Hybrid gray wolf optimization method in support vector regression framework for highly precise prediction of remaining useful life of lithium-ion batteries

Ionics - Tập 29 - Trang 3597-3607 - 2023
Mengyun Zhang1, Shunli Wang1, Yanxin Xie1, Xiao Yang1, Xueyi Hao1, Carlos Fernandez2
1School of Information Engineering, Southwest University of Science and Technology, Mianyang, China
2School of Pharmacy and Life Sciences, Robert Gordon University, Aberdeen, UK

Tóm tắt

The prediction of remaining useful life (RUL) of lithium-ion batteries takes a critical effect in the battery management system, and precise prediction of RUL guarantees the secure and reliable functioning of batteries. For the difficult problem of selecting the parameter kernel of the training data set of the RUL prediction model constructed based on the support vector regression model, an intelligent gray wolf optimization algorithm is introduced for optimization, and owing to the premature stagnation and multiple susceptibility to local optimum problems of the gray wolf algorithm, a differential evolution strategy is introduced to propose a hybrid gray wolf optimization algorithm based on differential evolution to enhance the original gray wolf optimization. The variance and choice operators of differential evolution are designed to sustaining the diversity of stocks, and then their crossover operations and selection operators are made to carry out global search to enhance the prediction of the model and realize exact forecast of the remaining lifetime. Experiments on the NASA lithium-ion battery dataset demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed RUL prediction method. Experimental results demonstrate that the maximum average absolute value error of the prediction of the fusion algorithm on the battery dataset is limited to within 1%, which reflects the high accuracy prediction capability and strong robustness.

