Inflation and Unemployment in the Long Run

American Economic Review - Tập 101 Số 1 - Trang 371-398 - 2011
Aleksander Berentsen1, Guido Menzio2, Randall Wright3
1Faculty of Business and Economics, University of Basel, Peter-Merian-Weg 6, Postfach, CH-4002 Basel, Switzerland.
2Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania, 3718 Locust Walk, Philadelphia, PA 19104.
3Department of Finance and Department of Economics, University of Wisconsin–Madison, 975 University Ave., Madison, WI 53706, and Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, 90 Hennepin Ave., Minneapolis, MN 55401.

Tóm tắt

We study the long-run relation between money (inflation or interest rates) and unemployment. We document positive relationships between these variables at low frequencies. We develop a framework where money and unemployment are modeled using explicit microfoundations, providing a unified theory to analyze labor and goods markets. We calibrate the model and ask how monetary factors account for labor market behavior. We can account for a sizable fraction of the increase in unemployment rates during the 1970s. We show how it matters whether one uses monetary theory based on the search-and-bargaining approach or on an ad hoc cash-in-advance constraint. (JEL E24, E31, E41, E43, E52)

Từ khóa


Tài liệu tham khảo

10.1016/j.jmoneco.2006.11.002

10.1111/j.0008-4085.2004.00008.x

10.1016/j.jmoneco.2003.01.005

Aruoba S., 2009, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Working Paper, 2009

10.1016/j.jet.2006.03.016

10.1016/j.jedc.2005.10.009

Cooley Thomas F, 1989, American Economic Review, 79, 733

10.2307/1992683

10.1016/j.jet.2003.12.010

10.1016/j.jet.2004.04.002

Friedman Milton, 1968, American Economic Review, 58, 1

10.1086/260579

10.1086/597302

10.3982/ECTA7231

10.1257/aer.98.4.1692

10.1257/aer.98.4.1653

10.1016/j.jmoneco.2008.06.004

10.2307/2297382

Kiyotaki Nobuhiro, 1993, American Economic Review, 83, 63

10.1016/j.jmoneco.2008.01.009

10.1006/jeth.1997.2357

10.1086/429804

Lehmann Etienne, 2007, Centre de Recherché en Economie et Statistique Working Paper, 2007

Lucas Robert E, 1980, American Economic Review, 70, 1005

10.1086/525544

10.1016/j.red.2007.01.004

10.2307/2297896

10.1111/j.1467-9442.2007.00511.x

10.1016/0304-3932(88)90042-6

10.1006/jeth.1998.2407

10.1016/S0304-3932(99)00016-1

10.1016/j.jmoneco.2005.01.005

10.1257/0002828053828572

10.1111/1468-2354.00137

10.1016/j.jet.2009.11.004