Measuring Determinants of Student Return VS. Dropout/Stopout VS. Transfer: A First-to-Second Year Analysis of New Freshmen
Tóm tắt
To reflect academic challenges and enrollment patterns of today’s freshmen, this study measures the impact of high school preparation, first-year academic performance, multi-institution enrollment, and financial aid support on second-year persistence. Using multi-year cohorts at a public research university, results confirm the importance of including first-year math experience, math intensity of the declared major, simultaneous enrollment at another college/university, and second-year financial aid offers when measuring freshmen retention. The positive impact of a large-scale, state-funded scholarship program in widening access to college must be balanced against findings that show academic performance and readiness to take on and pass first-year math to be more important than aid in explaining freshmen dropout and transfer-out during both first and second semesters. Middle-income students with greater levels of unmet need face an elevated departure risk, while academically well-prepared freshmen with unmet need are more likely to transfer to other institutions.
Tài liệu tham khảo
C. Adelman (2004) Principal Indicators of Student Academic Histories in Postsecondary Education, 1972–2000 US Department of Education Washington, DC
C. Adelman (1999) Answers in the Tool Box US Department of Education Washington, DC
A. W. Astin (1984) ArticleTitleStudent involvement: A developmental theory for higher education Journal of College Student Personnel 25 IssueID4 297–308
J. P. Bean (1985) ArticleTitleInteraction effects based on class level in an explanatory model of college student dropout syndrome American Educational Research Journal 22 IssueID1 35–65
J. P. Bean (1982) ArticleTitleStudent attrition, intentions, and confidence: interaction effects in a path model Research in Higher Education 17 IssueID4 291–319 Occurrence Handle10.1007/BF00977899
J. P. Bean (1980) ArticleTitleDropouts and turnover: The synthesis and test of a causal model of student attrition Research in Higher Education 12 IssueID2 155–187 Occurrence Handle10.1007/BF00976194
M. Beeson R. Wessel (2002) ArticleTitleThe impact of working on campus on the academic persistence of freshmen Journal of Student Financial Aid 32 IssueID2 37–45
C. Beil C. A. Reisen M. C. Zea (1999) ArticleTitleA longitudinal study of the effects of academic and social integration and commitment on retention NASPA Journal 37 IssueID1 376–385
H. Belch M. Gebel G. M. Maas (2001) ArticleTitleRelationship between student recreation complex use, academic performance, and persistence of first-time freshmen NASPA Journal 38 IssueID2 254–268
D. A. Belsley (1991) Conditioning Diagnostics Wiley New York
J. B. Berger J. M. Braxton (1998) ArticleTitleRevising Tinto’s interactionalist theory of student departure through theory elaboration: Examining the role of organizational attributes in the persistence process Research in Higher Education 39 IssueID2 103–119 Occurrence Handle10.1023/A:1018760513769
Bettinger, E. (2002, August). How financial aid affects persistence. Working paper, Case Western Reserve University.
