Global, regional, and national incidence, prevalence, and years lived with disability for 310 diseases and injuries, 1990–2015: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2015

The Lancet - Tập 388 Số 10053 - Trang 1545-1602 - 2016
Theo Vos1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10, Christine A. Allen1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10, Megha Arora11, Heresh Amini1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10, Zulfiqar A Bhutta1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10, Alexandria Brown1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10, Austin Carter1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10, Daniel Casey1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10, Fiona J Charlson1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10, Alan Z Chen11, Megan Coggeshall1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10, Leslie Cornaby1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10, Lalit Dandona1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10, Daniel Dicker1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10, Tina Dilegge1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10, Holly E. Erskine1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10, Alize J Ferrari1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10, Christina Fitzmaurice1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10, Tom Fleming1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10, Mohammad H Forouzanfar1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10, Nancy Fullman1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10, Peter W. Gething11, Ellen M Goldberg1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10, Nicholas Graetz1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10, Juanita A. Haagsma1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10, Simon I Hay1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10, Catherine O. Johnson1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10, Nicholas J Kassebaum1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10, Toana Kawashima1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10, Laura Kemmer1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10, Fakher Rahim1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10, Yohannes Kinfu1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10, Hmwe Hmwe Kyu1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10, Janni Leung1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10, Xiaofeng Liang1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10, Stephen S Lim1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10, Alan D López1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10, Rafael Lozano1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10, Laurie B. Marczak1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10, George A. Mensah1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10, Ali H. Mokdad1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10, Mohsen Naghavi11, Grant Nguyen1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10, Elaine O. Nsoesie1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10, Helen Elizabeth Olsen1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10, David M. Pigott11, Christine Pinho1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10, Zane Rankin1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10, Nikolas Reinig1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10, Joshua A. Salomon1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10, Logan Sandar1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10, A. Gordon Smith1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10, Jeffrey D Stanaway1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10, Caitlyn Steiner1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10, Stephanie Teeple1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10, Bernadette A Thomas1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10, Christopher Troeger1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10, Joseph A. Wagner1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10, Haidong Wang1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10, Valentine Wanga1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10, Harvey Whiteford1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10, Leo Zoeckler1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10, Amanuel Alemu Abajobir1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10, Kalkidan Hassen Abate, Cristiana Abbafati, Kaja Abbas, Foad Abd-Allah, Peter Allebeck, Ibrahim Abubakar1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10, Laith J. Abu‐Raddad, Ala’a Alkerwi, Ilana N. Ackerman, Akindele Olupelumi Adebiyi, Zanfina Ademi, Arsène Kouablan Adou, Kossivi