Pandemics, tourism and global change: a rapid assessment of COVID-19

Journal of Sustainable Tourism - Tập 29 Số 1 - Trang 1-20 - 2021
Stefan Gößling1,2,3, Daniel Scott4,5, C. Michael Hall6
1School of Business and Economics, Linnaeus University, Kalmar, Sweden
2Service Management and Service Studies, Lund University, Helsingborg, Sweden
3Western Norway Research Institute, Sogndal, Norway
4Department of Geography and Environmental Management, University of Waterloo, Waterloo, Ontario, Canada
5School of Hospitality and Tourism Management, University of Surrey, Guildford, UK
6Department of Management, Marketing and Entrepreneurship, University of Canterbury, Christchurch, New Zealand

Tóm tắt

Từ khóa


Tài liệu tham khảo

Air New Zealand. (2020). COVID-19 FAQs. Retrieved April 6, 2020, from https://www.airnewzealand.co.nz/covid19-faqs

Airports Council International. (2020). The impact of COVID-19 on the airport business. Retrieved April 6, 2020, from https://aci.aero/wp-content/uploads/2020/03/200401-COVID19-Economic-Impact-Bulletin-FINAL-1.pdf

10.1016/j.tmaid.2014.06.007

American Enterprise Institute. (2020). National coronavirus response: A road map to reopening. Retrieved April 6, 2020, from https://www.aei.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/03/National-Coronavirus-Response-a-Road-Map-to-Recovering-2.pdf

10.1016/S0140-6736(20)30567-5

10.1001/jama.2020.2565

Baldwin R., 2020, Economics in the time of COVID-19, 1

10.1080/0144164042000206060

10.1038/nature18326

10.1186/1479-5876-2-3

10.3390/v7030996

10.3389/fimmu.2019.00549

Bloomberg. (2020). Brent crude. Retrieved April 4, 2020, from https://www.bloomberg.com

10.1093/jtm/tav002

Burkle F. M., 2006, Journal of International Affairs, 59, 231

Burns A., 2006, Evaluating the economic consequences of avian influenza

Business Insider. (2020). UK airline Flybe declares bankruptcy as coronavirus dooms the already struggling carrier. Retrieved March 31, 2020, from https://www.businessinsider.de/international/uk-airline-flybe-declares-bankruptcy-flights-grounded-2020-3/?r=US&IR=T

10.1177/00333549101250S311

Carbon Brief. (2020). Airlines lobby to rewrite carbon deal in light of coronavirus. Retrieved April 14, 2020, from https://www.carbonbrief.org/daily-brief/airlines-lobby-to-rewrite-carbon-deal-in-light-of-coronavirus

10.1186/s12916-014-0196-0

CNN. (2020). What will travel look like after coronavirus? Retrieved March 31, 2020, from https://www.cnn.com/travel/article/coronavirus-travel-industry-changes/index.html

10.1016/j.trd.2017.01.004

10.1016/S0140-6736(10)62004-1

Condé Nast Traveller. (2020). Before and after: How coronavirus has emptied tourist attractions around the world. Retrieved March 31, 2020, from https://www.cntravellerme.com/before-and-after-photos-tourist-attractions-during-coronavirus

10.1007/978-3-8349-6871-5_8

10.1515/9783110607369

Downs A., 1972, Public Interest, 28, 38

Euractiv. (2020). Coronavirus-hit carmakers urge EU to pull legislative handbrake. Retrieved April 4, 2020 from https://www.euractiv.com/section/transport/news/coronavirus-hit-carmakers-urge-eu-to-pull-legislative-handbrake

European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control (ECDC). (2020). COVID-19 Situation update worldwide. Retrieved April 4, 2020, from https://www.ecdc.europa.eu/en/geographical-distribution-2019-ncov-cases

European Council. (2020). Statement by President Michael and President von der Leyen after the extraordinary G20 video conference on COVID-19. Retrieved April 4, 2020, from https://www.consilium.europa.eu/en/press/press-releases/2020/03/26/statement-by-president-michel-and-president-von-der-leyen-after-the-g20-video-conference-on-covid-19/

10.2471/BLT.17.199588

10.1056/NEJMra1108296

FCO (The Foreign & Commonwealth Office). (2020). Foreign Secretary advises all British travelers to return to the UK now. Retrieved March 31, 2020, from https://www.gov.uk/government/news/foreign-secretary-advises-all-british-travellers-to-return-to-the-uk-now

Ferguson, N. M., Cummings, D. A., Fraser, C., Cajka, J. C., Cooley, P. C. & Burke, D. S. (2006). Strategies for mitigating an influenza pandemic.Nature,442(7101), 448–452.

