Market efficiency, long-term returns, and behavioral finance1The comments of Brad Barber, David Hirshleifer, S.P. Kothari, Owen Lamont, Mark Mitchell, Hersh Shefrin, Robert Shiller, Rex Sinquefield, Richard Thaler, Theo Vermaelen, Robert Vishny, Ivo Welch, and a referee have been helpful. Kenneth French and Jay Ritter get special thanks.1
Tài liệu tham khảo
Agrawal, 1992, The post-merger performance of acquiring firms, Journal of Finance, 47, 1605, 10.2307/2328956
Asquith, 1983, Merger bids, uncertainty and stockholder returns, Journal of Financial Economics, 11, 51, 10.1016/0304-405X(83)90005-3
Ball, 1968, An empirical evaluation of accounting income numbers, Journal of Accounting Research, 6, 159, 10.2307/2490232
Banz, 1981, The relationship between return and market value of common stocks, Journal of Financial Economics, 9, 3, 10.1016/0304-405X(81)90018-0
Barber, 1997, Detecting long-horizon abnormal stock returns, Journal of Financial Economics, 43, 341, 10.1016/S0304-405X(96)00890-2
Barberis, N., Shleifer, A., Vishny, R., 1998. A model of investor sentiment. Journal of Financial Economics 49, 307–343 (this issue).
Benartzi, 1997, Do dividend changes signal the future or the past, Journal of Finance, 52, 1007, 10.2307/2329514
Bernard, 1990, Evidence that stock prices do not fully reflect the implications of current earnings for future earnings, Journal of Accounting and Economics, 13, 305, 10.1016/0165-4101(90)90008-R
Brav, A., 1997. Inference in long-horizon event studies: a re-evaluation of the evidence. Unpublished working paper. Graduate School of Business, University of Chicago.
Brav, A., Gompers, P., 1997. Myth or reality? The long-run underperformance of initial public offerings: evidence from venture and nonventure capital-backed companies. Journal of Finance 52, 1791–1821.
Brav, A., Geczy, C., Gompers, P., 1995. The long-run underperformance of seasoned equity offerings revisited. Unpublished working paper. Graduate School of Business, University of Chicago.
Chan, 1996, Momentum strategies, Journal of Finance, 51, 1681, 10.2307/2329534
Cusatis, 1993, Restructuring through spinoffs, Journal of Financial Economics, 33, 293, 10.1016/0304-405X(93)90009-Z
Daniel, K., Hirshleifer, D., Subrahmanyam, A., 1997. A theory of overconfidence, self-attribution, and security market under- and over-reactions. Unpublished working paper. University of Michigan.
DeBondt, W., Thaler, R., 1985. Does the stock market overreact? Journal of Finance 40, 793–805.
DeBondt, 1995, Financial decision-making in markets and firms, 9, 385
Desai, 1997, Long-run common stock returns following splits and reverse splits, Journal of Business, 70, 409, 10.1086/209724
Dharan, 1995, The long-run negative drift of post-listing stock returns, Journal of Finance, 50, 1547, 10.2307/2329326
Edwards, 1968, Conservatism in human information processing
Fama, 1970, Efficient capital markets, Journal of Finance, 25, 383, 10.2307/2325486
Fama, E., 1976. Foundations of Finance. Basic Books, New York.
Fama, 1996, Discounting under uncertainty, Journal of Business, 69, 415, 10.1086/209698
Fama, 1969, The adjustment of stock prices to new information, International Economic Review, 10, 1, 10.2307/2525569
Fama, 1992, The cross-section of expected stock returns, Journal of Finance, 47, 427, 10.2307/2329112
Fama, 1993, Common risk factors in the returns on stocks and bonds, Journal of Financial Economics, 33, 3, 10.1016/0304-405X(93)90023-5
Fama, 1996, Multifactor explanations of asset pricing anomalies, Journal of Finance, 51, 55, 10.2307/2329302
Hong, H., Stein, J., 1997. A unified theory of underreaction, momentum trading, and overreaction in asset markets. Unpublished working paper. Sloan School of Management, Massachusetts Institute of Technology.
Ibbotson, 1975, Price performance of common stock new issues, Journal of Financial Economics, 2, 235, 10.1016/0304-405X(75)90015-X
Ikenberry, 1993, Corporate governance through the proxy contest, Journal of Business, 66, 405, 10.1086/296610
Ikenberry, 1995, Market underreaction to open market share repurchases, Journal of Financial Economics, 39, 181, 10.1016/0304-405X(95)00826-Z
Ikenberry, D., Rankine, G., Stice, E., 1996. What do stock splits really signal? Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis 31, 357–377.
Jaffe, 1974, Special information and insider trading, Journal of Business, 47, 410, 10.1086/295655
Jegadeesh, 1993, Returns to buying winners and selling losers, Journal of Finance, 48, 65, 10.2307/2328882
Kahneman, 1982, Intuitive predictions
Kothari, 1997, Measuring long-horizon security price performance, Journal of Financial Economics, 43, 301, 10.1016/S0304-405X(96)00899-9
Lakonishok, 1994, Contrarian investment, extrapolation, and risk, Journal of Finance, 49, 1541, 10.2307/2329262
Lakonishok, 1990, Anomalous price behavior around repurchase tender offers, Journal of Finance, 45, 455, 10.2307/2328665
Lintner, 1965, The valuation of risk assets and the selection of risky investments in stock portfolios and capital budgets, Review of Economics and Statistics, 47, 13, 10.2307/1924119
Loughran, 1995, The new issues puzzle, Journal of Finance, 50, 23, 10.2307/2329238
Loughran, T., Vijh, A., 1997. Do long-term shareholders benefit from corporate acquisitions? Journal of Finance 52, 1765–1790.
Lyon, J., Barber, B., Tsai, C., 1997. Improved methods for tests of long-run abnormal returns. Unpublished working paper. Graduate School of Management, University of California, Davis.
Mandelker, 1974, Risk and return, Journal of Financial Economics, 1, 303, 10.1016/0304-405X(74)90012-9
Masulis, 1980, The effects of capital structure changes on security prices, Journal of Financial Economics, 8, 139, 10.1016/0304-405X(80)90015-X
Merton, 1973, An intertemporal capital asset pricing model, Econometrica, 41, 867, 10.2307/1913811
Michaely, 1995, Price reactions to dividend initiations and omissions, Journal of Finance, 50, 573, 10.2307/2329420
Miles, 1983, The effect of voluntary spinoff announcements on shareholder wealth, Journal of Finance, 38, 1597, 10.2307/2327589
Mitchell, M., Stafford, E., 1997. Managerial decisions and long-term stock price performance. Unpublished working paper. Graduate School of Business, University of Chicago.
Ritter, 1991, The long-term performance of initial public offerings, Journal of Finance, 46, 3, 10.2307/2328687
Roll, 1986, The hubris hypothesis of corporate takeovers, Journal of Business, 59, 197, 10.1086/296325
Ross, 1977, The determinants of financial structure, Bell Journal of Economics, 8, 23, 10.2307/3003485
Sharpe, 1964, Capital asset prices, Journal of Finance, 19, 425, 10.2307/2977928
Spiess, 1995, Underperformance in long-run stock returns following seasoned equity offerings, Journal of Financial Economics, 38, 243, 10.1016/0304-405X(94)00817-K
Watts, 1973, The information content of dividends, Journal of Business, 46, 191, 10.1086/295525