Tài liệu tham khảo

Wang S et al (2018) A novel safety anticipation estimation method for the aerial lithium-ion battery pack based on the real-time detection and filtering. J Clean Prod 185:187–197 Wang S et al (2020) A novel charged state prediction method of the lithium ion battery packs based on the composite equivalent modeling and improved splice Kalman filtering algorithm. J Power Sources 471:1–13 Lai X et al (2022) Remaining discharge energy estimation for lithium-ion batteries based on future load prediction considering temperature and ageing effects. Energy 238:1–14 Zhang MY et al (2022) A novel square root adaptive unscented Kalman filter combined with variable forgetting factor recursive least square method for accurate state-of-charge estimation of lithium-ion batteries. Int J Electrochem Sci 17(9):1–15 Wang S et al (2020) A novel energy management strategy for the ternary lithium batteries based on the dynamic equivalent circuit modeling and differential Kalman filtering under time-varying conditions. J Power Sources 450:1–14 Hasib SA et al (2021) A comprehensive review of available battery datasets, RUL prediction approaches, and advanced battery management. Ieee Access 9:86166–86193 Zhang J et al (2022) An adaptive remaining useful life prediction approach for single battery with unlabeled small sample data and parameter uncertainty. Reliab Eng Syst Saf 222:1–11 Li W et al (2019) An indirect RUL prognosis for lithium-ion battery under vibration stress using Elman neural network. Int J Hydrogen Energy 44(23):12270–12276 Wang F et al (2022) A transferable lithium-ion battery remaining useful life prediction method from cycle-consistency of degradation trend. J Power Sources 521:1–14 Pang X et al (2019) A lithium-ion battery RUL prediction method considering the capacity regeneration phenomenon. Energies 12(12):1–14 Downey A et al (2019) Physics-based prognostics of lithium-ion battery using non-linear least squares with dynamic bounds. Reliab Eng Syst Saf 182:1–12 Nagulapati VM et al (2021) Capacity estimation of batteries: influence of training dataset size and diversity on data driven prognostic models. Reliab Eng Syst Saf 216:1–11 Thelen A et al (2022) Augmented model-based framework for battery remaining useful life prediction. Appl Energy 324:1–18 Zhang S, Guo X, Zhang X (2020) Multi-objective decision analysis for data-driven based estimation of battery states: a case study of remaining useful life estimation. Int J Hydrogen Energy 45(27):14156–14173 Wang F-K et al (2022) Online remaining useful life prediction of lithium-ion batteries using bidirectional long short-term memory with attention mechanism. Energy 254:1–10 Zhang C, Zhao S, He Y (2022) An integrated method of the future capacity and RUL prediction for lithium-ion battery pack. IEEE Trans Veh Technol 71(3):2601–2613 Liu Q et al (2020) The remaining useful life prediction by using electrochemical model in the particle filter framework for lithium-ion batteries. IEEE Access 8:126661–126670 Wu L, Fu X, Guan Y (2016) Review of the remaining useful life prognostics of vehicle lithium-ion batteries using data-driven methodologies. Applied Sciences-Basel 6(6):1–11 Afshari SS et al (2022) Remaining useful life early prediction of batteries based on the differential voltage and differential capacity curves. IEEE Trans Instrum Meas 71:1–13 Gao D, Huang M (2017) Prediction of remaining useful life of lithium-ion battery based on multi-kernel support vector machine with particle swarm optimization. J Power Electron 17(5):1288–1297 Gou B, Xu Y, Feng X (2020) State-of-health estimation and remaining-useful-life prediction for lithium-ion battery using a hybrid data-driven method. IEEE Trans Veh Technol 69(10):10854–10867 Khumprom P, Yodo N (2019) A data-driven predictive prognostic model for lithium-ion batteries based on a deep learning algorithm. Energies 12(4):1–21 Liu K et al (2021) A data-driven approach with uncertainty quantification for predicting future capacities and remaining useful life of lithium-ion battery. IEEE Trans Industr Electron 68(4):3170–3180 Long B et al (2019) Prognostics comparison of lithium-ion battery based on the shallow and deep neural networks model. Energies 12(17):1–13 Park K et al (2020) LSTM-based battery remaining useful life prediction with multi-channel charging profiles. IEEE Access 8:20786–20798 Lai X et al (2021) Rapid sorting and regrouping of retired lithium-ion battery modules for echelon utilization based on partial charging curves. IEEE Trans Veh Technol 70(2):1246–1254 Camargos MO et al (2020) Data-driven prognostics of rolling element bearings using a novel error based evolving Takagi-Sugeno fuzzy model. Applied Soft Comput 96:1–16 Chehade AA, Hussein AA (2022) A multioutput convolved Gaussian process for capacity forecasting of li-ion battery cells. IEEE Trans Power Electron 37(1):896–909 Guha A, Patra A (2018) State of health estimation of lithium-ion batteries using capacity fade and internal resistance growth models. IEEE Trans Transp Electrification 4(1):135–146 Wang C et al (2021) Prognostics and health management system for electric vehicles with a hierarchy fusion framework: concepts, architectures, and methods. Advances In Civil Engineering 2021:1–11 Liu H, Song W, Zio E (2022) Fractional Levy stable motion with LRD for RUL and reliability analysis of li-ion battery. ISA Trans 125:360–370 Zhang X et al (2021) Time-series regeneration with convolutional recurrent generative adversarial network for remaining useful life estimation. IEEE Trans Industr Inf 17(10):6820–6831 Liao L, Koettig F (2014) Review of hybrid prognostics approaches for remaining useful life prediction of engineered systems, and an application to battery life prediction. IEEE Trans Reliab 63(1):191–207 Chen XZ et al (2012) A novel PF-LSSVR-based Framework for failure prognosis of nonlinear systems with time-varying parameters. Chin J Aeronaut 25(5):715–724 He N, Qian C, He LL (2022) Short-term prediction of remaining life for lithium-ion battery based on adaptive hybrid model with long short-term memory neural network and optimized particle filter. J Electrochemical Energy Conversion and Storage 19(3):1121–1144 Li LL et al (2019) Enhancing the lithium-ion battery life predictability using a hybrid method. Appl Soft Comput 74:110–121 Chen L et al (2020) Remaining useful life prediction of lithium-ion battery with optimal input sequence selection and error compensation. Neurocomputing 414:245–254 Xue Z et al (2020) Remaining useful life prediction of lithium-ion batteries with adaptive unscented kalman filter and optimized support vector regression. Neurocomputing 376:95–102 Wang Y et al (2019) Remaining useful life prediction of lithium-ion batteries using support vector regression optimized by artificial bee colony. IEEE Trans Veh Technol 68(10):9543–9553 Zhao S, Zhang C, Wang Y (2022) Lithium-ion battery capacity and remaining useful life prediction using board learning system and long short-term memory neural network. J Energy Storage 52:1–15 Zhang S et al (2019) Synchronous estimation of state of health and remaining useful lifetime for lithium-ion battery using the incremental capacity and artificial neural networks. J Energy Storage 26:1–12 Mao L et al (2020) A LSTM-STW and GS-LM fusion method for lithium-ion battery RUL prediction based on EEMD. Energies 13(9):1–13 Li X, Ma Y, Zhu J (2021) An online dual filters RUL prediction method of lithium-ion battery based on unscented particle filter and least squares support vector machine. Measurement 184:1–13