Identifying sustainable winter habitat for whooping cranes

Arkema, 2013, Coastal habitats shield people and property from sea-level rise and storms, Nature Climate Change, 3, 1 Armitage, 2015, The contribution of mangrove expansion to salt marsh loss on the Texas Gulf Coast, PloS One, 10, 10.1371/journal.pone.0125404 Barbet-Massin, 2012, The fate of European breeding birds under climate, land-use and dispersal scenarios, Global Change Biology Bioenergy, 18, 881, 10.1111/j.1365-2486.2011.02552.x Barbier, 2011, The value of estuarine and coastal ecosystem services, Ecological Monographs, 81, 169, 10.1890/10-1510.1 Barbier, 2013, The value of wetlands in protecting southeast Louisiana from hurricane storm surges, PloS One, 8, e58715, 10.1371/journal.pone.0058715 Belaire, 2014, Predicting and mapping potential whooping crane stopover habitat to guide site selection for wind energy projects, Conservation Biology, 28, 541, 10.1111/cobi.12199 Bird, 1984 Brambilla, 2017, A spatially explicit definition of conservation priorities according to population resistance and resilience, species importance and level of threat in a changing climate, Diversity Distribution, 23, 727, 10.1111/ddi.12572 Breiman, 2001, 45, 5 Buckland, 2001 Burnham, 2002, Multimodel inference, understanding AIC and BIC in model selection, Sociological Methods & Research, 33, 261, 10.1177/0049124104268644 Butler, 2019 Butler, 2013, Influence of whooping crane population dynamics on its recovery and management, Biological Conservation, 162, 89, 10.1016/j.biocon.2013.04.003 Butler, 2014, Whooping crane demographic responses to winter drought focus conservation strategies, Biological Conservation, 179, 72, 10.1016/j.biocon.2014.08.021 Butler, 2016 Canadian Wildlife Service and U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service, 2007 Chavez-Ramirez, 2011, Potential impact of climate change scenarios on whooping crane life history, Wetlands, 32 Chavez-Ramirez, 1996, Ecological correlates of whooping crane use of fire-treated upland habitats, Conservation Biology, 10, 217, 10.1046/j.1523-1739.1996.10010217.x Church, 2006, A 20th century acceleration in global sea-level rise, Geophysical Research Letters, 33, 10.1029/2005GL024826 Clough, 2010 Craft, 2009, Forecasting the effects of accelerated sea-level rise on tidal marsh ecosystem services, Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment, 7, 73, 10.1890/070219 Cutler, 2007, Random forest for classification in ecology, Ecology, 88, 2783, 10.1890/07-0539.1 Dagher-Kharrat, 2018, Setting conservation priorities for Lebanese flora—Identification of important plant areas, Journal for Nature Conservation, 43, 85, 10.1016/j.jnc.2017.11.004 DeConto, 2016, Contribution of Antarctica to past and future sea-level rise, Nature, 531, 591, 10.1038/nature17145 Eastman, 2007 2010 Fiske, 2011, Unmarked: An R package for fitting hierarchical models of wildlife occurrence and abundance, Journal of Statistical Software, 43, 10, 10.18637/jss.v043.i10 Gabler, 2017, Macroclimate change expected to transform coastal wetland ecosystems this century, Nature Climate Change, 7142-147 Grinsted, 2009, Reconstructing sea level from paleo and projected temperatures 200 to 2100AD, Climate Dynamics Guisan, 2013, Predicting species distributions for conservation decisions, Ecology Letters, 16, 1424, 10.1111/ele.12189 Horner, 2000, Introduction, 1 Horton, 2008, Sea level rise projections for current generation CGCMs based on the semi-empirical method, Geophysical Research Letters, 35, 10.1029/2007GL032486 Hostetler, 2015, Full-annual-cycle population models for migratory birds, The Auk, 132, 433, 10.1642/AUK-14-211.1 Howe, 1989 Hunt, 1987 Hunt, 1989, Winter diets of whooping cranes and sandhill cranes in South Texas, The Journal of Wildlife Management, 53, 1150, 10.2307/3809625 IPCC, 2014, Climate change 2014: Synthesis report. Contribution of working groups I, 151 Jevrejeva, 2010, How will sea level respond to changes in natural and anthropogenic forcings by 2100?, Geophysical Research Letters, 37, 10.1029/2010GL042947 Kirwan, 2013, Tidal wetland stability in the face of human impacts and sea-level rise, Nature, 504, 53, 10.1038/nature12856 Labuda, 1979, Habitat use by wintering