Machine learning approach to drivers of bank lending: evidence from an emerging economy

Financial Innovation - Tập 7 - Trang 1-29 - 2021
Fatih Cemil Ozbugday1, Onder Ozgur1, Erdal Tanas Karagol1
1Department of Economics, Faculty of Political Sciences, Ankara Yıldırım Beyazıt University, Çubuk, Turkey

Tóm tắt

The study analyzes the performance of bank-specific characteristics, macroeconomic indicators, and global factors to predict the bank lending in Turkey for the period 2002Q4–2019Q2. The objective of this study is first, to clarify the possible nonlinear and nonparametric relationships between outstanding bank loans and bank-specific, macroeconomic, and global factors. Second, it aims to propose various machine learning algorithms that determine drivers of bank lending and benefits from the advantages of these techniques. The empirical findings indicate favorable evidence that the drivers of bank lending exhibit some nonlinearities. Additionally, partial dependence plots depict that numerous bank-specific characteristics and macroeconomic indicators tend to be important variables that influence bank lending behavior. The study’s findings have some policy implications for bank managers, regulatory authorities, and policymakers.

Từ khóa

#Macroeconomics/Monetary Economics//Financial Economics #Political Economy/Economic Systems

Tài liệu tham khảo

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