J. M. Billson M. Brooks-Terry (1987) ArticleTitleA student retention model for higher education College and University 62 IssueID4 290–305
V. M. H. Borden (2004) ArticleTitleAccommodating student swirl: When traditional students are no longer the tradition Change 36 IssueID2 10–17
A. Braunstein M. McGrath D. Pescatrice (2001) ArticleTitleMeasuring the impact of financial factors on college persistence Journal of College Student Retention 2 IssueID3 191–203
A. Braunstein M. McGrath D. Pescatrice (1999) ArticleTitleMeasuring the impact of income and financial aid offers on college persistence Research in Higher Education 40 IssueID3 247–259 Occurrence Handle10.1023/A:1018742931941
J. M Braxton (Eds) (2000) Reworking the Student Departure Puzzle Vanderbilt University Press Nashville, TN
J. M. Braxton J. F. Milem A. S. Sullivan (2000) ArticleTitleThe influence of active learning on the college student departure process Journal of Higher Education 71 IssueID5 569–590
J. M. Braxton A. S. Sullivan R. M. Johnson (1997) Appraising Tinto’s theory of college student departure J. C. Smart (Eds) Higher Education: Handbook of Theory and Research (Vol. 10) Agathon Press New York 107–164
M. J. Bresciani L. Carson (2002) ArticleTitleA study of undergraduate persistence by unmet need and percentage of gift aid NASPA Journal 40 IssueID1 104–123
A. F. Cabrera S. M. La Nasa (2001) ArticleTitleOn the path to college: Three critical tasks facing America’s disadvantaged Research in Higher Education 42 IssueID2 119–149 Occurrence Handle10.1023/A:1026520002362
A. F. Cabrera A. Nora M. Castaneda (1993) ArticleTitleCollege persistence: Structural equations modeling test of an integrated model of student retention Journal of Higher Education 64 IssueID2 123–139
A. F. Cabrera M. B. Castaneda A. Nora D. Hengstler (1992) ArticleTitleThe convergence between two theories of college persistence Journal of Higher Education 63 IssueID2 143–64
R. L. Cambiano G. S. Denny J. B. De Vore (2000) ArticleTitleCollege student retention at a midwestern university: A six-year study Journal of College Admission 166 IssueIDWinter 22–29
Clabaugh, J. (2004, January 15). Sallie Mae doles out record student loans. Washington Business JournalRetrieved January 29, 2004, from http://washington.bizjournals.com/washington/stories/2004/01/12/daily27.html.
J. Cohen P. Cohen S. G. West L. S. Aiken (2003) Applied Multiple Regression/Correlation Analysis for the Behavioral Sciences EditionNumber3 L. Erlbaum Associates Publishers Mahwah, NJ
Cofers, J., and Somers, P. (1998, April). I sold my soul to the company store: low debtload influences student decisions at public and private colleges. Paper presented at the American Educational Research Association annual meeting, San Diego, CA.
S. DesJardins (2003) Event history methods: Conceptual issues and an application to student departure from college J. C. Smart (Eds) Higher Education: Handbook of Theory and Research Kluwer Academic Publishers Norwell, MA 421–471
S. DesJardins (2001) ArticleTitleA comment on interpreting odds-ratios when logistic regression coefficients are negative AIR Professional File 81 IssueIDFall 1–7
S. DesJardins D. Ahlburg B. McCall (2002) ArticleTitleSimulating the longitudinal effects of changes in financial aid on student departure from college Journal of Human Resources 37 IssueID3 653–79
DuBrock, C., and Fenske, R. (2000, May). Financial aid and college persistence: a five-year longitudinal analysis. Paper presented at the 40th annual forum of the Association for Institutional Research, Cincinnati, OH.
E. F. Farrell (2005) ArticleTitleMore students plan to work to help for college, record percentages of freshmen also expect to take on high debt. Chronicle of Higher Education 51 IssueID22 A1
Fenske, R., Porter, J., and DuBrock, C. (1999, May–June). Analyzing student aid packaging to improve low-income and minority student access, retention, and degree completion. Paper presented at the 39th annual forum of the Association for Institutional Research, Seattle, WA.
Fiske, E. B. (2004, Spring). Student success. Focus (Lumina Foundation): 4–23.
Gardner, J. N., McClenney, K., and Terenzini, P. T. (2004, April). Rethinking Retention. National Resource Center for the First-Year Experience and Students in Transition, Teleconference #3 of the 2004 Teleconference Series.
Gillespie, M., and Noble, J. (1992) Factors Affecting Student Persistence: A Longitudinal Study. ACT Research Report, pp. 92–94.
J. Grandy (1998) ArticleTitlePersistence in science of high-ability minority students Journal of Higher Education 69 IssueID6 589–620
Greene, J. P., and Forster, G. (2003, September). Public High School Graduation and College Readiness Rates in the United States (Education Working Paper No. 3). New York: Manhattan Institute.
