Modeling endogenous technological change for climate policy analysis

Energy Economics - Tập 30 - Trang 2734-2753 - 2008
Kenneth Gillingham1, Richard G. Newell2,3,4, William A. Pizer3
1Stanford University, Stanford, CA 94305, USA
2Duke University, Nicholas School of Environment, Box 90227, Durham, NC 27708, USA
3Resources for the Future, 1616 P St NW, Washington, DC 20036, USA
4National Bureau of Economic Research, 1050 Mass. Ave., Cambridge, MA 02138, USA

Tài liệu tham khảo

Acemoglu, 1998, Why do new technologies complement skills? Directed technical change and wage inequality, Quarterly Journal of Economics, 113, 1055, 10.1162/003355398555838 Acemoglu, 2002, Directed technical change, Review of Economic Studies, 69, 781, 10.1111/1467-937X.00226 Aghion, 1998 Alcamo, 1998 Anderson, 1992, Carbon accumulation and technical progress—a simulation study of costs, Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 54, 1, 10.1111/j.1468-0084.1992.mp54001001.x Arrow, 1962, The economic implications of learning by doing, Review of Economic Studies, 29, 155, 10.2307/2295952 Azar, 1999, A review of technical change in assessments of climate policy, Annual Review of Energy and the Environment, 24, 513, 10.1146/annurev.energy.24.1.513 Bahn, 2003, Incorporating different endogenous learning formulations in MERGE, International Journal of Global Energy Issues, 19, 333, 10.1504/IJGEI.2003.003199 Barker, 1998, Equite and ecotax reform in the EU: achieving a 10% reduction in CO2 emissions using exise duties, Fiscal Studies, 19, 375, 10.1111/j.1475-5890.1998.tb00292.x Barreto, 1999, Technological learning in energy models: experience and scenario analysis with MARKAL and the ERIS model prototype Binswanger, 1978 Böhringer, 1998, The synthesis of bottom-up and top-down in energy policy modeling, Energy Economics, 20, 234, 10.1016/S0140-9883(97)00015-7 Bollen, 2004, How much does a 30% emission reduction cost? Buonanno, 2003, Endogenous induced technical change and the costs of Kyoto, Resource and Energy Economics, 25, 11, 10.1016/S0928-7655(02)00015-5 Burniaux, 1992 Capros, 1997, European Union—the GEM-E3 General Equilibrium Model, Economic and Financial Modeling, 4 Carraro, 1997, Economic growth, international competitiveness and environmental protection: R&D and innovation strategies with the WARM model, Energy Economics, 19, 2, 10.1016/S0140-9883(96)01005-5 Castelnuovo, 2003, Learning by doing vs learning by researching in a model of climate change policy analysis Clarke, 2002, Modeling induced technological change: an overview Dowlatabadi, 1998, Sensitivity of climate change mitigation estimates to assumptions about technical change, Energy Economics, 20, 473, 10.1016/S0140-9883(98)00009-7 Edenhofer, 2006, Induced technological change: exploring its implications for the economics of atmospheric stabilization, The Energy Journal Special Issue,, 1 Edmonds, 2000 EIA, 2003 Fischer, 2008, Environmental and technology policies for climate mitigation, Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, 55, 142, 10.1016/j.jeem.2007.11.001 Fisher-Vanden, 2004, What is driving China's decline in energy intensity?, Resource and Energy Economics, 26, 77, 10.1016/j.reseneeco.2003.07.002 Fisher-Vanden, 2006, Technology development and energy productivity in China, Energy Economics, 28, 690, 10.1016/j.eneco.2006.05.006 Gerlagh, 2003, Induced technological change under carbon taxes Gerlagh, 2003, Gross world product and consumption in a global warming model with endogenous technological change, Resource and Energy Economics, 25, 35, 10.1016/S0928-7655(02)00020-9 Goulder, 2004, Induced technological change and climate policy Goulder, 2000, Optimal CO2 abatement in the presence of induced technological change, Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, 39, 1, 10.1006/jeem.1999.1089 Goulder, 1999, Induced technological change and the attractiveness of CO2 abatement policies, Resource and Energy