Integrating complex economic and hydrologic planning models: An application for drought under climate change analysis
Tài liệu tham khảo
Uusitalo, 2015, An overview of methods to evaluate uncertainty of deterministic models in decision support, Environ. Model. Softw., 63, 24, 10.1016/j.envsoft.2014.09.017
C.A. Young, M.I. Escobar‐Arias, M. Fernandes, B. Joyce, M. Kiparsky, J.F. Mount, V.K. Mehta, D. Purkey, J.H. Viers, D. Yates, Modeling the hydrology of climate change in California's Sierra Nevada for subwatershed scale adaptation, JAWRA J. Am. Water Resour. Assoc. 45 6 (2009) 1409–1423.
Yates, 2005, WEAP21—A demand-, priority-, and preference-driven water planning model,”model, Water Int., 30, 487, 10.1080/02508060508691893
R.Howitt, J.Medellín-Azuara, D.MacEwan, Estimating the Economic Impacts of Agricultural Yield Related Changes for California, California Climate Change Center, CEC-500-2009-042-F, 2009.
Harou, 2009, Hydro-economic models: concepts, design, applications, and future prospects, J. Hydrol., 375, 627, 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2009.06.037
Medellín-Azuara, 2010, Estimating economic value of agricultural water under changing conditions and the effects of spatial aggregation, Sci. Total Environ., 408, 5639, 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2009.08.013
Draper, 2011, Assessment and Propagation of Model Uncertainty, eScholarship
Barnett, 2005, Potential impacts of a warming climate on water availability in snow-dominated regions, Nature, 438, 303, 10.1038/nature04141
P.H.Gleick, The world’s water. the biennial report on freshwater resources Volume 8 Volume 8, 2014.
Hayhoe, 2004, Emissions pathways, climate change, and impacts on California, Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci., 101, 12422, 10.1073/pnas.0404500101
Brown, 2015, The future of water resources systems analysis: toward a scientific framework for sustainable water management: the future OF water resources systems analysis, Water Resour. Res., 51, 6110, 10.1002/2015WR017114
Girard, 2015, An interdisciplinary modelling framework for selecting adaptation measures at the river basin scale in a global change scenario, Environ. Model. Softw., 69, 42, 10.1016/j.envsoft.2015.02.023
Joyce, 2011, Modifying agricultural water management to adapt to climate change in California's central valley, Clim. Change, 109, 299, 10.1007/s10584-011-0335-y
Reed, 2012, Save now, pay later? Multi-period many-objective groundwater monitoring design given systematic model errors and uncertainty, Adv. Water Resour., 35, 55, 10.1016/j.advwatres.2011.10.011
Bhave, 2014, A combined bottom-up and top-down approach for assessment of climate change adaptation options, J. Hydrol., 518, 150, 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2013.08.039
Condom, 2012, Simulating the implications of glaciers' retreat for water management: a case study in the Rio Santa basin, Peru, Water Int., 37, 442, 10.1080/02508060.2012.706773
Satti, 2015, The question of Sudan: a hydro-economic optimization model for the Sudanese Blue Nile, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 19, 2275, 10.5194/hess-19-2275-2015
Sulis, 2013, Comparison of generic simulation models for water resource systems, Environ. Model. Softw., 40, 214, 10.1016/j.envsoft.2012.09.012
United States Census Bureau, California Quick Facts, August 2016.
California Department of Food and Agriculture, California Agricultural Production Statistics, CA.gov, August 2016.
2011, Managing California's water: from conflict to reconciliation
Graveline, 2016, Economic calibrated models for water allocation in agricultural production: a review, Environ. Model. Softw., 81, 12, 10.1016/j.envsoft.2016.03.004
Niles, 2016, Farmer's intended and actual adoption of climate change mitigation and adaptation strategies, Clim. Change, 135, 277, 10.1007/s10584-015-1558-0
Howitt, 1995, Positive mathematical programming, Am. J. Agric. Econ., 329, 10.2307/1243543
Lund, 2015, Integrating social and physical sciences in water management: integrating social and physical sciences in water management,, Water Resour. Res., 51, 5905, 10.1002/2015WR017125
Cai, 2008, Implementation of holistic water resources-economic optimization models for river basin management – reflective experiences, Environ. Model. Softw., 23, 2, 10.1016/j.envsoft.2007.03.005
Draper, 2003, Economic-engineering optimization for California water management, J. Water Resour. Plan. Manag., 129, 155, 10.1061/(ASCE)0733-9496(2003)129:3(155)
Jenkins, 2004, Optimization of California's water supply system: results and nsights, J. Water Resour. Plan. Manag., 130, 271, 10.1061/(ASCE)0733-9496(2004)130:4(271)
Krol, 2006, Integrated modelling of climate, water, soil, agricultural and socio-economic processes: a general introduction of the methodology and some exemplary results from the semi-arid north-east of Brazil, J. Hydrol., 328, 417, 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2005.12.021