FlightRadar24. (2020). Total number of flights tracked by Flightradar24, per day, last 90 days. https://www.flightradar24.com/data/statistics

Forbes. (2020). What will travel be like after the coronavirus? Retrieved March 31, 2020, https://www.forbes.com/sites/christopherelliott/2020/03/18/what-will-travel-be-like-after-the-coronavirus/#4febdd623329

Garrett T. A., 2008, Economic effects of the 1918 influenza pandemic: Implications for a modern-day pandemic

10.1016/S0959-3780(02)00044-4

10.1080/13683500.2020.1749244

10.1080/09669582.2015.1085869

10.1080/10408410701647594

GWPF. (2020). SOS: EU urged to put economic survival ahead of Green Deal. Retrieved April 4, 2020, from https://www.thegwpf.com/sos-eu-urged-to-put-economic-survival-ahead-of-green-deal/

10.1080/13032917.2009.10518894

10.1080/09669582.2018.1560456

Hall C. M., 2020, Handbook of globalisation and tourism, 114

10.1080/13683500208667935

Hall C. M., 2006, Tourism and global environmental change: Ecological, economic, social and political interrelationships, 142, 10.4324/9780203011911-9

10.4324/9780203114070

10.1073/pnas.0610941104

10.3402/iee.v4.21528

10.1016/j.tmaid.2013.06.005

10.1016/S0140-6736(20)30183-5

IATA. (2018). Economic Performance of the Airline Industry. Retrieved April 4, 2020, from https://www.iata.org/contentassets/f88f0ceb28b64b7e9b46de44b917b98f/iata-economic-performance-of-the-industry-end-year-2018-report.pdf

IATA. (2019). After challenging year, improvement expected for 2020. Retrieved April 5, 2020, from https://www.iata.org/en/pressroom/pr/2019-12-11-01/

IATA Economics. (2020, March 24). COVID-19 updated impact assessment. https://www.iata.org/en/iata-repository/publications/economic-reports/third-impact-assessment/

International SOS Security Services. (2020). Coronavirus disease (COVID-19) pandemic. https://www.internationalsos.com/client-magazines/novel-coronavirus

International SOS Security Services. (2020). Travel restrictions, flight operations and screening.

10.3201/eid1209.05-0979

Hopkins, J. (2020). Coronavirus COVID-19 global cases by Johns Hopkins CSSE. https://www.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.html

10.1353/bhm.2002.0022

Jonas O., 2014, Pandemic risk

Kantar. (2020). Global study of 25,000 consumers gives brands clearest direction on how to stay connected in a pandemic world. Press Release. http://www.millwardbrown.com/global-navigation/news/press-releases/full-release/2020/03/25/global-study-of-25000-consumers-gives-brands-clearest-direction-on-how-to-stay-connected-in-a-pandemic-world

10.1007/s10198-009-0210-1

10.1002/hec.1554

10.1056/NEJMc0904559

10.1080/00086495.2003.11829645

10.1186/1471-2458-7-48

10.1146/annurev-publhealth-031210-101225

10.1038/s41893-019-0454-4

10.1016/j.tourman.2010.12.009

10.1038/d41586-019-03595-0

10.1126/science.abb3221

10.1038/d41586-020-00885-w

Maphanga P. M., 2019, African Journal of Hospitality, Tourism and Leisure, 8

10.1001/jama.298.6.644

10.3201/eid1212.060506

10.1016/j.annals.2003.11.002

McKibbin, W. & Fernando, R. (2020).The global macroeconomic impacts of COVID-19: Seven scenarios(CAMA Working paper 19/2020). Australian National University.

McKibbin W. S., 2006, Global macroeconomic consequences of pandemic influenza

McKinsey and Company. (2020a). Global surveys of consumer sentiment during the coronavirus crisis. Retrieved April 6, 2020, form https://www.mckinsey.com/business-functions/marketing-and-sales/our-insights/global-surveys-of-consumer-sentiment-during-the-coronavirus-crisis

McKinsey and Company. (2020b). Cautiously optimistic: Chinese consumer behavior post-COVID-19. Retrieved April 6, 2020, from https://www.mckinsey.com/business-functions/marketing-and-sales/our-insights/global-surveys-of-consumer-sentiment-during-the-coronavirus-crisis.

