Mô Hình Tác Động Của Chương Trình Tiêm Chủng Và Di Chuyển Giữa Các Bang Đến Sự Lây Lan Của COVID-19 Tại Malaysia

Ahmad NA, Lin CZ, Abd Rahman S, bin Ghazali MH, Nadzari EE, Zakiman Z, Redzuan S, Md Taib S, Kassim MSA, Wan Mohamed Noor WN (2020) First local transmission cluster of COVID-19 in Malaysia: public health response. IJTMGH 8(3):124–130. https://doi.org/10.34172/ijtmgh.2020.21 Aziz MHN (2022) Estimation of parameters for COVID-19 model. Zenodo. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.6624568 Aziz MHN, Simitev RD (2021a) Estimation of parameters for an archetypal model of cardiomyocyte membrane potentials. arXiv. https://arxiv.org/abs/2105.06853v1 Aziz MHN, Simitev RD (2021b) Code for estimation of parameters for an archetypal model of Cardiomyocyte Membrane Potentials. Zenodo. https://doi.org/10.5281/ZENODO.4568662 Aziz NA, Othman J, Lugova H, Suleiman A (2020) Malaysia’s approach in handling COVID-19 onslaught: report on the Movement Control Order (MCO) and targeted screening to reduce community infection rate and impact on public health and economy. J Infect Public Health 13(12):1823–1829. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jiph.2020.08.007 Backer JA, Klinkenberg D, Wallinga J (2020) Incubation period of 2019 novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) infections among travellers from Wuhan, China, 20–28 January 2020. Eurosurveillance. https://doi.org/10.2807/1560-7917.es.2020.25.5.2000062 Breathnach AS, Riley PA, Cotter MP, Houston AC, Habibi MS, Planche TD (2021) Prior COVID-19 significantly reduces the risk of subsequent infection, but reinfections are seen after eight months. J Infect 82(4):e11–e12. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jinf.2021.01.005 Carcione JM, Santos JE, Bagaini C, Ba J (2020) A Simulation of a COVID-19 epidemic based on a deterministic SEIR model. Front Public Health. https://doi.org/10.3389/fpubh.2020.00230 CDC (2021) Science brief: COVID-19 vaccines and vaccination. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/science/science-briefs/fully-vaccinated-people.html. Accessed 17 Sep 2021 Chu DK et al (2020) Physical distancing, face masks, and eye protection to prevent person-to-person transmission of SARS-CoV-2 and COVID-19: a systematic review and meta-analysis. The Lancet 395(10242):1973–1987. https://doi.org/10.1016/s0140-6736(20)31142-9 Cirrincione L, Plescia F, Ledda C, Rapisarda V, Martorana D, Moldovan RE, Theodoridou K, Cannizzaro E (2020) COVID-19 pandemic: prevention and protection measures to be adopted at the workplace. Sustainability 12(9):3603. https://doi.org/10.3390/su12093603 Dass SC, Kwok WM, Gibson GJ, Gill BS, Sundram BM, Singh S (2021) A data driven change-point epidemic model for assessing the impact of large gathering and subsequent movement control order on COVID-19 spread in Malaysia. PLoS ONE 16(5):e0252136. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0252136 Eurosurveillance Editorial Team (2020) Note from the editors: World Health Organization declares novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) sixth public health emergency of international concern. Eurosurveillance. https://doi.org/10.2807/1560-7917.es.2020.25.5.200131e Evensen G, Amezcua J, Bocquet M, Carrassi A, Farchi A, Fowler A, Houtekamer PL, Jones CK, de Moraes RJ, Pulido M, Sampson C, Vossepoel FC (2020) An international initiative of predicting the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic using ensemble data assimilation. Found Data Sci. https://doi.org/10.3934/fods.2021001 Frias-Martinez E, Williamson G, Frias-Martinez V (2011) An agent-based model of epidemic spread using human mobility and social network information. In: 2011 IEEE third international conference on privacy, security, risk and trust and 2011 IEEE third international conference on social computing. 