whooping cranes on the Aransas national wildlife refuge, 152 Lee, 2006, Impact of urbanization on coastal wetland structure and function, Austral Ecology, 31, 149, 10.1111/j.1442-9993.2006.01581.x Liaw, 2002, Classification and regression by randomForest, R News, 2, 18 Möller, 1999, Wave transformation over salt marshes: A field and numerical modeling study from North Norfolk, England, Estuarine Coast Shelf Science, 49, 411, 10.1006/ecss.1999.0509 Morris, 2002, Responses of coastal wetlands to rising sea level, Ecology, 83, 2869, 10.1890/0012-9658(2002)083[2869:ROCWTR]2.0.CO;2 National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, 2010, Office for coastal management Nelson, 1996, Nutritional value of winter food for whooping cranes, The Wilson Bulletin, 108, 728 Newton, 2018, Assessing, quantifying and valuing the ecosystem services of coastal lagoons, Journal for Nature Conservation, 44, 50, 10.1016/j.jnc.2018.02.009 Nicholls, 2010, Sea-level rise and its impact on coastal zones, Science, 28, 1517, 10.1126/science.1185782 Norris, 2004, Tropical winter habitat limits reproductive success on the temperate breeding grounds in a migratory bird, Proceedings of the Royal Society of London Series B, 271, 59, 10.1098/rspb.2003.2569 Oppenheimer, 2019, Sea level rise and implications for Low-lying Islands, coasts and communities Paine, 2012, Historical shoreline change through 2007, Texas Gulf Coast: Rates, contributing causes, and Holocene context, GCAGS Journal, 1, 13 Pearse, 2015, Whooping crane stopover site use intensity within the Great Plains Pfeffer, 2008, Kinematic constraints on glacier contributions to 21st-century sea-level rise, Science, 321, 1340, 10.1126/science.1159099 Polasky, 2005, Conserving species in a working landscape: Land use with biological and economic objectives, Ecological Applications, 15, 1387, 10.1890/03-5423 Pontius, 2014, Quantity, exchange, and shift components of difference in a square contingency table, International Journal of Remote Sensing, 35, 7543, 10.1080/2150704X.2014.969814 Pressey, 2007, Conservation planning in a changing world, Trends in Ecology & Evolution, 22, 584, 10.1016/j.tree.2007.10.001 Rahmstorf, 2007, A semi-empirical approach to projecting future sea-level rise, Science, 315, 368, 10.1126/science.1135456 Rappaport, 2003, The United States as a coastal nation, Journal of Economic Growth, 8, 5, 10.1023/A:1022870216673 Royle, 2004, Modeling abundance effects in distance sampling, Ecology, 85, 1591, 10.1890/03-3127 Seaman, 1996, An evaluation of the accuracy of kernel density estimators for home range analysis, Ecology, 77, 2075, 10.2307/2265701 Sillett, 2012, Hierarchical distance-sampling models to estimate population size and habitat-specific abundance of an island endemic, Ecology Apps, 22, 1997, 10.1890/11-1400.1 Smee, 2017, Mangrove expansion into salt marshes alters associated faunal communities, Estuarine, Coastal and Shelf Science, 187, 306, 10.1016/j.ecss.2017.02.005 Studds, 2005, Nonbreeding habitat occupancy and population processes: An upgrade experiment with a migratory bird, Ecology, 86, 2380, 10.1890/04-1145 Tajbakhsh, 2018, Performance comparison of land change modeling techniques for land use projection of arid watersheds, Global Journal of Environmental Science and Management, 4, 263 Trivino, 2018, Planning for the future: Identifying conservation priority areas for Iberian birds under climate change, Landscape Ecology, 22, 659, 10.1007/s10980-018-0626-z United States Census Bureau, Release number: CB17-210. Vermeer, 2009, Global sea level linked to global temperature, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 51, 21527, 10.1073/pnas.0907765106 Weston, 2014, Declining sediments and rising seas: An unfortunate convergence for Tidal Wetlands, Estuaries and Coasts, 37, 1, 10.1007/s12237-013-9654-8 Westwood, 2005, Patterns of food use of wintering whooping cranes on the Texas coast, 133 Woodcock, 1976, The evaluation of yes/no forecasts for scientific and administrative purposes, Monthly Weather Review, 104, 1209, 10.1175/1520-0493(1976)104<1209:TEOYFF>2.0.CO;2 Worton, 1989, Kernel methods for estimating the utilization distribution in home-range studies, Ecology, 70, 164, 10.2307/1938423