Full Parameterisation Matters for the Best Performance of Crop Models: Inter-comparison of a Simple and a Detailed Maize Model

International Journal of Plant Production - 2021
Ahmad M. Manschadi1, Josef Eitzinger2, M. Breisch1, Werner Fuchs1, Thomas Neubauer3, Afshin Soltani4
1Department of Crop Sciences, Institute of Agronomy, BOKU University, Vienna, Austria
2Department of Water-Atmosphere-Environment, Institute of Meteorology and Climatology, BOKU University, Vienna, Austria
3Institute of Information Systems Engineering, Vienna University of Technology, Vienna, Austria
4Agronomy Group, Gorgan University of Agricultural Sciences and Natural Resources, Gorgān, Iran

Tóm tắt

AbstractProcess-based crop growth models have become indispensable tools for investigating the effects of genetic, management, and environmental factors on crop productivity. One source of uncertainty in crop model predictions is model parameterization, i.e. estimating the values of model input parameters, which is carried out very differently by crop modellers. One simple (SSM-iCrop) and one detailed (APSIM) maize (Zea mays L.) model were partially or fully parameterized using observed data from a 2-year field experiment conducted in 2016 and 2017 at the UFT (Universitäts- und Forschungszentrum Tulln, BOKU) in Austria. Model initialisation was identical for both models based on field measurements. Partial parameterization (ParLevel_1) was first performed by estimating only those parameters related to crop phenology. Full parameterization (ParLevel_2) was then conducted by estimating parameters related to phenology plus those affecting dry mass production and partitioning, nitrogen uptake, and grain yield formation. With ParLevel_1, both models failed to provide accurate estimation of LAI, dry mass accumulation, nitrogen uptake and grain yield, but the performance of APSIM was generally better than SSM-iCrop. Full parameterization greatly improved the performance of both crop models, but it was more effective for the simple model, so that SSM-iCrop was equally well or even better compared to APSIM. It was concluded that full parameterization is indispensable for improving the accuracy of crop model predictions regardless whether they are simple or detailed. Simple models seem to be more vulnerable to incomplete parameterization, but they better respond to full parameterization. This needs confirmation by further research.

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