K. Haycock (2002) ArticleTitleStill at risk Thinking K-16 6 IssueID1 3–22
Hendel, D. D. (2001, April). The relative contribution of participating in a first-year seminar on student satisfaction and retention into the sophomore year. Paper presented at the annual meeting of the American Educational Research Association, Seattle, WA.
L. Horn K. Peter D. Carroll (2003) What Colleges Contribute: Institutional Aid to Full-Time Undergraduates Attending 4-Year Colleges and Universities (NCES Report 2003–157) US Department of Education Washington, DC
D. W. Hosmer S. Lemeshow (2000) Applied Logistic Regression EditionNumber2 Wiley New York
S. Hu E. P. St. John (2001) ArticleTitleStudent persistence in a public higher education system: Understanding racial and ethnic differences Journal of Higher Education 72 IssueID3 265–286
IHEP [Institute for Higher Education Policy]. (2004, May). Investing in America’s Future: Why Student Aid Pays Off For Society and Individuals. Washington, DC.
T. T. Ishitani (2003) ArticleTitleA longitudinal approach to assessing attrition behaviour among first-generation students Research in Higher Education 44 IssueID4 433–449 Occurrence Handle10.1023/A:1024284932709
T. T. Ishitani S. L. DesJardins (2002) ArticleTitleA longitudinal investigation of dropout from college in the United States Journal of College Student Retention 4 IssueID2 173–201 Occurrence Handle10.2190/V4EN-NW42-742Q-2NTL
R. Laden R. Matranga G. Peltier (1999) ArticleTitlePersistence of special admissions students at a small university Education 120 IssueID1 76–81
L. K. Lau (2003) ArticleTitleInstitutional factors affecting student retention Education 124 IssueID1 126–136
K. Leppel (2002) ArticleTitleSimilarities and differences in the college persistence of men and women Review of Higher Education 25 IssueID4 433–450 Occurrence Handle10.1353/rhe.2002.0021
J. Laing R. Sawyer J. Noble (1988) ArticleTitleAccuracy of self-reported activities and accomplishments of college-bound students Journal of College Student Development 29 IssueID4 362–368
Long, S. (1998) Influence of work study, loans, need-based gift aid, merit-base aid, and satisfaction with financial aid on freshmen-to-sophomore retention. Unpublished doctoral dissertation, University of Missouri, Columbia.
W. Mau (2003) ArticleTitleFactors that influence persistence in science and engineering career aspirations Career Development Quarterly 51 IssueIDMarch 234–243
M. McGrath A. Braunstein (1997) ArticleTitleThe prediction of freshmen attrition: An examination of the importance of certain demographic, academic, financial, and social factors College Student Journal 31 IssueIDSeptember 396–408
McPherson, M. S., and Schapiro, M. O. (1990, April). Does student aid affect college enrollment? New evidence on a persistent controversy. Williams Project on the Economics of Higher Education (Discussion Paper No. 1). Williamstown, MA: Williams College.
S. Menard (2001) Applied Logistic Regression Analysis EditionNumber2 CA: Sage Newbury Park
Mortenson, T. (2003, November). Emerging higher education policy trends and roles for institutional research. Paper presented at the Midwest Institutional Research Association, Bloomington, MN.
