Global, regional, and national burden of mortality associated with non-optimal ambient temperatures from 2000 to 2019: a three-stage modelling study

The Lancet Planetary Health - Tập 5 Số 7 - Trang e415-e425 - 2021
Qi Zhao1,2, Yuming Guo3,1, Tingting Ye3,1, Antonio Gasparrini4,5,6, Shilu Tong7,8,9,10, Ala Overcenco11, Aleš Urban12,13, Alexandra Schneider14, Alireza Entezari15, Ana Monteiro16,17, Antonella Zanobetti18, Antonis Analitis19, Ariana Zeka20, Aurelio Tobı́as21,22, Baltazar Nunes23,24, Barrak Alahmad18, Ben Armstrong6, Bertil Forsberg25, Shih‐Chun Pan26, Carmen Íñiguez27,28, Caroline Ameling29, César De la Cruz Valencia30, Christofer Åström25, Danny Houthuijs29, Do Van Dung31, Dominic Royé27,32, Ene Indermitte33, Éric Lavigne34,35, Fatemeh Mayvaneh15, Fiorella Acquaotta36, Francesca de’Donato37, Francesco Di Ruscio38, Francesco Sera6,39, Gabriel Carrasco-Escobar40,41, Haidong Kan42, Hans Orru33, Ho Kim43, Iulian‐Horia Holobâcă44, Jan Kyselý12,13, Joana Madureira45,46, Joel Schwartz18, Jouni J. K. Jaakkola47,48, Klea Katsouyanni19,49, Magali Hurtado‐Díaz30, Martina S. Ragettli50,51, Masahiro Hashizume52, Mathilde Pascal53, Micheline de Sousa Zanotti Stagliorio Coêlho54, Nicolás Valdés Ortega55, Niilo Ryti47, Noah Scovronick56, Paola Michelozzi37, Patricia Matus Correa55, Patrick Goodman57, Paulo Hilário Nascimento Saldiva54, Rosana Abrutzky58, Samuel Osorio59, Shilpa Rao38, Simona Fratianni36, Trần Ngọc Đăng31, Valentina Colistro60, Veronika Huber61,62, Whanhee Lee63, Xerxes Seposo22, Yasushi Honda64, Yue Leon Guo65,66,26, Michelle L. Bell63, Shanshan Li3,1
1Department of Epidemiology and Preventive Medicine, School of Public Health and Preventive Medicine, Monash University, Melbourne, VIC, Australia
2Department of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Cheeloo College of Medicine, Shandong University, Jinan, China
3Climate, Air Quality Research Unit, School of Public Health and Preventive Medicine, Monash University, Melbourne, VIC, Australia
4Centre for Statistical Methodology, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK
5Centre on Climate Change and Planetary Health, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK
6Department of Public Health, Environments and Society, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK
7Center for Global Health, Nanjing Medical University, Nanjing, China
8School of Public Health and Social Work, Queensland University of Technology, Brisbane, Qld, Australia
9School of Public Health, Institute of Environment and Population Health, Anhui Medical University, Hefei, China
10Shanghai Children's Medical Centre, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai, China
11Laboratory of Management in Science and Public Health, National Agency for Public Health of the Ministry of Health, Chisinau, Moldova
12Faculty of Environmental Sciences, Czech University of Life Sciences, Prague, Czech Republic
13Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Czech Academy of Sciences, Prague, Czech Republic
14Institute of Epidemiology, Helmholtz Zentrum München-German Research Center for Environmental Health, Neuherberg, Germany
15Faculty of Geography and Environmental Sciences, Hakim Sabzevari University, Sabzevar, Iran
16Institute of Social and Preventive Medicine, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland
17Oeschger Center for Climate Change Research, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland
18Department of Environmental Health, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Harvard University, Boston, MA, USA
19Department of Hygiene,, Epidemiology and Medical Statistics, National and Kapodistrian University of Athens, Athens, Greece
20Institute of Environment, Health and Societies, Brunel University London, London, UK
21Institute of Environmental Assessment and Water Research, Spanish Council for Scientific Research, Barcelona, Spain
22School of Tropical Medicine and Global Health, Nagasaki University, Nagasaki, Japan
23Centro de Investigação em Saúde Pública, Escola Nacional de Saúde Pública, Universidade NOVA de Lisboa, Lisbon, Portugal
24Department of Epidemiology, Instituto Nacional de Saúde Dr Ricardo Jorge, Porto, Portugal
