Is forest carbon sequestration at the expense of bioenergy and forest products cost-efficient in EU climate policy to 2050?

Journal of Forest Economics - Tập 24 - Trang 82-105 - 2016
Miriam Münnich Vass1, Katarina Elofsson1
1Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences (SLU), Department of Economics, Box 7013, 750 07 Uppsala, Sweden

Tài liệu tham khảo

Adams, 1996 Adams, 1999, Minimum cost strategies for sequestering carbon in forests, Land Econ., 75, 360, 10.2307/3147183 Alig, 1997, Assessing effects of mitigation strategies for global climate change with an intertemporal model of the U.S. forest and agriculture sectors, Environ. Resour. Econ., 9, 259, 10.1007/BF02441399 Alig, 2010, Mitigating greenhouse gases: the importance of land base interactions between forests, agriculture, and residential development in the face of changes in bioenergy and carbon prices, Forest Policy Econ., 12, 67, 10.1016/j.forpol.2009.09.012 Ankarhem, 2005 Asante, 2011, Carbon sequestration and the optimal forest harvest decision: a dynamic programming approach considering biomass and dead organic matter, J. Forest Econ., 17, 3, 10.1016/j.jfe.2010.07.001 Bjornstad, 2002, Wood fuel or carbon sink? Aspects of forestry in the climate question, Environ. Resour. Econ., 23, 447, 10.1023/A:1021379306349 Bosetti, 2009 Bright, 2009, Life cycle assessment of second generation bioethanol produced from Scandinavian boreal forest resources, J. Ind. Ecol., 13, 514, 10.1111/j.1530-9290.2009.00149.x Brooke, 1998 Böttcher, 2012, Projection of the future EU forest CO2 sink as affected by recent bioenergy policies using two advanced forest management models, Global Change Biol. Bioenergy, 4, 773, 10.1111/j.1757-1707.2011.01152.x Capros, 2012, Model-based analysis of decarbonising the EU economy in the time horizon to 2050, Energy Strategy Rev., 1, 76, 10.1016/j.esr.2012.06.003 Carlsson, 2012 Christensen, 2005, Dead wood in European beech (Fagus sylvatica) forest reserves, Forest Ecol. Manag., 210, 267, 10.1016/j.foreco.2005.02.032 Couture, 2009 Den Elzen, 2005, Abatement costs of post-Kyoto climate regimes, Energy Policy, 33, 2138, 10.1016/j.enpol.2004.04.012 Dixon, 2008 Dornburg, 2007, Estimating GHG emission mitigation supply curves of large-scale biomass use on a country level, Biomass Bioenergy, 31, 46, 10.1016/j.biombioe.2006.04.006 Eliasch, 2008 Eriksson, 2015, The role of the forest in an integrated assessment model of climate and the economy, Climate Change Econ., 6, 3, 10.1142/S2010007815500116 European Commission, 2011 European Commission, 2012 European Commission, 2012 European Union, 2003 Eurostat, 2011 Eurostat, 2012 Eurostat, 2013 Eurostat, 2013 Eurostat, 2013 Eurostat, 2014 Forest Sweden, 2012 Geijer, 2011, Damned if you do, damned if you do not—reduced climate impact vs. sustainable forests in Sweden, Resour. Energy Econ., 33, 94, 10.1016/j.reseneeco.2010.01.004 Gerasimov, 2010, Industrial round-wood losses associated with harvesting systems in Russia, Croat. J. Forest Eng., 31, 111 Gielen, 2002, Biomass strategies for climate policies?, Climate Policy, 2, 319, 10.3763/cpol.2002.0237 Gren, 2009 Gren, 2012, Stochastic carbon sequestration for combating CO2 emissions in the EU, Energy Econ., 34, 1523, 10.1016/j.eneco.2012.07.002 Hedenus, 2009, Bioenergy plantations or long-term carbon sinks? – A model based analysis, Biomass Bioenergy, 33, 1693, 10.1016/j.biombioe.2009.09.003 Holtsmark, 2002, Emission trading under the Kyoto protocol – effects on fossil fuel markets under alternative regimes, Energy Policy, 30, 207, 10.1016/S0301-4215(01)00090-8 Holtsmark, 2012, Harvesting in boreal forests and the biofuel carbon debt, Clim. Change, 112, 415, 10.1007/s10584-011-0222-6 Hudiburg, 2011, Regional carbon dioxide implications of forest bioenergy production, Nat. Climate Change, 1, 419, 10.1038/nclimate1264 IPCC, 2006 Johnson, 2009, Goodbye to carbon neutral: getting biomass footprint right, Environ. Impact Assess. Rev., 29, 165, 10.1016/j.eiar.2008.11.002 Kallio, 2013, Sequester or substitute – consequences of increased production of wood based energy on the carbon balance in Finland, J. Forest Econ., 19, 402, 10.1016/j.jfe.2013.05.001 Kangas, 2003 Karjalainen, 2003, Scenario analysis of the impacts of forest management and climate change on the European forest