure above the Main Himalayan Thrust as shown by relocated aftershocks of the 2015 Mw 7.8 Gorkha, Nepal, earthquake. Geophysical Research Letters, 43(2), 637–642. Barbot, S. D. (2018). Asthenosphere flow modulated by megathrust earthquake cycles. Geophysical Research Letters, 2015, 45. Barbot, S., Lapusta, N., & Avouac, J. P. (2012). Under the hood of the earthquake machine: Toward predictive modeling of the seismic cycle. Science, 336(6082), 707–710. Ben-Zion, Y., & Rice, J. R. (1997). Dynamic simulations of slip on a smooth fault in an elastic solid. Journal of Geophysical Research Solid Earth, 102(B8), 17771–17784. Biasi, G. P., & Weldon, R. J. (2006). Estimating surface rupture length and magnitude of paleoearthquakes from point measurements of rupture displacement. Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, 96(5), 1612–1623. Biemiller, J., & Lavier, L. (2017). Earthquake supercycles as part of a spectrum of normal fault slip styles. Journal of Geophysical Research Solid Earth, 122(4), 3221–3240. Bilham, R., Gaur, V. K., & Molnar, P. (2001). Himalayan seismic hazard. Science, 293(5534), 1442–1444. Bollinger, L., Tapponnier, P., Sapkota, S. N., & Klinger, Y. (2016). Slip deficit in central Nepal: Omen for a repeat of the 1344 AD earthquake? Earth Planets and Space, 68(1), 12. Brune, J. N. (1970). Tectonic stress and the spectra of seismic shear waves from earthquakes. Journal of Geophysical Research, 75(26), 4997–5009. Cubas, N., Lapusta, N., Avouac, J. P., & Perfettini, H. (2015). Numerical modeling of long-term earthquake sequences on the NE Japan megathrust: Comparison with observations and implications for fault friction. Earth and Planetary Science Letters, 419, 187–198. Dahlen, F. A. (1990). Critical taper model of fold-and-thrust belts and accretionary wedges. Annual Review of Earth and Planetary Sciences, 18(1), 55–99. Dahlen, F. A., Suppe, J., & Davis, D. (1984). Mechanics of fold-and-thrust belts and accretionary wedges: Cohesive Coulomb theory. Journal of Geophysical Research Solid Earth, 89(B12), 10087–10101. Daout, S., Barbot, S., Peltzer, G., Doin, M. P., Liu, Z., & Jolivet, R. (2016). Constraining the kinematics of metropolitan Los Angeles faults with a slip-partitioning model. Geophysical Research Letters, 43, 21. Daub, E. G., & Carlson, J. M. (2008). A constitutive model for fault gouge deformation in dynamic rupture simulations. Journal of Geophysical Research Solid Earth, 113, B12. Davis, T. L., & Namson, J. S. (1994). A balanced cross-section of the 1994 Northridge earthquake, southern California. Nature, 372(6502), 167. Davis, D., Suppe, J., & Dahlen, F. A. (1983). Mechanics of fold-and-thrust belts and accretionary wedges. Journal of Geophysical Research Solid Earth, 88(B2), 1153–1172. Diao, F., Walter, T. R., Motagh, M., Prats-Iraola, P., Wang, R., & Samsonov, S. V. (2015). The 2015 Gorkha earthquake investigated from radar satellites: Slip and stress modeling along the MHT. Frontiers in Earth Science, 3, 65. Dieterich, J. H. (1978). Time-dependent friction and the mechanics of stick–slip. Pure and Applied Geophysics, 116(4–5), 790–806. Dieterich, J. H. (2007). Applications of rate-and state-dependent friction to models of fault slip and earthquake occurrence-4.04. Dolan, J. F., & Rockwell, T. K. (2001). Paleoseismologic evidence for a very large (Mw > 7), post-AD 1660 surface rupture on the Eastern San Cayetano Fault, Ventura County, California: Was this the elusive source of the damaging 21 December 1812 Earthquake? Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, 91(6), 1417–1432. Dominguez, S., Avouac, J. P., & Michel, R. (2003). Horizontal coseismic deformation of the 1999 Chi-Chi earthquake measured from SPOT satellite images: Implications for the seismic cycle along the western foothills of central Taiwan. Journal of Geophysical Research Solid Earth, 108, B2. Duan, B., Liu, D., & Yin, A. (2017). Seismic shaking in the North China Basin expected from ruptures of a possible seismic gap. Geophysical Research Letters, 44(10), 4855–4862. Elliott, J. R., Jolivet, R., González, P. J., Avouac, J. P., Hollingsworth, J., Searle, M. P., et al. (2016). Himalayan megathrust geometry and relation to topography revealed by the Gorkha earthquake. Nature Geoscience, 9(2), 174. Feng, G., Li, Z., Shan, X., Zhang, L., Zhang, G., & Zhu, J. (2015). Geodetic model of the 2015 April 25 Mw 7.8 Gorkha Nepal Earthquake and Mw 7.3 aftershock estimated from InSAR and GPS data. Geophysical journal international, 203(2), 896–900. Gabriel, A. A., Ampuero, J. P., Dalguer, L. A., & Mai, P. M. (2012). The transition of dynamic rupture styles in elastic media under velocity-weakening friction. Journal of Geophysical Research Solid Earth, 117, B9. Goswami, A., & Barbot, S. (2018). Slow-slip events in semi-brittle serpentinite fault zones. Scientific Reports, 8(1), 6181. Hauksson, E., Jones, L. M., & Hutton, K. (1995). The 1994 Northridge earthquake sequence in California: Seismological and tectonic aspects. Journal of Geophysical Research Solid Earth, 100(B7), 12335–12355. Hori, T., & Miyazaki, S. I. (2011). A possible mechanism of M 9 earthquake generation cycles in the area of repeating M 7–8 earthquakes surrounded by aseismic sliding. Earth Planets and Space, 63(7), 48. Hubbard, J., Almeida, R., Foster, A., Sapkota, S. N., Bürgi, P., & Tapponnier, P. (2016). Structural segmentation controlled the 2015 Mw 7.8 Gorkha earthquake rupture in Nepal. Geology, 44(8), 639–642. Hubbard, J., Barbot, S., Hill, E. M., & Tapponnier, P. (2015). Coseismic slip on shallow décollement megathrusts: Implications for seismic and tsunami hazard. Earth-Science Reviews, 141, 45–55. Hubbard, J., Shaw, J. H., Dolan, J., Pratt, T. L., McAuliffe, L., & Rockwell, T. K. (2014). Structure and seismic hazard of the Ventura Avenue Anticline and Ventura Fault, California: Prospect for large, multisegment ruptures in the Western Transverse Ranges. Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, 104(3), 1070. https://doi.org/10.1785/0120130125. Ikari, M. J., Carpenter, B. M., & Marone, C. (2016). A microphysical interpretation of rate-and state-dependent friction for fault gouge. Geochemistry Geophysics Geosystems, 17(5), 1660–1677. Ikari, M. J., Marone, C., & Saffer, D. M. (2011). On the relation between fault strength and frictional stability. Geology, 39(1), 83–86. Johnson, K. M., Hsu, Y. J., Segall, P., & Yu, S. B. (2001). Fault geometry and slip distribution of the 1999 Chi–Chi, Taiwan earthquake imaged from inversion of GPS data. Geophysical Research Letters, 28(11), 2285–2288. Kaneko, Y., Avouac, J. P., & Lapusta, N. (2010). Towards inferring earthquake patterns from geodetic observations of interseismic coupling. Nature Geoscience, 3(5), 363–369. Kato, N. (2003). Repeating slip events at a circular asperity: Numerical simulation with a rate-and state-dependent friction law. Bulletin of the Earthquake Research Institute University of Tokyo, 78, 151–166. Kato, N. (2014). Deterministic chaos in a simulated sequence of slip events on a single isolated asperity. Geophysical Journal International, 198(2), 727–736. Lambert, V., & Barbot, S. (2016). Contribution of viscoelastic flow in earthquake cycles within the lithosphere–asthenosphere system. Geophysical Research Letters, 43, 19. Lapusta, N., & Barbot, S. (2012). Models of earthquakes and aseismic slip based on laboratory-derived rate-and-state friction laws. The Mechanics of Faulting From Laboratory to Real Earthquakes, 2012, 153–207. Lapusta, N., & Rice, J. R. (2003). Nucleation and early seismic propagation of small and large events in a crustal earthquake model. Journal of Geophysical Research Solid Earth, 108, B4. Lapusta, N., Rice, J. R., Ben-Zion, Y., & Zheng, G. (2000). Elastodynamic analysis for slow tectonic loading with spontaneous rupture episodes on faults with rate-and state-dependent friction. Journal of Geophysical Research Solid Earth, 105(B10), 23765–23789. Lavé, J., & Burbank, D. (2004). Denudation