2011 IEEE third int’l conference on privacy, security, risk and trust (PASSAT)/2011 IEEE third int’l conference on social computing (SocialCom). https://doi.org/10.1109/passat/socialcom.2011.142 Gill BS et al (2020) Modelling the effectiveness of epidemic control measures in preventing the transmission of COVID-19 in Malaysia. Int J Environ Res Public Health 17(15):5509. https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph17155509 Hairer E, Wanner G (1991) Multistep methods for stiff problems. In: Solving ordinary differential equations II. Springer series in computational mathematics, vol 14. Springer, Berlin. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-662-09947-6_2 Hashim JH, Adman MA, Hashim Z, MohdRadi MF, Kwan SC (2021) COVID-19 epidemic in Malaysia: epidemic progression, challenges, and response in Public Health. Front Public Health. https://doi.org/10.3389/fpubh.2021.560592 Haug N, Geyrhofer L, Londei A, Dervic E, Desvars-Larrive A, Loreto V, Pinior B, Thurner S, Klimek P (2020) Ranking the effectiveness of worldwide COVID-19 government interventions. Nat Hum Behav 4(12):1303–1312. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41562-020-01009-0 Layan M, Gilboa M, Gonen T, Goldenfeld M, Meltzer L, Andronico A, Hozé N, Cauchemez S, Regev-Yochay G (2021) Impact of BNT162b2 vaccination and isolation on SARS-CoV-2 transmission in Israeli households: an observational study. Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory. https://doi.org/10.1101/2021.07.12.21260377 Nelder JA, Mead R (1965) A simplex method for function minimization. Comput J 7(4):308–313. https://doi.org/10.1093/comjnl/7.4.308 Noble JV (1974) Geographic and temporal development of plagues. Nature 250(5469):726–729. https://doi.org/10.1038/250726a0 Polack FP et al (2020) Safety and efficacy of the BNT162b2 mRNA COVID-19 vaccine. N Engl J Med 383(27):2603–2615. https://doi.org/10.1056/nejmoa2034577 Salman AM, Ahmed I, Mohd MH, Jamiluddin MS, Dheyab MA (2021) Scenario analysis of COVID-19 transmission dynamics in Malaysia with the possibility of reinfection and limited medical resources scenarios. Comput Biol Med 133:104372. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.compbiomed.2021.104372 Seow J et al (2020) Longitudinal observation and decline of neutralizing antibody responses in the three months following SARS-CoV-2 infection in humans. Nat Microbiol 5(12):1598–1607. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41564-020-00813-8 Syafruddin S, Noorani MSM (2012) SEIR model for transmission of dengue fever in Selangor Malaysia. Int J Mod Phys 09:380–389. https://doi.org/10.1142/s2010194512005454 Tay CJ, Teh SY, Koh HL (2018a) ASEI-SEIR model with vaccination for dengue control in Shah Alam. Malaysia. In: Symposium on biomathematics (SYMOMATH) 2017. https://doi.org/10.1063/1.5026093 Tay CJ, Teh SY, Koh HL (2018b) ASEI-SEIR model with vaccination for dengue control in Shah Alam. Malaysia. AIP Conf Proc. https://aip.scitation.org/doi/abs/10.1063/1.5026093 Thompson MG et al (2021) Interim estimates of vaccine effectiveness of BNT162b2 and mRNA-1273 COVID-19 vaccines in preventing SARS-CoV-2 infection among health care personnel, first responders, and other essential and frontline workers—eight U.S. locations, December 2020–March 2021. Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report. https://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/volumes/70/wr/mm7013e3.htm van den Driessche P (2017) Reproduction numbers of infectious disease models. Infect Dis Modell 2(3):288–303. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.idm.2017.06.002 Wong WK, Juwono FH, Chua TH (2021) SIR simulation of COVID-19 pandemic in Malaysia: will the vaccination program be effective?. arXiv. https://arxiv.org/abs/2101.07494v1 Ying F, O’Clery N (2021) Modelling COVID-19 transmission in supermarkets using an agent-based model. PLoS ONE 16(4):e0249821. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0249821 Zhu N, Zhang D, Wang W, Li X, Yang B, Song J, Zhao X, Huang B, Shi W, Lu R, Niu P, Zhan F, Ma X, Wang D, Xu W, Wu G, Gao GF, Tan W (2020) A novel coronavirus from patients with pneumonia in China, 2019. N Engl J Med 382(8):727–733. https://doi.org/10.1056/nejmoa2001017