P. A. Murtaugh L. D. Burns J. Schuster (1999) ArticleTitlePredicting the retention of university students Research in Higher Education 40 IssueID3 355–371 Occurrence Handle10.1023/A:1018755201899
M. A. Okun M. Benin A. Brandt-Williams (1996) ArticleTitleStaying in college: Moderators of the relation between intention and institutional departure Journal of Higher Education 67 IssueIDSeptember/October 577–596
E. T. Pascarella P. T. Terenzini L. M. Wolfle (1986) ArticleTitleOrientation to college and freshman year persistence/withdrawal decisions Journal of Higher Education 57 IssueID2 155–175
E. T. Pascarella P. T. Terenzini (1980) ArticleTitlePredicting freshman persistence and voluntary dropout decisions from a theoretical model Journal of Higher Education 51 IssueID1 60–75
M. Paulsen E. P. St. John (2002) ArticleTitleSocial class and college costs: Examining the financial nexus between college choice and persistence Journal of Higher Education 73 IssueID2 189–236
E. J. Pedhazur (1997) Multiple Regression in Behavioral Research Harcourt Brace New York
C. J. Peng T. H. So F. K. Stage E. P. St. John (2002) ArticleTitleThe use and interpretation of logistic regression in higher education journals: 1988–99 Research in Higher Education 43 IssueID3 259–293 Occurrence Handle10.1023/A:1014858517172
Perna, L. W. (1997). The contribution of financial aid to undergraduate persistence. Paper presented at the 22th annual forum of the Association for Study of Higher Education, Albuquerque, NM.
S. R. Porter (2002) ArticleTitleIncluding transfer-out behavior in retention models: Using the NSC EnrollmentSearch data Air Professional File 82 IssueIDWinter 1–16
W. Potter (2003) ArticleTitleStudents overestimate cost of attending college, report says Chronicle of Higher Education 50 IssueID9 A27
J. E. Rosenbaum (2001) Beyond College For All Russell Sage New York
Sanoff, A. P. (2004, April 30). Americans see money for college somewhere over the rainbow. Chronicle of Higher Education 50(34): B6.
M. W. Sidle J. McReynolds (1999) ArticleTitleThe freshman year experience: Student retention and student success NASPA Journal 36 IssueID4 288–300
P. Somers (1995) ArticleTitleA comprehensive model for examining the impact of financial aid on enrollment and persistence Journal of Student Financial Aid 25 IssueID1 13–27
W. G. Spady (1971) ArticleTitleDropouts from higher education: An interdisciplinary review and synthesis Interchange 1 IssueID1 64–85
E. P. St. John (2000) ArticleTitleThe impact of student aid on recruitment and retention: what the research indicates New Directions for Student Services 89 IssueIDSpring 61–75
E. P. St. John (1992) ArticleTitleWorkable models for institutional research on the impact of student financial aid Journal of Student Financial Aid 22 IssueID3 13–26
E. P. St. John S. Hu A. Simmons D. F. Carter J. Weber (2004) ArticleTitleWhat difference does a major make? the influence of college major field on persistence by African American and White students Research in Higher Education 45 IssueID3 209–232 Occurrence Handle10.1023/B:RIHE.0000019587.46953.9d
E. P. St. John S. Hu J. Weber (2001) ArticleTitleState policy and the affordability of public higher education Research in Higher Education 42 IssueID4 401–28 Occurrence Handle10.1023/A:1011002808866
E. P. St. John S. Hu T. Tuttle (2000) ArticleTitlePersistence by undergraduates in an urban public university: Understanding the effects of financial aid Journal of Student Financial Aid 30 IssueID2 23–37
V. Tinto (1997) ArticleTitleClassroom as communities: Exploring the educational character of student persistence Journal of Higher Education 68 IssueID6 599–623
V. Tinto (1987) Leaving College: Rethinking the Causes and Cures of Student Attrition University of Chicago Press Chicago
V. Tinto (1975) ArticleTitleDropout from higher education: A theoretical synthesis of recent research Review of Educational Research 45 IssueID1 89–125
UCCSN [University and Community College System of Nevada]. (2004, March). Performance Indicator Report 2003–2004. Reno, NV: UCCSN, Office of Academic & Student Affairs.
W. C. Weiler (1996) ArticleTitleFactors influencing the matriculation choices of high ability students Economics of Education Review 15 IssueID1 23–36 Occurrence Handle10.1016/0272-7757(95)00023-2
W. C. Weiler (1987) ArticleTitleAn application of the nested multinomial logit model to enrollment choice behavior Research in Higher Education 27 IssueID3 273–282 Occurrence Handle10.1007/BF00992003