J. Medellín-Azuara, A Calibrated Agricultural Water Demand Model for Three Regions in Northern Baja California, 2009.
Momblanch, 2016, Using ecosystem services to represent the environment in hydro-economic models, J. Hydrol., 538, 293, 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2016.04.019
Blanco-Gutiérrez, 2013, Integrated assessment of policy interventions for promoting sustainable irrigation in semi-arid environments: a hydro-economic modeling approach, J. Environ. Manag., 128, 144, 10.1016/j.jenvman.2013.04.037
Rosegrant, 2000, Integrated economic–hydrologic water modeling at the basin scale: the Maipo river basin, Agric. Econ., 24, 33
Molina, 2012, Stochastic hydro-economic model for groundwater quality management using Bayesian networks, Water Sci. Technol., 67, 579, 10.2166/wst.2012.598
Peña-Haro, 2009, A hydro-economic modelling framework for optimal management of groundwater nitrate pollution from agriculture, J. Hydrol., 373, 193, 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2009.04.024
Volk, 2008, Integrated ecological-economic modelling of water pollution abatement management options in the Upper Ems River Basin, Ecol. Econ., 66, 66, 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2008.01.016
Medellín-Azuara, 2015, Hydro-economic analysis of groundwater pumping for irrigated agriculture in California's Central Valley, USA, Hydrogeol. J., 23, 1205, 10.1007/s10040-015-1283-9
Pulido-Velazquez, 2013, Design of efficient water pricing policies integrating basinwide resource opportunity costs, J. Water Resour. Plan. Manag., 139, 583, 10.1061/(ASCE)WR.1943-5452.0000262
Harou, 2008, Ending groundwater overdraft in hydrologic-economic systems, Hydrogeol. J., 16, 1039, 10.1007/s10040-008-0300-7
Graveline, 2014, Intensive and extensive margin adjustments to water scarcity in France's Cereal Belt, Eur. Rev. Agric. Econ., 41, 707, 10.1093/erae/jbt039
Merel, 2014, A regional bio-economic model of nitrogen use in cropping,, Am. J. Agric. Econ., 96, 67, 10.1093/ajae/aat053
Jackson, 2011, Case study on potential agricultural responses to climate change in a California landscape, Clim. Change, 109, 407, 10.1007/s10584-011-0306-3
de, 2016, Modeling the economic benefits and distributional impacts of supplemental irrigation, Water Resour. Econ., 14, 1, 10.1016/j.wre.2016.03.001
Connor, 2012, Irrigated agriculture and climate change: the influence of water supply variability and salinity on adaptation, Ecol. Econ., 77, 149, 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2012.02.021
P.Hazell, R.D.Norton, Mathematical programming for economic analysis in agriculture.
Esteve, 2015, A hydro-economic model for the assessment of climate change impacts and adaptation in irrigated agriculture, Ecol. Econ., 120, 49, 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2015.09.017
Varela-Ortega, 2013, Assessment of Socio-Economic and Climate Change Effects on Water Resources and Agriculture in Southern and Eastern Mediterranean countries, Mediterranean Prospects project, MEDPRO Technical Report No. 28
Howitt, 2003, Appendix A: statewide water and agricultural production model
Merel, 2011, A fully calibrated generalized constant-elasticity-of-substitution programming model of agricultural supply, Am. J. Agric. Econ., 93, 936, 10.1093/ajae/aar029
Frisvold, 2012, Less water: how will agriculture in Southern Mountain states adapt?: less water – How will agriculture adapt?, Water Resour. Res., 48, 10.1029/2011WR011057
Flores-Lopez, 2014
Dale, 2015, An integrated assessment of water-energy and climate change in sacramento, california: how strong is the nexus?, Clim. Change, 132, 223, 10.1007/s10584-015-1370-x
H.Scott, California Planning Areas, California Department of Water Resources〈http://www.water.ca.gov/landwateruse/images/maps/California-PA.pdf〉, 2005.
de, 2011, Economic impacts of regional water scarcity in the São Francisco River Basin, Brazil: an application of a linked hydro-economic model, Environ. Dev. Econ., 17, 227
Howitt, 2012, Calibrating disaggregate economic models of agricultural production and water management, Environ. Model. Softw., 38, 244, 10.1016/j.envsoft.2012.06.013
C.A.Shannon, A mathematical theory of Communication, Key Papers in the Development of Information Theory, 1948.
M.Tansey, F.Flores-Lopez, C.Young, J.Huntington, Modeling effects of climate change on evapotranspiration and crop yields in California’s Central Valley, presented at the CWEMF Annual Meeting, Asilomar, California, Apr-2012
Hutmacher, 2013, Crop Choices with Limiting Water Supplies: deficit Irrigation and Sensitive Crop Growth Stages, 123
California State Water Resources Control Board, State Water Board Drought Year Water Actions.
California Department of Water Resources, Sustainable Groundwater Management Act.