Identifying predictors of ventral hernia recurrence: systematic review and meta-analysis

BJS open - Tập 5 Số 2 - 2021
Samuel G. Parker1, Susan Mallett2, Laura Quinn2,3, Christopher P. Wood1, Richard Boulton1, Shiraz Jamshaid1, M Erotocritou1, Siri Gowda1, William Collier1, Andrew Plumb4,5,6, Alastair Windsor3,4,6, Lucinda Archer7, Steve Halligan5
1Abdominal Wall Unit, Department of Surgery, University College Hospital , London, UK
2Institute of Applied Health Research, University of Birmingham, Birmingham, UK
3University College London Medical School, London, UK
4Abdominal Wall Unit, Department of Surgery, University College Hospital, Euston Road, London NW1 2BU, UK
5Centre of Medical Imaging, University College Hospital , London, UK
6University of Birmingham
7Centre for Prognosis Research, School of Primary, Community and Social Care, Keele University, Keele, UK

Tóm tắt

Abstract Background Ventra hernias are increasing in prevalence and many recur despite attempted repair. To date, much of the literature is underpowered and divergent. As a result there is limited high quality evidence to inform surgeons succinctly which perioperative variables influence postoperative recurrence. This systematic review aimed to identify predictors of ventral hernia recurrence. Methods PubMed was searched for studies reporting prognostic data of ventral hernia recurrence between 1 January 1995 and 1 January 2018. Extracted data described hernia type (primary/incisional), definitions of recurrence, methods used to detect recurrence, duration of follow-up, and co-morbidity. Data were extracted for all potential predictors, estimates and thresholds described. Random-effects meta-analysis was used. Bias was assessed with a modified PROBAST (Prediction model Risk Of Bias ASsessment Tool). Results Screening of 18 214 abstracts yielded 274 individual studies for inclusion. Hernia recurrence was defined in 66 studies (24.1 per cent), using 41 different unstandardized definitions. Three patient variables (female sex, age 65 years or less, and BMI greater than 25, 30, 35 or 40 kg/m2), five patient co-morbidities (smoking, diabetes, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, ASA grade III–IV, steroid use), two hernia-related variables (incisional/primary, recurrent/primary), six intraoperative variables (biological mesh, bridged repair, open versus laparoscopic surgery, suture versus mesh repair, onlay/retrorectus, intraperitoneal/retrorectus), and six postoperative variables (any complication, surgical-site occurrence, wound infection, seroma, haematoma, wound dehiscence) were identified as significant prognostic factors for hernia recurrence. Conclusion This study summarized the current evidence base for predicting ventral hernia recurrence. Results should inform best practice and future research.

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