Economics, 21, 211, 10.1016/S0928-7655(99)00004-4 Gritsevskyi, 2000, Modeling uncertainty of induced technological change, Energy Policy, 28, 907, 10.1016/S0301-4215(00)00082-3 Grossman, 1994, Endogenous innovation in the theory of growth, Journal of Economic Perspectives, 8, 23, 10.1257/jep.8.1.23 Grubb, 1997, Technologies, energy systems and the timing of CO2 emissions abatement: an overview of economic issues, Energy Policy, 25, 159, 10.1016/S0301-4215(96)00106-1 Grubb, 1995, The economics of changing course: implications of adaptability and inertia for optimal climate policy, Energy Policy, 23, 417, 10.1016/0301-4215(95)90167-6 Grubb, 2002, Induced technical change in energy and environmental modeling, Annual Review of Energy and the Environment, 27, 271, 10.1146/annurev.energy.27.122001.083408 Grübler, 1998, Technological change and the timing of mitigation measures, Energy Economics, 20, 495, 10.1016/S0140-9883(98)00010-3 Grübler, 1999, Modeling technological change: implications for the global environment, Annual Review of Energy and the Environment, 24, 545, 10.1146/annurev.energy.24.1.545 2002 Hicks, 1932 Jacoby, 2003, Technology and technical change in the MIT EPPA model Jaffe, 2003, Technological change and the environment, vol. 1 Jakeman, 2004, Induced innovations and climate change policy, Energy Economics, 26, 937, 10.1016/j.eneco.2004.09.002 Jorgenson, 1993, Reducing US carbon emissions: an econometric general equilibrium assessment, Resource and Energy Economics, 15, 7, 10.1016/0928-7655(93)90016-N Kamien, 1968, Optimal induced technical change, Econometrica, 36, 1, 10.2307/1909600 Kennedy, 1964, Induced bias in innovation and the theory of distribution, The Economic Journal, 74, 541, 10.2307/2228295 Kily, 1999, The supply of skilled labor and skill-biased technological progess, Economic Journal, 109, 708, 10.1111/1468-0297.00470 Kohler, 2006, The transition to endogenous technical change in climate-economy models: a technical overview to the innovation modeling comparison project, The Energy Journal Special Issue,, 17 Kouvaritakis, 2000, Modelling energy technology dynamics: methodology for adaptive expectations models with learning by doing and learning by searching, International Journal of Global Energy Issues, 14, 104, 10.1504/IJGEI.2000.004384 Lieberman, 1984, The learning curve and pricing in the chemical processing industries, Rand Journal of Economics, 15, 213, 10.2307/2555676 Loschel, 2002, Technological change in economic models of environmental policy: a survey, Ecological Economics, 43, 105, 10.1016/S0921-8009(02)00209-4 Lucas, 1988, On the mechanics of economic development, Journal of Monetary Economics, 100, 223 Lucas, 1976, Econometric policy evaluation: a critique, Carnegie-Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy, 1, 19, 10.1016/S0167-2231(76)80003-6 MacCracken, 1999, The economics of the Kyoto protocol, The Energy Journal, 25 Manne, 2004, Learning-by-doing and carbon dioxide abatement, Energy Economics, 26, 621, 10.1016/j.eneco.2004.04.023 Manne, 1992 Manne, 2004, The impact of learning-by-doing on the timing and costs of CO2 abatement, Energy Economics, 26, 603, 10.1016/j.eneco.2004.04.033 McKibbin, 1993, The global consequences of regional environmental policies: an integrated macroeconomic, multi-sectoral approach Messner, 1997, Endogenized technological learning in an energy systems model, Journal of Evolutionary Economics, 7, 291, 10.1007/s001910050045 Mulder, 2003, Explaining slow diffusion of energy-saving technologies; a vintage model with returns to diversity and learning-by-using, Resource and Energy Economics, 25, 105, 10.1016/S0928-7655(02)00019-2 Neij, 1997, Use of experience curves to analyze the prospects for diffusion and adoption of renewable energy technology, Energy Policy, 23, 1099, 10.1016/S0301-4215(97)00135-3 Newell, 1999, The induced innovation hypothesis and energy-saving technological