Opening hours of polling stations and voter turnout: Evidence from a natural experiment

The Review of International Organizations - Tập 15 - Trang 133-163 - 2018
Niklas Potrafke1,2, Felix Roesel3,4
1Ifo Institute, Ifo Center for Public Finance and Political Economy, Munich, Germany
2University of Munich, Munich, Germany
3Ifo Institute, Dresden Branch, Dresden, Germany
4Technische Universität Dresden, Dresden, Germany

Tóm tắt

Voter turnout has declined in many countries, raising the question of whether electoral institutions increase voter turnout. We exploit an electoral reform in the Austrian state of Burgenland as a natural experiment to identify the causal effect of polling station opening hours on voter turnout. The results show that a 10% increase in opening hours increased voter turnout by some 0.5 to 0.9 percentage points. The reform also influenced party vote shares. The vote share of the conservative party decreased in the course of the reform, while the vote shares of the other three main parties increased. Conservative voters tend to have an especially strict sense of civic duty and would have participated in the election in any event. Simulations indicate that parliamentary majorities in previous elections would have changed under extended opening hours in favor of the social democratic party. The opening hours of polling stations probably play a more important role in political strategies than recognized to date.

Tài liệu tham khảo

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