Intrazonal or interzonal? Improving intrazonal travel forecast in a four-step travel demand model

Springer Science and Business Media LLC - Tập 47 Số 5 - Trang 2087-2108 - 2020
Keunhyun Park1, Sadegh Sabouri2, Torrey Lyons2, Guang Tian3, Reid Ewing2
1Department of Landscape Architecture and Environmental Planning, Utah State University, 4005 Old Main Hill, Logan, UT 84322, USA
2Department of City and Metropolitan Planning, College of Architecture + Planning, University of Utah, 375 S 1530 E, Salt Lake City, UT, 84112, USA
3Department of Planning and Urban Studies, University of New Orleans, 2000 Lakeshore Drive, New Orleans, LA, 70148, USA

Tóm tắt

Từ khóa


Tài liệu tham khảo

Anas, A.: The combined equilibrium of travel networks and residential location markets. Reg Sci Urban Econ 15(1), 1–21 (1985)

Batty, M.: Urban modeling: algorithms, calibrations, predictions. Cambridge University Press, London (1976)

Bhatta, B.P., Larsen, O.I.: Are intrazonal trips ignorable? Transp. Policy 18(1), 13–22 (2011)

Borra, S., Di Ciaccio, A.: Measuring the prediction error. A comparison of cross-validation, bootstrap and covariance penalty methods. Comput. Stat. Data Anal. 54(12), 2976–2989 (2010)

Capital District Transportation Committee: The CDTC STEP MODEL, appendix E: documentation of CDTC step model and planning assumptions (2010)

Cervero, R.: Alternative approaches to modeling the travel-demand impacts of smart growth. J Am Plan Assoc 72(3), 285–295 (2006)

CMAP & CATS: Go to 2040: travel model documentation for Chicago Metropolitan Agency for Planning (2014)

Community Planning Association of Southwest Idaho: Regional travel demand forecast model calibration and validation report for Ada and Canyon County in Idaho. Report number 06-2017

Dowling, R.G.: Predicting air quality effects of traffic-flow improvements: final report and user’s guide. Transportation Research Board, Washington (2005)

Ewing, R., Tilbury, K.: Sketch models for integrated transportation and land use planning. Metropolitan Transportation Planning Organization, Gainesville (2002)

Ewing, R., Cervero, R.: Travel and the built environment: a meta-analysis. J Am Plan Assoc 76(3), 265–294 (2010)

Ewing, R., Tian, G., Goates, J.P., Zhang, M., Greenwald, M.J., Joyce, A., et al.: Varying influences of the built environment on household travel in 15 diverse regions of the United States. Urban Stud 52(13), 2330–2348 (2015)

Fielding, A.H., Bell, J.F.: A review of methods for the assessment of prediction errors in conservation presence/absence models. Environ. Conserv. 24(1), 38–49 (1997)

Fresno Council of Governments: Fehr & peers transportation consultant: travel demand model: model description & validation report for Fresno Council of Governments (2014)

Greenwald, M.J.: The relationship between land use and intrazonal trip making behaviors: evidence and implications. Transp Res Part D Transp Environ 11(6), 432–446 (2006)

Greiner, M., Pfeiffer, D., Smith, R.D.: Principles and practical application of the receiver-operating characteristic analysis for diagnostic tests. Prev Vet Med 45(1–2), 23–41 (2000)

H-GAC: 2012 model validation and documentation report, Houston-Galveston Area Council regional travel models, appendix 4 (2014)

Hair, J.F., Black, W.C., Babin, B.J., Anderson, R.E., Tatham, R.L.: Multivariate data analysis (vol. 5, no. 3), pp. 207–219. Prentice Hall, Upper Saddle River (1998)

Hamilton, B.W.: Wasteful commuting again. J. Polit. Econ. 97(6), 1497–1504 (1989)

Handy, S.L.: Regional versus local accessibility: implications for non-work travel. Transp. Res. Rec. 1400, 58–66 (1993)