Agbélénko Afanvi, Emilie Agardh, Arnav Agarwal, Ali Kiadaliri, Hamid Ahmadieh, Oluremi N Ajala, Rufus Akinyemi, Nadia Akseer, Ziyad Al‐Aly, Khurshid Alam11, Noore Alam11, Saleh Fahed Aldhahri, Miguel Angel Alegretti, Zewdie Aderaw Alemu, Lily Alexander11, Samia Alhabib, Raghib Ali1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10, François Alla, Rajaa Al‐Raddadi, Alaa Badawi, Khalid A Altirkawi, Nelson Alvis‐Guzmán, Azmeraw T. Amare, Alemayehu Amberbir, Anurag Agrawal, Stephen M. Amrock, Hjalte Holm Andersen, Gregory M. Anderson1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10, Benjamin O. Anderson1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10, Carl Abelardo T. Antonio, Atsede Fantahun Aregay, Johan Ärnlöv, Al Artaman11, Hamid Asayesh, Reza Assadi, Suleman Atique, Euripide Frinel G Arthur Avokpaho, Ashish Awasthi, Beatriz Paulina Ayala Quintanilla, Peter Azzopardi11, Umar Bacha, Kalpana Balakrishnan, Amitava Banerjee, Aleksandra Barać, Suzanne Barker‐Collo, Till Bärnighausen, Lars Barregård, Lope H Barrero, Arindam Basu, Shahrzad Bazargan‐Hejazi, Ettore Beghi, Brent Bell, Michelle L. Bell, Derrick Bennett, Isabela M Benseñor, Habib Benzian, Adugnaw Berhane, Eduardo Bernabé, Balem Demtsu Betsu, Tesfalidet Tekelab, Neeraj Bhala, Samir Bhatt, Sibhatu Biadgilign, Kelly Bienhoff1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10, Boris Bikbov, Stan Biryukov1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10, Donal Bisanzio, Francesco Branca, Jed D Blore1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10, Rohan Borschmann, Soufiane Boufous, Michael Brainin, Nicholas J K Breitborde, Jonathan C. Brown11, Rachelle Buchbinder, Geoffrey Buckle, Zahid A Butt, Bianca Calabria, Ismael Campos‐Nonato, Julio César Campuzano, Hélène Carabin, Rosario Cárdenas, David O. Carpenter, Juan Jesús Carrero, Carlos A Castañeda-Orjuela, Jacqueline Castillo Rivas, Ferrán Catalá-López, Jung‐Chen Chang, Sheng‐Chia Chung, Chioma Ezinne Chibueze, Vesper Hichilombwe Chisumpa, Jee-Young Jasmine Choi, Rajiv Chowdhury, Hanne Christensen1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10, Devasahayam Jesudas Christopher1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10, Liliana G Ciobanu, Massimo Círillo, Matthew M Coates11, Samantha Colquhoun, Cyrus Cooper, Monica Cortinovis, John A. Crump1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10, Solomon Abrha Damtew, Rakhi Dandona1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10, Farah Daoud1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10, Paul I. Dargan, José das Neves1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10, Gail Davey, Adrian Davis, Leo Stockfelt1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10, Louisa Degenhardt, Liana C. Del Gobbo, Kebede Deribe, Amare Deribew, Sarah Derrett, Don C. Des Jarlais, Samath D Dharmaratne, Preet K. Dhillon, Cèsar Díaz-Torné, Eric L. Ding, Tim Driscoll, Leilei Duan, Manisha Dubey, Bruce Bartholow Duncan, Hedyeh Ebrahimi, Richard G. Ellenbogen1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10, Iqbal Elyazar, Matthias Endres, Aman Yesuf Endries, Alireza Esteghamati, Kara Estep1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10, Talha Farid, Giancarlo Cesana, André Faro, Maryam S. Farvid, Farshad Farzadfar, Valery L. Feigin, David T. Felson, Seyed‐Mohammad Fereshtehnejad, Jefferson Gomes Fernandes, João Carlos Fernandes, Florian Fischer, Joseph R A Fitchett, Kyle J Foreman, F. Gerry R. Fowkes, Jordan L. Fox1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10, Richard C. Franklin, Joseph Friedman1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10, Joseph Frostad1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10, Thomas Fürst1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10, Neal D. Futran1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10, Belinda J. Gabbe, Parthasarathi Ganguly, Fortuné Gbètoho Gankpé, Teshome Gebre, Tsegaye Tewelde Gebrehiwot, Amanuel Tesfay Gebremedhin, Johanna M. Geleijnse, Bradford D. Gessner, Katherine B. Gibney, Ibrahim Abdelmageed Ginawi, Ababi Zergaw Giref, Maurice Giroud1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10, Melkamu Dedefo Gishu, Giorgia Giussani, Elizabeth Glaser, William W Godwin1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10, Hector Gómez‐Dantés, Philimon Gona, Amador Goodridge, Sameer Vali Gopalani, Carolyn Gotay, Atsushi Goto, Hebe Gouda1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10, Rebecca Grainger, Felix Greaves, Françis Guillemin, Yuming Guo1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10, Rahul Gupta, Rajeev Gupta, Vipin Gupta, Reyna Alma Gutiérrez, Demewoz Haile, Alemayehu Hailu, Gessessew Bugssa Hailu, Yara A Halasa, Randah R Hamadeh, Samer Hamidi, Mouhanad Hammami, Jamie Hancock1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10, Alexis