change, The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 114, 941, 10.1162/003355399556188 Nordhaus, 1994 Nordhaus, 2002, Modeling induced innovation in climate change policy Nordhaus, 1996, A regional dynamic general-equilibrium model of alternative climate-change strategies, American Economic Review, 86, 741 Oravetz, 1995, Is there autonomous energy efficiency improvement? Otto, 2006, Directed technical change and climate policy Papathanasiou, 2001, Uncertainties in responding to climate change: on the economic value of technology policies for reducing costs and creating options, The Energy Journal, 23, 79 Pizer, 1999, The optimal choice of climate change policy in the presences of uncertainty, Resource and Energy Economics, 21, 255, 10.1016/S0928-7655(99)00005-6 Popp, 2001, The effect of new technology on energy consumption, Resource and Energy Economics, 23, 215, 10.1016/S0928-7655(00)00045-2 Popp, 2002, Induced innovation and energy prices, American Economic Review, 92, 160, 10.1257/000282802760015658 Popp, 2003, Lessons from patents: using patents to measure technological change in environmental models Popp, 2004, ENTICE: endogenous technological change in the DICE model of global warming, Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, 48, 742, 10.1016/j.jeem.2003.09.002 Popp, 2005, Lessons from patents: using patents to measure technological change in environmental models, Ecological Economics, 54, 209, 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2005.01.001 Popp, 2006, ENTICE-BR: the effects of backstop technology R&D on climate policy models, Energy Economics, 28, 188, 10.1016/j.eneco.2005.10.004 Popp, 2006, Innovation in climate policy models: implementing lessons from the economics of R&D, Energy Economics, 28, 596, 10.1016/j.eneco.2006.05.007 Romer, 1990, Endogenous technological change, Journal of Political Economy, 98, S71, 10.1086/261725 Rosenberg, 1982 Ruttan, 2002, Sources of technical change: induced innovation, evolutionary theory and path dependence Schneider, 1997, Commentary: achieving low-cost emissions targets, Nature, 389, 13, 10.1038/37861 Seebregts, 1999 Smulders, 2003, The impact of energy conservation on technology and economic growth, Resource and Energy Economics, 25, 59, 10.1016/S0928-7655(02)00017-9 Sue Wing, I., 2001. Induced Technological Change in Computable General Equilibrium Models for Climate-Change Policy Analysis. PhD Dissertation. Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA. Sue Wing, 2003, Induced technical change and the cost of climate policy Sue Wing, 2006, Representing induced technological change in models for climate policy, Energy Economics, 28, 539, 10.1016/j.eneco.2006.05.009 Sue Wing, I., 2008a. Induced Technological Change: Firm Innovatory Responses to Environmental Regulation. Unpublished Manuscript available at http://people.bu.edu/isw/. Sue Wing, 2008, Explaining the declining energy intensity of the U.S. economy, Resource and Energy Economics, 30, 21, 10.1016/j.reseneeco.2007.03.001 Sue Wing, 2006 van der Zwann, 2002, Endogenous technological change in climate change modeling, Energy Economics, 24, 1, 10.1016/S0140-9883(01)00073-1 van Zon, 2003, An endogenous growth model with embodied energy-saving technical change, Resource and Energy Economics, 25, 81, 10.1016/S0928-7655(02)00018-0 Vollebergh, 2005, The role of technological change for sustainable development, Ecological Economics, 54, 133, 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2004.12.025 Weyant, 2004, Introduction and overview: energy economics special issue EMF 19 study on technology and global change policies, Energy Economics, 26, 501, 10.1016/j.eneco.2004.04.019 Weyant, 1999, Issues in modeling induced technological change in energy, environmental, and climate policy, Environmental Modeling and Assessment, 4, 67, 10.1023/A:1019012317160 Wright, 1936, Factors affecting the costs of airplanes, Journal of Aeronautical Sciences, 3, 122, 10.2514/8.155