Hanley, J.A., McNeil, B.J.: The meaning and use of the area under a receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve. Radiology 143(1), 29–36 (1982)

Hastie, T.J., Tibshirani, R.J.: Generalized additive models. Chapman & Hall/CRC, Boca Raton (1990)

Horner, M.W., Murray, A.T.: Excess commuting and the modifiable areal unit problem. Urban Stud 39(1), 131–139 (2002)

Kimley-Horn and Associates, Inc.: Chattanooga travel demand model development highway and transit assignment, technical memorandum #6, final version 3.0 (2013)

Kimley-Horn and Associates, Inc., Cambridge Systematics, Inc. and HNTB: Direction 2040: long range transportation plan: travel demand model documentation for Memphis urban area, appendix G (2014)

Lamb, G. M.: Introduction to transportation planning: 4-trip distribution and model split. Traffic engineering and control, April, pp. 628–630 (1970)

LSA Associates, Inc.: North front range regional travel model: model process, parameters, and assumptions (2007)

LSA Associates, Inc.: Travel demand model: model development and validation report for Lincoln Metropolitan Planning Organization (2011)

McNally, M.G.: The four-step model. In: Hensher, D.A., Button, K.J. (eds.) Handbook of transport modelling, 2nd edn., pp. 35–53. Emerald Group Publishing Limited, Bingley (2007)

Manel, S., Ceri Williams, H., Ormerod, S.J.: Evaluating presence–absence models in ecology: the need to account for prevalence. J. Appl. Ecol. 38, 921–931 (2001)

Martin, W.A., McGuckin, N.A.: Travel estimation techniques for urban planning, vol. 365. National Academy Press, Washington (1998)

Meng, Q.: Modeling and prediction of natural gas fracking pad landscapes in the Marcellus Shale region, USA. Landsc Urban Plan 121, 109–116 (2014)

METROPLAN Orlando: 2040 long range transportation plan, technical report 8: model development and application guidelines, final adopted plan (2016)

Moeckel, R., Donnelly, R.: Gradual rasterization: redefining spatial resolution in transport modelling. Environ. Plan. 42(5), 888–903 (2015)

National Capital Region Transportation Planning Board, Metropolitan Washington Council of Governments: Calibration report for the TPB travel forecasting model, version 2.3, on the 3,722‐Zone Area System (2012)

Okrah, M.B.: Handling non-motorized trips in travel demand models. In: Wulfhorst, G., Klug, S. (eds.) Sustainable mobility in metropolitan regions, pp. 155–171. Springer, Wiesbaden (2016)

PBS&J: ARTS 2035 long range transportation plan, appendix B: the travel demand model for the ARTS MPO (2010a)

PBS&J: The travel demand model for the Brunswick MPO (2010b)

Raudenbush, S.W., Bryk, A.S.: Hierarchical linear models: applications and data analysis methods, 2nd edn. Sage Publications, Thousdand Oaks (2002)

RVAMPO: Constrained long-range transportation plan 2035 (2011). http://rvarc.org/chapters-4-and-5-technical-process-clrtp-2035/

StanCOG: The StanCOG transportation model program: documentation and validation report, version 1 (2010). http://www.stancog.org/trans-model.shtm

Swets, J.A.: Measuring the accuracy of diagnostic systems. Science 240, 1285–1293 (1988)

The Association of Monterey Bay Area Governments: Association of Monterey bay area governments regional travel demand model technical report (2015)

The Des Moines Area MPO: Travel demand model: documentation & user guide (2006)

Travel Forecasting Resource: Category: activity-based models. http://tfresource.org/Category:Activity-based_models . Accessed 2 Apr 2019

Venigalla, M.M., Chatterjee, A., Bronzini, M.S.: A specialized equilibrium assignment algorithm for air quality modeling. Transp Res Part D Transp Environ 4(1), 29–44 (1999)

Zweig, M.H., Campbell, G.: Receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) plots: a fundamental evaluation tool in clinical medicine. Clin. Chem. 39(4), 561–577 (1993)