Involving Resilience in Synthesizing Food Networks in Low-Income Communities
Tóm tắt
Global warming has produced negative effects in all life aspects around the world. Particularly, in terms of agriculture, the rainfall variability causes lower water availability, having unfavorable yield effects in all the crops. Temperature increases and rainfall reduction have resulting decreases in agricultural production and infertility. These issues, combined with the constant population growth, predict a severe food security problem for the next decades. In recent years, natural disasters are more frequent and dangerous as the result of global warming. Droughts, freezing, and flooding are the problems with the highest impact on the food supply chain, particularly in low-income communities, increasing the lack of access to food and undernourished problems, resulting in human casualties. This paper presents a response analysis of the food supply chain network in 14 municipalities of the state of Michoacán in Mexico; these municipalities are the ones with the lowest human development index values, joined to malnutrition problems. Natural disasters such as freezing, flood, and drought were considered and used to measure their impact on the food network through a mathematic optimization model, obtaining food system behavior to these difficulties. In the addressed case study, as a consequence of natural disasters, the total cost of the food network increases fifteen times to obtain a resilient system. The proposed approach is general, and this can be applied to other cases.
Tài liệu tham khảo
Amirioun MH, Aminifar F, Lesani H, Shahidehpour M (2019) Metrics and quantitative framework for assessing microgrid resilience against windstorms. Int J Electr Power Energy Systems 104(1):716–723. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijepes.2018.07.025
Beer C (2013) Planning against hunger in a time of abundance: scarcity, affluence, and food security within contemporary Australian urban planning. Australian Planner 50(1):35–43. https://doi.org/10.1080/07293682.2012.70e0940
Bocchiola D, Brunetti L, Soncini A, Polinelli F, Gianinetto M (2019) Impact of climate change on agricultural productivity and food security in the Himalayas: a case study in Nepal. Agric Syst 171(1):113–125. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agsy.2019.01.008
Bozza A, Asprone D, Manfredi G (2015) Developing an integrated framework to quantify resilience of urban systems against disasters. Nat Hazards 78(3):1729–1748. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-015-1798-3
Bynum M, Castillo A, Watson JP, Laird CD (2019) Evaluating demand response opportunities for power systems resilience using MILP and MINLP formulations. AIChE J 65:e16508. https://doi.org/10.1002/aic.16508
Cai Y, Bandara JS, Newth D (2016) A framework for integrated assessment of food production economics in South Asia under climate change. Environ Model Softw 75(1):459–497. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsoft.2015.10.024
Fanzo J, Davis C, McLaren R, Choufani J (2018) The effect of climate change across food systems: implications for nutrition outcomes. Glob Food Sec 18(1):12–19. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gfs.2018.06.001
FAO “Food and Agriculture Organization” (2017) The state of food security and nutrition in the world 2017: building resilience for peace and food security. Available on: fao.org/3/a-i7695e.pdf
Global Hunger Index (2018) Issue in focus: forced migration and hunger. Available on: globalhungerindex.org/ (Accessed February 2020)
Guidotti R, Gardoni P, Rosenheim N (2019) Integration of physical infrastructure and social systems in communities’ reliability and resilience analysis. Reliab Eng Syst Saf 185(1):476–492. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ress.2019.01.008
INEGI “National Institute of Statistic and Geography” (2018) available on: https://www.inegi.org.mx/app/areasgeograficas/ (accessed June 2020)
Karabulut AA, Crenna E, Sala S, Udias A (2018) A proposal for integration of the ecosystem water-food-land-energy (EWFLE) nexus concept into life cycle assessment: a synthesis matrix system for food security. J Clean Prod 171(1):3874–3889. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2017.05.092
Li Z, Sui P, Yang X, Dai H, Wang X, Long P, Yan L, Chen Y (2017) Balancing GHG mitigation and food security through agricultural recycling systems: case studies in the North China Plain. J Clean Prod 157(1):222–231. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2017.04.136
Lu S, Bai X, Li W, Wand N (2019) Impacts of climate change on water resources and grain production. Technol Forecast Soc Chang 143(1):76–84. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2019.01.015
Marselis SM, Feng K, Liu Y, Teodoro JD, Hubacek K (2017) Agricultural land displacement and undernourishment. J Clean Prod 161:619–628. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2017.05.125
Martínez-Guido SI, González-Campos JB, El-Halwagi MM, Ponce-Ortega JM (2017) Sustainable optimization of food networks in disenfranchised communities. ACS Sustain Chem Eng 5(10):8895–8907. https://doi.org/10.1021/acssuschemeng.7b01703
Martínez-Guido SI, González-Campos JB, Ponce-Ortega JM (2018) A multi-stakeholder optimization of food supply chains: an undernourishment reduction strategy. Process Integration and Optimization for Sustainability 2(3):239–527. https://doi.org/10.1007/s41660-018-0039-0
Matias L, Fuentes MOA, Garcia JF (2001) Heladas. Centro Nacional de Prevencion de Desastres, Secretaria de Gobernacion, Mexico, pp 10–20
Mazur C, Hoegerle Y, Brucoli M, Van Dam K, Guo M, Markides CN, Shah N (2019) A holistic resilience framework development for rural power systems in emerging economies. Appl Energy 235(1):219–232. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2018.10.129
Michler JD, Baylis K, Arends-Kuenning M, Mazvimavi K (2019) Conservation agriculture and climate resilience. J Environ Econ Manag 93(1):148–169. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jeem.2018.11.008
Mortada S, Najm MA, Yassine A, El-Fadel M, Alamiddine I (2018) Towards sustainable water-food nexus: an optimization approach. J Clean Prod 178(1):408–418. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2018.01.020
Moslehi S, Reddy TA (2018) Sustainability of integrated energy systems: a performance-based resilience assessment methodology. Appl Energy 228(1):487–498. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2018.06.075
Murray-Tortaloro GN, Jaramillo VJ, Larsen J (2018) Food security and climate change: the case of rainfed maize production in Mexico. Agric For Meteorol 253-254:124–131. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2018.02.011
Mutiibwa D, Fleisher DH, Resop JP, Timlin D, Reddy VR (2018) Regional food production and land redistribution as adaptation to climate change in the US Northeast Seaboard. Comput Electron Agric 154:54–70
Prosekov AY, Ivanova SA (2018) Food security: the challenge of the present. Geoforum 91(1):73–77. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.geoforum.2018.02.030
Smith LC, Haddad L (2002) How potent is economic growth in reducing undernutrition? What are the pathways of impact? New cross country evidence. Chicago J 51(1):55–76. https://doi.org/10.1086/345313
Soriano B, Garrido A (2016) How important is economic growth for reducing undernourishment in developing countries? Food Policy 63(1):87–101. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.foodpol.2016.07.004
Sridharan V, Broad O, Shivakumar A, Howells M, Boehlert B, Groves DG, Lempert R (2019) Resilience of the Eastern African electricity sector to climate driven changes in hydropower generation. Nature Communications 10(1):302 available on: https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-018-08275-7
Tabatabaei NM, Ravadanegh SN, Bizon N (eds) (2018) Power systems resilience: modeling, analysis and practice. Springer
The World Bank (2016) Poverty website. Available on: worldbank.org/en/topic/poverty/overview (Accessed February 2020)
Wang J, Li Y, Huang J, Yan T, Sun T (2017) Growing water scarcity, food security and government responses in China. Glob Food Sec 14:9–17. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gfs.2017.01.003
Zhang J, He C, Chen L, Cao (2018) Improving food security in China by taking advantage of marginal and degraded lands. J Clean Prod 171(1):1020–1030. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2017.10.110