McKinsey and Company. (2020c). The near-term impact of coronavirus on workers. Retrieved April 6, 2020, from https://www.mckinsey.com/industries/public-sector/our-insights/lives-and-livelihoods-assessing-the-near-term-impact-of-covid-19-on-us-workers?

10.15585/mmwr.mm6912e3

National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine, 2017, Global health and the future role of the United States

National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine., 2018, Understanding the economics of microbial threats: proceedings of a workshop

NHO Reiseliv. (2020). Korona-Analyse for reiselivet. Retrieved April 1, 2020, from https://www.nhoreiseliv.no/tall-og-fakta/reiselivets-status-korona/

Nicolaides C., 2019, Risk Analysis, 40

10.1016/j.annals.2018.03.006

10.1787/9789264178762-en

10.1056/NEJMp058068

Page S., 2007, Journal of Business Continuity & Emergency Planning, 1, 167

10.1016/j.vaccine.2013.09.013

10.1016/j.ijid.2016.02.001

10.1257/aer.p20151060

10.1525/bio.2009.59.11.6

10.1111/risa.12625

Reuters. (2020). U.S. Senate approves big rescue for struggling aviation sector. Retrieved April 5, 2020, from https://www.reuters.com/article/us-health-coronavirus-usa-bill/u-s-senate-approves-big-rescue-for-struggling-aviation-sector-idUSKBN21C24T

10.1056/NEJMc2001468

10.1002/hec.2862

10.1289/ehp.124-A157

10.1016/j.ecolecon.2012.08.007

10.1080/02508281.2015.1075739

10.1016/j.annals.2019.05.007

10.1016/j.jdmm.2018.01.011

Simple Flying. (2020). United could follow American with early 757 & 767 retirement. Retrieved April 7, 2020, from https://simpleflying.com/united-757-767-early-retirement/

10.1162/1535351041747996

Stay Grounded. (2020). No unconditional airline bailouts -taking care of people, not airlines. Retrieved April 4, 2020, from https://stay-grounded.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/03/Open_Letter_EU_Transport_Ministers.pdf ECDC

Stay Grounded. (2020). #SavePeopleNotPlanes: Red lines for aviation bail-outs. Retrieved April 8, 2020, from: https://stay-grounded.org

STR. (2020a) COVID-19: Hotel industry impact. Retrieved April 5, 2020, from. https://str.com/data-insights-blog/coronavirus-hotel-industry-data-news

STR. (2020b). U.S. hotel RevPAR forecasted to drop 50.6% for 2020. Retrieved April 5, 2020, from https://str.com/press-release/us-hotel-revpar-forecasted-drop-50-point-6-2020

10.3201/eid1209.05-0979

UNWTO. (2020a). COVID-19: UNWTO calls on tourism to be part of recovery plans. https://www.unwto.org/news/covid-19-unwto-calls-on-tourism-to-be-part-of-recovery-plans.

UNWTO. (2020b). International tourist arrivals could fall by 20-30% in 2020. Retrieved April 5, 2020, from https://www.unwto.org/news/international-tourism-arrivals-could-fall-in-2020

US Bureau of Labor Statistics. (2020). Nonfarm payroll employment falls by 701,000 in March; unemployment rate rises to 4.4% (3 April 2020). Retrieved April 3, 2020, from https://www.bls.gov

10.1016/S1473-3099(12)70152-4

Vétérinaires sans Frontières (VSF) Suisse. (2018). Livestock diseases. Surveillance & early warning systems guidelines Handbook. Retrieved April 5, 2020, from http://www.vsf-suisse.org/vsf/files/web/handbooks/VSF-Suisse-Livestock-Disease-Surveillance-and-Early-Warning-Systems-Guidelines-Handbook.pdf

Washington Post. (2020). US intelligence reports from January and February warned about a likely pandemic. Retrieved April 14, 2020. https://www.washingtonpost.com/national-security/us-intelligence-reports-from-january-and-february-warned-about-a-likely-pandemic/2020/03/20/299d8cda-6ad5-11ea-b5f1-a5a804158597_story.html

World Bank., 2012, People, pathogens and our planet: Volume 2 – the economics of One Health

World Bank. (2020a). Air transport, passengers carried. Retrieved April 4, 2020, from https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/is.air.psgr

World Bank. (2020b). International tourism, number of arrivals. Retrieved April 4, 2020, from https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/ST.INT.ARVL

10.1007/s13280-016-0809-2