Hybrid intelligent method for fuzzy reliability analysis of corroded X100 steel pipelines

Engineering with Computers - Tập 37 - Trang 2559-2573 - 2020
Mansour Bagheri1, Shun-Peng Zhu2, Mohamed El Amine Ben Seghier3,4, Behrooz Keshtegar3,4, Nguyen-Thoi Trung3,4
1Department of Civil Engineering, Birjand University of Technology, Birjand, Iran
2School of Mechanical and Electrical Engineering, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, Chengdu, China
3Division of Computational Mathematics and Engineering, Institute for Computational Science, Ton Duc Thang University, Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam
4Faculty of Civil Engineering, Ton Duc Thang University, Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam

Tóm tắt

Epistemic uncertainties are critical for reliable design of corroded pipes made of high-strength grade steel. In this work, corrosion defects geometries and operating pressure are provided as the epistemic uncertainties in reliability analysis. A framework of an iterative approach-based bi-loop is presented for fuzzy reliability analysis (FRA) of corroded pipelines to evaluate the fuzzy reliability index-based various fuzzy-random variables (FRVs). In the inner loop, the conjugate first-order reliability method using adaptive finite-step size is applied for carried out the reliability analysis. The outer loop is structured based on the fuzzy analysis corresponding to a modified particle swarm optimization as an intelligent tool. The adaptive conjugate fine step size is dynamically computed to adjust the conjugate sensitivity vector in the reliability loop. The sufficient descent condition is satisfied based on three-term conjugate first-order reliability method. The performance function of corroded pipelines is defined based on average shear stress yield-based plastic flow theory, remaining strength factor, and operating pressure. Two applicable examples as corroded pipelines made from X100 high-strength steel are given to illustrate the effects of epistemic uncertainties under corrosion defects. Investigation the results has shown that modeling of epistemic uncertainty in the reliability analysis of high-grade steel pipelines could result more reasonable reliability indexes. In addition, results indicate that FRVs have significant influence on fuzzy reliability index calculations, especially corrosion defect depth and operating pressure (as FRVs). The sensitivity measure of FRA demonstrated that fuzzy reliability index of corroded X100 steel pipelines is more sensitive to the FRVs means.

Tài liệu tham khảo

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