sector carbon budget, Forest Policy Econ., 5, 141, 10.1016/S1389-9341(03)00021-2 Kindermann, 2008, Global cost estimates of reducing carbon emissions through avoided deforestation, Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. U. S. A., 105, 10302, 10.1073/pnas.0710616105 Kirchbaum, 2002, To sink or burn? A discussion of the potential contributions of forest to greenhouse gas balances through storing carbon or providing biofuels, Biomass Bioenergy, 24, 297, 10.1016/S0961-9534(02)00171-X Kuikman, 2011 Latta, 2013, A multi-sector intertemporal optimization approach to assess the GHG implications of U.S. forest and agricultural biomass electricity expansion, J. Forest Econ., 19, 361, 10.1016/j.jfe.2013.05.003 Lee, 2005, The dynamic competitiveness of U.S. agricultural and forest carbon sequestration, Can. J. Agric. Econ., 53, 343, 10.1111/j.1744-7976.2005.00023.x Lundgren, 2012, Bioenergy and carbon neutrality, J. Forest Econ., 18, 175, 10.1016/j.jfe.2012.06.009 Lundmark, 2009, European trade of forest products in the presence of EU policy, J. Cleaner Prod., 17, 18, 10.1016/j.jclepro.2009.01.010 McKechnie, 2011, Forest bioenergy of forest carbon? Assessing trade-offs in greenhouse gas mitigation with wood-based fuels, Environ. Sci. Technol., 45, 789, 10.1021/es1024004 Murray, 2009 Nabuurs, 2000, Future development of the Leningrad region forests under nature-oriented forest management, Forest Ecol. Manag., 130, 235, 10.1016/S0378-1127(99)00179-6 Nordhaus, 2007, A review of the stern review on the economics of climate change, J. Econ. Lit., 45, 686, 10.1257/jel.45.3.686 Ovando, 2009, Land use and carbon mitigation in Europe: a survey of the potentials of different alternatives, Energy Policy, 37, 992, 10.1016/j.enpol.2008.10.041 Petersen, 2006, A comparison of avoided greenhouse gas emissions when using different kinds of wood energy, Biomass Bioenergy, 30, 605, 10.1016/j.biombioe.2006.01.009 Petersen, 2005, Environmental and economic impacts of substitution between wood products and alternative materials: a review of micro-level analyses from Norway and Sweden, Forest Policy Econ., 7, 249, 10.1016/S1389-9341(03)00063-7 Richards, 2004, A review of forest carbon sequestration cost studies: a dozen years of research, Climatic Change, 63, 1, 10.1023/B:CLIM.0000018503.10080.89 Rokityanskiy, 2007, Geographically explicit global modeling of land-use change, carbon sequestration, and biomass supply, Tech. Forecast. Soc. Change, 74, 1057, 10.1016/j.techfore.2006.05.022 Sacchelli, 2013, Economic evaluation of forest biomass production in central Italy: a scenario assessment based on spatial analysis tool, Biomass Bioenergy, 53, 1, 10.1016/j.biombioe.2012.11.026 Sathre, 2010, Meta-analysis of greenhouse gas displacement factors of wood product substitution, Environ. Sci. Policy, 13, 104, 10.1016/j.envsci.2009.12.005 Schulze, 2012, Large-scale bioenergy from additional harvest of forest biomass is neither sustainable nor greenhouse gas neutral, Global Change Biol. Bioenergy, 4, 611, 10.1111/j.1757-1707.2012.01169.x Sathaye, 2005 Schneider, 2003, Economic potential of biomass based fuels for greenhouse gas emission mitigation, Environ. Resour. Econ., 24, 201, 10.1023/A:1023632309097 Schneider, 2008 Sjølie, 2010, Effects and costs of policies to increase bioenergy use and reduce GHG emissions from heating in Norway, Forest Policy Econ., 12, 57, 10.1016/j.forpol.2009.08.011 Sohngen, 2003, An optimal control model of forest carbon sequestration, Am. J. Agric. Econ., 85, 448, 10.1111/1467-8276.00133 Sohngen, 2009 Stern, 2008, The economics of climate change, Am. Econ. Rev., 98, 1, 10.1257/aer.98.2.1 Tavoni, 2007 UNECE, 2013 Van der Werf, 2009, Modeling linkages between climate policy and land use: an overview, Agric. Econ., 40, 507, 10.1111/j.1574-0862.2009.00394.x Van Kooten, 1999 Van Kooten, 2004, How costly are carbon offsets? A meta-analysis of carbon forest sinks, Environ. Policy Sci., 7, 239, 10.1016/j.envsci.2004.05.006 Van’t Veld, 2004, Carbon sequestration or abatement? The effect of rising carbon prices on the optimal portfolio of greenhouse-gas mitigation strategies, J. Environ. Econ. Manag., 50, 59, 10.1016/j.jeem.2004.09.002 Winjum, 1998, Forest harvests and wood products: sources and sinks of atmospheric carbon dioxide, Forest Sci., 44, 272