J Handal, Graeme J. Hankey, Yuantao Hao, Hilda L Harb, S Harikrishnan, Josep María Haro, Rasmus Havmoeller, Roderick J. Hay1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10, Ileana Heredia-Pi, Pouria Heydarpour, Hans W. Hoek, Masako Horino, Nobuyuki Horita, H. Dean Hosgood, Damian G Hoy, Aung Soe Htet, Hsiang Huang, John J Huang, Chantal Huynh11, Troy Jacobs1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10, Kim Moesgaard Iburg, Kaire Innos, Manami Inoue, Veena Iyer, Kathryn H. Jacobsen, Nader Jahanmehr, Mihajlo Jakovljević, Mehdi Javanbakht, Sudha Jayaraman, Achala Upendra Jayatilleke, Sun Ha Jee, Panniyammakal Jeemon, Paul N. Jensen1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10, Ying Jiang, Tariku Jibat Beyene, Aída Jiménez-Corona, Ye Jin1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10, Jost B. Jonas, Zubair Kabir, Guohong Jiang, Ritul Kamal, Haidong Kan1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10, André Karch, Corine Karema, Chanté Karimkhani, Amir Kasaeian, Anil Kaul, Norito Kawakami, Peter Njenga Keiyoro, Andrew H. Kemp, Andre Keren, Chandrasekharan Nair Kesavachandran, Yousef Khader, Abdur Rahman Khan, Ejaz Ahmad Khan, Young‐Ho Khang, Sahil Khera, Tawfik Khoja, Jagdish Khubchandani, Christian Kieling, Pauline Kim11, Cho‐il Kim11, Daniel Kim11, Young‐Eun Kim11, Niranjan Kissoon, Luke D. Knibbs1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10, Ann Kristin Knudsen, Yoshihiro Kokubo, Dhaval Kolte, Jacek A Kopec, Soewarta Kosen, Georgios A. Kotsakis, Parvaiz A Koul, Ai Koyanagi11, Michael Kravchenko, Barthélémy Kuate Defo, Burcu Küçük Biçer, Andreas A Kudom, Ernst J. Kuipers, G Anil Kumar, Michael Kutz1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10, Gene F. Kwan, Aparna Lal1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10, Ratilal Lalloo1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10, Tea Lallukka, Hilton Y. Lam11, Jennifer O. Lam11, Sinéad Langan, Miriam Levi1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10, Li Y, Janet L Leasher, J. Paul Leigh, Ricky Leung1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10, Yongmei Li1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10, Juan Liang1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10, Simin Liu, Yang Liu, Belinda Lloyd, Warren Lo1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10, Giancarlo Logroscino, Katharine J Looker, Paulo A. Lotufo, Raimundas Lunevičius, Ronan A Lyons, Mark T. Mackay, Mohammed Magdy, Abd El Razek, Mahdi Mahdavi, Marek Majdán, Azeem Majeed, Reza Malekzadeh, Wagner Marcenes1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10, David Joel Margolis, José Martínez‐Raga1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10, Felix Masiye1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10, João Massano, Stephen T. McGarvey, John J. McGrath1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10, Martin McKee, Brian J. McMahon, Peter A. Meaney11, Alem Mehari, Fabiola Mejía‐Rodríguez, Alemayehu Mekonnen, Yohannes Adama Melaku, Peter Memiah11, Ziad A. Memish, Walter Mendoza, Atte Meretoja, Tuomo J Meretoja, Francis Mhimbira, Anoushka Millear11, Ted R. Miller, Ole Frithjof Norheim, Mojde Mirarefin, Philip B. Mitchell, Charles Mock, Alireza Mohammadi, Shafiu Mohammed, Lorenzo Monasta, Julio Cesar Montañez Hernandez, Marcella Montico, Meghan Mooney11, Maziar Moradi‐Lakeh1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10, Lidia Morawska, Erika Ota, Erin C Mullany1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10, John Everett Mumford11, Michele E Murdoch, Jean B. Nachega, Gabriele Nagel, Aliya Naheed, Luigi Naldi, Vinay Nangia, John Newton, Frédéric B. Piel, Quyen Le Nguyen1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10, Muhammad Imran Nisar, Patrick Martial Nkamedjie Pete11, Joan M. Nolla, Rosana Norman, Mostafa Qorbani1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10, Bruno Pereira Nunes, Felix Akpojene Ogbo, In‐Hwan Oh1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10, Takayoshi Ohkubo, Pedro R. Olivares, Bolajoko O. Olusanya, Jacob Olusegun Olusanya, Alberto Ortíz, Majdi Osman, P A Mahesh1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10, Eun‐Kee Park, Iris Pigeot, Valéria Maria de Azeredo Passos, Ángel Paternina‐Caicedo, Scott B. Patten, George Patton, David M. Pereira, Rogelio Pérez‐Padilla, Norberto Perico, Konrad Pesudovs, Max Petzold, Michael Phillips, Julian David Pillay, Farhad Pishgar, Dietrich Plaß, James A Platts-Mills, Suzanne Polinder, Damian Santomauro, Svetlana Popova, Richie Poulton, Farshad Pourmalek, Dorairaj Prabhakaran, Noela M Prasad, Rynaz H S Rabiee, Amir Radfar, Anwar Rafay, Kazem Rahimi, Vafa Rahimi‐Movaghar, Mahfuzar Rahman, Mohammad Hifz Ur Rahman, Shams Rahman, Rajesh Kumar, Saša Rajšić, Usha