25Department of Public Health and Clinical Medicine, Umeå University, Umeå, Sweden
26National Institute of Environmental Health Science, National Health Research Institutes, Zhunan, Taiwan
27CIBER of Epidemiology and Public Health, Madrid, Spain
28Department of Statistics and Computational Research, Universitat de València, València, Spain
29Centre for Sustainability and Environmental Health, National Institute for Public Health and the Environment, Bilthoven, Netherlands
30Department of Environmental Health, National Institute of Public Health, Cuernavaca, Morelos, Mexico
31Department of Environmental Health, Faculty of Public Health, University of Medicine and Pharmacy at Ho Chi Minh City, Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam
32Department of Geography, University of Santiago de Compostela, Santiago de Compostela, Spain
33Institute of Family Medicine and Public Health, University of Tartu, Tartu, Estonia
34Air Health Science Division, Health Canada, Ottawa, ON, Canada
35School of Epidemiology and Public Health, Faculty of Medicine, University of Ottawa, Ottawa, ON, Canada
36Department of Earth Sciences, University of Turin, Turin, Italy
37Department of Epidemiology, Lazio Regional Health Service, Rome, Italy
38Norwegian Institute of Public Health, Oslo, Norway
39Department of Statistics, Computer Science and Applications “G. Parenti”, University of Florence, Florence, Italy
40Division of Infectious Diseases, Department of Medicine, University of California, San Diego, CA, USA
41Health Innovation Lab, Institute of Tropical Medicine “Alexander von Humboldt”, Universidad Peruana Cayetano Heredia, Lima, Peru
42Department of Environmental Health, School of Public Health, Fudan University, Shanghai, China
43Graduate School of Public Health, Seoul National University, Seoul, South Korea
44Faculty of Geography, Babeş-Bolyai University, Cluj-Napoca, Romania
45Department of Environmental Health, Instituto Nacional de Saúde Dr Ricardo Jorge, Porto, Portugal
46EPIUnit – Instituto de Saúde Pública, Universidade do Porto, Porto, Portugal
47Center for Environmental and Respiratory Health Research and Biocenter Oulu, University of Oulu, Oulu, Finland
48Finnish Meteorological Institute, Helsinki, Finland
49School of Population Health and Environmental Sciences, King’s College London, London, UK
50Department of Epidemiology and Public Health, Swiss Tropical and Public Health Institute, Basel, Switzerland
51University of Basel, Basel, Switzerland
52Department of Global Health Policy, Graduate School of Medicine, The University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan
53Department of Environmental and Occupational Health, Santé Publique France, French National Public Health Agency, Saint Maurice, France
54Department of Pathology, Faculty of Medicine, University of São Paulo, São Paulo, Brazil
55Department of Public Health, Universidad de los Andes, Santiago, Chile
56Gangarosa Department of Environmental Health, Rollins School of Public Health, Emory University, Atlanta, GA, USA
57School of Physics, Technological University Dublin, Dublin, Ireland
58Instituto de Investigaciones Gino Germani, Facultad de Ciencias Sociales, Universidad de Buenos Aires, Buenos Aires, Argentina
59Department of Environmental Health, University of São Paulo, São Paulo, Brazil
60Department of Quantitative Methods, School of Medicine, University of the Republic, Montevideo, Uruguay
61Department of Physical, Chemical and Natural Systems, Universidad Pablo de Olavide, Sevilla, Spain
62Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Potsdam, Germany
63School of the Environment, Yale University, New Haven, CT, USA
64Faculty of Health and Sport Sciences, University of Tsukuba, Tsukuba, Japan
65Environmental and Occupational Medicine, NTU College of Medicine and NTU Hospital, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan
66Institute of Environmental and Occupational Health Sciences, NTU College of Public Health, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan

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Tài liệu tham khảo

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The Lancet Planetary Health

Tập 5 Số 7

e415-e425

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