Monetary policy and exchange rate dynamics in the Spanish economy

Spanish Economic Review - Tập 1 - Trang 55-77 - 1999
Javier Andrés1, Ricardo Mestre2, Javier Vallés3
1 University of Valencia, Edificio Oriental, Avénida de los Naranjos, E-46022 Valencia, Spain (e-mail: [email protected]) , , ES
2 European Central Bank, Kaiserstrasse 29, D-60311 Frankfurt/Main, Germany , , DE
3 Research Department, Banco de España, Alcalá 50, E-28014 Madrid, Spain (e-mail: [email protected]) , , ES

Tóm tắt

As the Spanish economy gets more integrated in international markets, the real exchange rate becomes a key determinant of the monetary transmission. In this paper we trace out the dynamic response of prices, output and the exchange rate following a monetary policy shock. We estimate a structural VAR model whose identification scheme is based on the long run properties common to a large class of models. The results suggest that a small model with efficient asset markets plus nominal inertia and long run monetary neutrality, captures the essential features of the monetary transmission mechanism in Spain. The interest rate shock is well identified and the exchange rate overshoots its long run value. There are no signs of liquidity puzzle nor of price puzzle or exchange rate puzzle either.