Global warming has increased global economic inequality

Noah S. Diffenbaugh1,2, Marshall Burke3,1,4
1Department of Earth System Science, Stanford University, Stanford, CA 94305;
2Woods Institute for the Environment, Stanford University, Stanford, CA 94305;
3Center on Food Security and the Environment, Stanford University, Stanford, CA 94305;
4Environment and Energy Economics, National Bureau of Economic Research, Cambridge, MA 02138

Tóm tắt

Significance We find that global warming has very likely exacerbated global economic inequality, including ∼25% increase in population-weighted between-country inequality over the past half century. This increase results from the impact of warming on annual economic growth, which over the course of decades has accumulated robust and substantial declines in economic output in hotter, poorer countries—and increases in many cooler, wealthier countries—relative to a world without anthropogenic warming. Thus, the global warming caused by fossil fuel use has likely exacerbated the economic inequality associated with historical disparities in energy consumption. Our results suggest that low-carbon energy sources have the potential to provide a substantial secondary development benefit, in addition to the primary benefits of increased energy access.

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