ON THE SQUARED RESIDUAL AUTOCORRELATIONS IN NON‐LINEAR TIME SERIES WITH CONDITIONAL HETEROSKEDASTICITY

Journal of Time Series Analysis - Tập 15 Số 6 - Trang 627-636 - 1994
Wai Keung Li1, Tak K. Mak1
1University of Hong Kong and Concordia University, Canada

Tóm tắt

Abstract. Time series with a changing conditional variance have been found useful in many applications. Residual autocorrelations from traditional autoregressive moving‐average models have been found useful in model diagnostic checking. By analogy, squared residual autocorrelations from fitted conditional heteroskedastic time series models would be useful in checking the adequacy of such models. In this paper, a general class of squared residual autocorrelations is defined and their asymptotic distribution is obtained. The result leads to some useful diagnostic tools for statisticians using conditional heteroskedastic time series models. Some simulation results and an illustrative example are also reported.

Từ khóa


Tài liệu tham khảo

10.1093/biomet/66.3.547

10.2307/2034876

10.1016/0304-4076(92)90064-X

Box G. E. P., 1970, Distribution of the residual autocorrelations in autoregressive integrated moving average time series models, J. Am. Stat. Assoc., 65, 1509, 10.1080/01621459.1970.10481180

10.2307/1912773

10.1080/07474938608800095

10.2307/135114

Hall P., 1980, Martingale Limit Theory and Its Application.

10.2307/2526988

10.1093/biomet/79.2.435

Luukonen R., 1988, Testing linearity in univariate time series models, Scand. J. Stat., 15, 161

Max T. K.andLi W. K.(1992)Estimation of nonlinear time series with conditional heteroscedastic variances by iteratively weighted least squares. Paper submitted.

10.1111/j.1467-9892.1983.tb00373.x

Pantula S. G., 1988, Estimation of autoregressive models with ARCH errors, Sankhya Series B, 50, 119

Tong H., 1990, Nonlinear Time Series:A Dynamical System Approach., 10.1093/oso/9780198522249.001.0001

10.1111/j.1467-9892.1984.tb00382.x