Navigating foresight in a sea of expectations: lessons from the sociology of expectations

Technology Analysis and Strategic Management - Tập 24 Số 8 - Trang 769-782 - 2012
Harro van Lente1
1Department of Innovation Studies , Copernicus Institute of Sustainable Development, Utrecht University , 3508 TC, Utrecht , The Netherlands

Tóm tắt

Từ khóa


Tài liệu tham khảo

Antonelli C., 1989, Research Policy, 18, 273, 10.1016/0048-7333(89)90054-1

Bakker S., 2011, Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 78, 152, 10.1016/j.techfore.2010.09.001

Berkhout F., 2006, Technology Analysis & Strategic Management, 18, 299, 10.1080/09537320600777010

Berube D. M., 2006, NanoHype: The truth behind the nanotechnology buzz

Borup M., 2006, Technology Analysis & Strategic Management, 18, 285, 10.1080/09537320600777002

Braun E., 1995, Futile progress: Technology's empty promise

Brown N., 2003, Science Studies, 16, 3

Brown N., 2000, Contested futures: A sociology of prospective techno-science

Brown N., 2003, Technology Analysis & Strategic Management, 15, 3, 10.1080/0953732032000046024

Cagnin C., 2011, Futures, 43, 279, 10.1016/j.futures.2010.11.006

Coates V., 2001, Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 67, 1, 10.1016/S0040-1625(00)00122-0

Collins H., 1993, The golem: What you should know about science

Collins H., 1998, The golem at large: What you should know about technology

Da Costa O., 2008, Technology Analysis & Strategic Management, 20, 369, 10.1080/09537320802000146

Dierkes M., 1996, Visions of technology: Social and institutional factors shaping the development of new technologies

Douthwaite B., 2001, Research Policy, 30, 819, 10.1016/S0048-7333(00)00124-4

Eames M., 2006, Technology Analysis & Strategic Management, 18, 361, 10.1080/09537320600777127

Eerola A., 2011, Futures, 43, 265, 10.1016/j.futures.2010.11.005

Froot K. A., 1992, Journal of Finance, 47, 1461, 10.1111/j.1540-6261.1992.tb04665.x

Geels F. W., 2000, Futures, 32, 867, 10.1016/S0016-3287(00)00036-7

Gordon T. J., 2005, Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 72, 1064, 10.1016/j.techfore.2004.11.008

Grin J., 2000, Vision assessment: Shaping technology in 21st century society. Towards a repertoire for technology assessment. Heidelberg: Springer Verlag., 10.1007/978-3-642-59702-2

Groenveld P., 1997, Research Technology Management, 40, 48, 10.1080/08956308.1997.11671157

Guice J., 1999, Research Policy, 28, 81, 10.1016/S0048-7333(98)00105-X

Harper J. C., 2008, Technology Analysis & Strategic Management, 20, 267, 10.1080/09537320801997193

Havas A., 2003, Journal of Forecasting, 22, 179, 10.1002/for.855

Hedgecoe A., 2003, Social Studies of Science, 33, 327, 10.1177/03063127030333002

Hellsten I., 2002, Science as Culture, 11, 459, 10.1080/0950543022000028938

Houston J., 2001, Lockheed-Martin, 4

Jacobsson S., 2000, Energy Policy, 28, 625, 10.1016/S0301-4215(00)00041-0

Kappel T. A., 2001, Journal of Product Innovation Management, 18, 39, 10.1016/S0737-6782(00)00066-7

Könnölä T., 2007, Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 74, 608, 10.1016/j.techfore.2006.11.003

Konrad K., 2006, Technology Analysis & Strategic Management, 18, 429, 10.1080/09537320600777192

Kuusi O., 2002, Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 69, 625, 10.1016/S0040-1625(02)00182-8

Luiten E., 2006, Technovation, 26, 1029, 10.1016/j.technovation.2005.10.004

MacKenzie D., 1990, Inventing accuracy: A historical sociology of nuclear missile guidance

Merton R. K., 1968, Social theory and social structure

Nahuis R., 2008, Science, Technology and Human Values, 3, 559, 10.1177/0162243907306700

Nelson R. R., 1982, An evolutionary theory of economic change

Porter A., 2004, Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 71, 287, 10.1016/j.techfore.2003.11.004

Reger G., 2001, Technology Analysis & Strategic Management, 13, 533, 10.1080/09537320127286

Rip A., 1998, Human choice and climate change, 327

Rip A., 1998, Getting new technologies together, 285

Roelofsen A., 2008, Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 75, 334, 10.1016/j.techfore.2007.01.004

Rosenberg N., 1982, Inside the black box: Technology and economics, 104

Rollwagen I., 2008, Technology Analysis & Strategic Management, 20, 337, 10.1080/09537320802000070

Salo A. A., 2001, International Journal of Technology Management, 21, 694, 10.1504/IJTM.2001.002944

Schoen A., 2011, Futures, 43, 232, 10.1016/j.futures.2010.11.002

Schot J., 1996, Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 54, 251, 10.1016/S0040-1625(96)00180-1

Sturken M., 2004, Technological visions. The hopes and fears that shape new technologies

Sung J. J., 2006, Technology Analysis & Strategic Management, 18, 345, 10.1080/09537320600777119

Unruh G. C., 2000, Energy Policy, 28, 817, 10.1016/S0301-4215(00)00070-7

Van der Duin P., 2006, Qualitative futures research for innovation

Van Lente H., 1993, Promising technology. The dynamics of expectations in technological developments

Van Lente H., 2000, Contested futures. A sociology of prospective techno-science, 43

Van Lente H., 2006, Innovation, science, and institutional change: A research handbook, 369, 10.1093/oso/9780199299195.003.0019

Van Lente H., 2010, Technology Analysis & Strategic Management, 22, 693, 10.1080/09537325.2010.496283

Van't Klooster S. A., 2011, Futures, 43, 86, 10.1016/j.futures.2010.10.015

Vergragt P. J., 1988, Social Studies of Science, 18, 483, 10.1177/030631288018003004

Williams R., 2002, Shaping technology, guiding policy: Concepts spaces and tools

Willyard C. H., 1997, Research Management, 30, 13, 10.1080/00345334.1987.11757057