Ram, Puja C Rao11, Amany Refaat, Marissa B Reitsma1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10, Giuseppe Remuzzi, Serge Resnikoff, Alex Reynolds1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10, Antonio Jimeno, María Jesús Ríos-Blancas, Hirbo Shore Roba, David Rojas‐Rueda11, Luca Ronfani, Gholamreza Roshandel, Gregory A. Roth1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10, Dietrich Rothenbacher, Ambuj Roy, Rajesh Sagar, Ramesh Sahathevan, Juan Sanabria, María Dolores Sánchez-Niño, Itamar S Santos, João Vasco Santos, Rodrigo Sarmiento-Suárez, Benn Sartorius, Maheswar Satpathy, Miloje Savic, Monika Sawhney, Michael P Schaub, María Inês Schmidt, Ione Jayce Ceola Schneider, Ben Schöttker, Rafael Tabarés‐Seisdedos, James G. Scott, Soraya Seedat, Sadaf G Sepanlou, Edson Serván‐Mori, Katya Anne Shackelford1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10, Amira Shaheen, Rajesh Sharma, Upasana Sharma, Jiabin Shen, Donald S. Shepard, Kevin N. Sheth, Kenji Shibuya, Min‐Jeong Shin, Rahman Shiri, Ivy Shiue, Mark G. Shrime, Inga Dóra Sigfúsdóttir, Diego Augusto Santos Silva, Dayane Gabriele Alves Silveira, Abhishek Singh, Jasvinder A. Singh, Om Prakash Singh, Prashant Kumar Singh, Anna Sivonda1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10, Vegard Skirbekk, Jens Christoffer Skogen, Amber Sligar, Karen M. Tabb, Michael Soljak, Kjetil Søreide, Reed J D Sorensen1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10, Joan B. Soriano, Luciano A. Sposato, Chandrashekhar T Sreeramareddy, Chigozie Jesse Uneke, Nicholas Steel1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10, Dan J. Stein1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10, Timothy J. Steiner1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10, Sabine Steinke, Wilma A. Stolk, Konstantinos Stroumpoulis, Bruno Sunguya, Patrick J Sur1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10, Soumya Swaminathan, Bryan L. Sykes, Cassandra Szoeke, Jukka Takala, Nikhil Tandon, David Tanné11, Mohammad Tavakkoli1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10, Bineyam Taye, Hugh R. Taylor, Braden Te Ao11, Teresa Shamah Levy, Abdullah Sulieman Terkawi, A. J. Thomson, Andrew Thorne‐Lyman, Amanda G. Thrift, George D. Thurston, Ruoyan Tobe-Gai, Marcello Tonelli, Roman Topór-Mądry, Fotis Topouzis, Bach Xuan Tran1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10, Maysaa El Sayed Zaki, Miltiadis K. Tsilimbaris, Abera Kenay Tura, E. Murat Tuzcu, Stefanos Tyrovolas, Kingsley Nnanna Ukwaja, Eduardo A. Undurraga, Olalekan A Uthman, Coen H. van Gool, Yuri Y Varakin, Tommi Vasankari, Narayanaswamy Venketasubramanian, Raj Kumar Verma, Francesco Saverio Violante, Sergey Konstantinovitch Vladimirov, Vasily Vlassov, Stein Emil Vollset1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10, Gregory R. Wagner1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10, Stephen G. Waller, Lınhong Wang1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10, David Watkins1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10, Scott Weichenthal, Elisabete Weiderpass, Robert G Weintraub, Andrea Werdecker, Ronny Westerman, Richard White1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10, Hywel C Williams, Charles Shey Wiysonge, Charles Wolfe, Sungho Won, Rachel Woodbrook1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10, Mamo Wubshet, Denis Xavier, Gelin Xu, Ajit Kumar Yadav, Lijing L. Yan1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10, Yuichiro Yano, Mehdi Yaseri, Pengpeng Ye1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10, Henock G. Yebyo, Paul Yip, Naohiro Yonemoto, Seok‐Jun Yoon, Mustafa Z Younis, Chuanhua Yu1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10, Zoubida Zaidi, Hajo Zeeb, Maigeng Zhou11, Sanjay Zodpey, Liesl Zühlke, Christopher J L Murray1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10
1Centre for Clinical Research (J G Scott PhD), The University of Queensland, Brisbane, QLD, Australia
2Centre for Control of Chronic
3Centre of Excellence in Women and Child Health (Prof Z A Bhutta PhD), Aga Khan University, Karachi, Pakistan (
4Harborview/UW Medicine (
5Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (Prof
6Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, Seattle, WA 98121, USA
7Queensland Centre for Mental Health Research, Brisbane, QLD, Australia
8School of Dentistry (G A Kotsakis DDS), Harborview Injury Prevention and Research Center (C N Mock PhD), University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA
9School of Dentistry (Prof
10School of Public Health
11I Nisar MSc); Centre for Global Child Health, The Hospital for Sick Children, Toronto, ON, Canada

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The Lancet

Tập 388 Số 10053

1545-1602

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