processes and rates in the Transverse Ranges, southern California: Erosional response of a transitional landscape to external and anthropogenic forcing. Journal of Geophysical Research Earth Surface, 109, F1. Lavé, J., Yule, D., Sapkota, S., Basant, K., Madden, C., Attal, M., et al. (2005). Evidence for a great Medieval earthquake (~ 1100 AD) in the central Himalayas, Nepal. Science, 307(5713), 1302–1305. Lee, S. J., & Ma, K. F. (2000). Rupture process of the 1999 Chi–Chi, Taiwan, earthquake from the inversion of teleseismic data. Terrestrial Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, 11(3), 591–608. Li, D., & Liu, Y. (2016). Spatiotemporal evolution of slow slip events in a nonplanar fault model for northern Cascadia subduction zone. Journal of Geophysical Research Solid Earth, 121(9), 6828–6845. Liu, Y., & Rice, J. R. (2005). Aseismic slip transients emerge spontaneously in three-dimensional rate and state modeling of subduction earthquake sequences. Journal of Geophysical Research Solid Earth, 110, B8. Liu, Y., & Rice, J. R. (2007). Spontaneous and triggered aseismic deformation transients in a subduction fault model. Journal of Geophysical Research Solid Earth, 112, B9. Liu, Y., & Rice, J. R. (2009). Slow slip predictions based on granite and gabbro friction data compared to GPS measurements in northern Cascadia. Journal of Geophysical Research Solid Earth, 114, B9. Marone, C. J., Scholtz, C. H., & Bilham, R. (1991). On the mechanics of earthquake afterslip. Journal of Geophysical Research Solid Earth, 96(B5), 8441–8452. Marshall, S. T., Funning, G. J., & Owen, S. E. (2013). Fault slip rates and interseismic deformation in the western Transverse Ranges, California. Journal of Geophysical Research Solid Earth, 118(8), 4511–4534. McAuliffe, L. J., Dolan, J. F., Rhodes, E. J., Hubbard, J., Shaw, J. H., & Pratt, T. L. (2015). Paleoseismologic evidence for large-magnitude (Mw 7.5–8.0) earthquakes on the Ventura blind thrust fault: Implications for multifault ruptures in the Transverse Ranges of southern California. Geosphere, 11(5), 1629–1650. https://doi.org/10.1130/ges01123.1. McPhillips, D., & Scharer, K. M. (2018). Quantifying uncertainty in cumulative surface slip along the Cucamonga Fault, a crustal thrust fault in southern California. Journal of Geophysical Research Solid Earth, 123(10), 9063–9083. Mele Veedu, D., & Barbot, S. (2016, April). The Parkfield Tremors: Slow and fast ruptures on the same asperity. In EGU General Assembly Conference Abstracts (vol. 18, p. 16555). Michel, S., Avouac, J. P., Lapusta, N., & Jiang, J. (2017). Pulse-like partial ruptures and high-frequency radiation at creeping-locked transition during megathrust earthquakes. Geophysical Research Letters, 44(16), 8345–8351. Noda, H., & Hori, T. (2014). Under what circumstances does a seismogenic patch produce aseismic transients in the later interseismic period? Geophysical Research Letters, 41(21), 7477–7484. Noda, H., & Lapusta, N. (2013). Stable creeping fault segments can become destructive as a result of dynamic weakening. Nature, 493(7433), 518–521. Qiu, Q., Hill, E. M., Barbot, S., Hubbard, J., Feng, W., Lindsey, E. O., et al. (2016). The mechanism of partial rupture of a locked megathrust: The role of fault morphology. Geology, 44(10), 875–878. Rockwell, T. K., Clark, K., Gamble, L., Oskin, M. E., Haaker, E. C., & Kennedy, G. L. (2016). Large Transverse Range earthquakes cause coastal upheaval near Ventura, southern California. Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, 106(6), 2706–2720. Rockwell, T. K., Keller, E. A., Clark, M. N., & Johnson, D. L. (1984). Chronology and rates of faulting of Ventura River terraces, California. Geological Society of America Bulletin, 95(12), 1466–1474. Rollins, C., Avouac, J. P., Landry, W., Argus, D. F., & Barbot, S. (2018). Interseismic strain accumulation on faults beneath Los Angeles, California. Journal of Geophysical Research Solid Earth, 123(8), 7126–7150. Romanet, P., Bhat, H. S., Jolivet, R., & Madariaga, R. (2018). Fast and slow slip events emerge due to fault geometrical complexity. Geophysical Research Letters, 45(10), 4809–4819. Rousset, B., Barbot, S., Avouac, J. P., & Hsu, Y. J. (2012). Postseismic deformation following the 1999 Chi–Chi earthquake, Taiwan: Implication for lower-crust rheology. Journal of Geophysical Research Solid Earth, 117, B12. Rubin, C. M., Lindvall, S. C., & Rockwell, T. K. (1998). Evidence for large earthquakes in metropolitan Los Angeles. Science, 281(5375), 398–402. Ruina, A. (1983). Slip instability and state variable friction laws. Journal of Geophysical Research Solid Earth, 88(B12), 10359–10370. Ryan, K. J., Geist, E. L., Barall, M., & Oglesby, D. D. (2015). Dynamic models of an earthquake and tsunami offshore Ventura, California. Geophysical Research Letters, 42(16), 6599–6606. Sapkota, S. N., Bollinger, L., Klinger, Y., Tapponnier, P., Gaudemer, Y., & Tiwari, D. (2013). Primary surface ruptures of the great Himalayan earthquakes in 1934 and 1255. Nature Geoscience, 6(1), 71–76. Sarna-Wojcicki, A. M., Williams, K. M., & Yerkes, R. F. (1976). Geology of the Ventura Fault, Ventura County, California (No. 781). Sarna-Wojcicki, A. M., & Yerkes, R. F. (1982). Comment on Article by RS Yeats on “Low-Shake Faults of the Ventura Basin, California”. Scholz, C. H. (1998). Earthquakes and friction laws. Nature, 391, 37–42. Segall, P. (2012). Understanding earthquakes. Science, 336(6082), 676–677. Shaw, J. H., & Shearer, P. M. (1999). An elusive blind-thrust fault beneath metropolitan Los Angeles. Science, 283(5407), 1516–1518. Shibazaki, B., Matsuzawa, T., Tsutsumi, A., Ujiie, K., Hasegawa, A., & Ito, Y. (2011). 3D modeling of the cycle of a great Tohoku-Oki earthquake, considering frictional behavior at low to high slip velocities. Geophysical Research Letters, 38, 21. Sreejith, K. M., Sunil, P. S., Agrawal, R., Saji, A. P., Ramesh, D. S., & Rajawat, A. S. (2016). Coseismic and early postseismic deformation due to the 25 April 2015, Mw 7.8 Gorkha, Nepal, earthquake from InSAR and GPS measurements. Geophysical Research Letters, 43(7), 3160–3168. Suppe, J. (2007). Absolute fault and crustal strength from wedge tapers. Geology, 35(12), 1127–1130. Thomas, M. Y., Avouac, J. P., & Lapusta, N. (2017). Rate-and-state friction properties of the Longitudinal Valley Fault from kinematic and dynamic modeling of seismic and aseismic slip. Journal of Geophysical Research Solid Earth, 122(4), 3115–3137. Tse, S. T., & Rice, J. R. (1986). Crustal earthquake instability in relation to the depth variation of frictional slip properties. Journal of Geophysical Research Solid Earth, 91(B9), 9452–9472. Wang, K., & Fialko, Y. (2015). Slip model of the 2015 Mw 7.8 Gorkha (Nepal) earthquake from inversions of ALOS-2 and GPS data. Geophysical Research Letters, 42(18), 7452–7458. Wesnousky, S. G. (2006). Predicting the endpoints of earthquake ruptures. Nature, 444(7117), 358. Wu, Y., & Chen, X. (2014). The scale-dependent slip pattern for a uniform fault model obeying the rate-and state-dependent friction law. Journal of Geophysical Research Solid Earth, 119(6), 4890–4906. Yu, S. B., Kuo, L. C., Hsu, Y. J., Su, H. H., Liu, C. C., Hou, C. S., et al. (2001). Preseismic deformation and coseismic displacements associated with the 1999 Chi–Chi, Taiwan, earthquake. Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, 91(5), 995–1012. Yu, H., Liu, Y., Yang, H., & Ning, J. (2018). Modeling earthquake sequences along the Manila subduction zone: Effects of three-dimensional fault geometry. Tectonophysics, 733, 73–84. Yue, L. F., Suppe, J., & Hung, J. H. (2005). Structural geology of a classic thrust belt earthquake: The 1999 Chi-Chi earthquake Taiwan (Mw = 7.6). Journal of Structural Geology, 27(11), 2058–2083. Zhao, W. L., Davis, D. M., Dahlen, F. A., & Suppe, J. (1986). Origin of convex accretionary wedges: Evidence from Barbados. Journal of Geophysical Research Solid Earth, 91(B10), 10246–10258.