Forecasting the environmental and socio-economic consequences of changes in the Common Agricultural Policy

Ball, D.F., Dale, J., Sheail, J., Heal, O.W., 1982. Vegetation Change in Upland Landscapes, Summary report of research done on contract to the Department of the Environment (DGR/483/23). Natural Environment Research Council and Institute of Terrestrial Ecology, Institute of Terrestrial Ecology, Cambridge. Basher, L.R., Greer, J., Korte, C., 1993. Sustainable Land Use in New Zealand. Environmental Indicators for Landcare Research Contract Report: LC9394/4. Ministry of Environment, Wellington, New Zealand. Bowley, F., Oglethorpe, D., 1999. Predicting the Farmer Response to a Post-Agenda 2000 Common Agricultural Policy. Discussion paper presented to the Agricultural Economics Society Conference, held at the Queens University, Belfast on 26–28 March 1999. Cadwallader, 1981, A cognitive gravity model of consumer spatial behaviour, Journal of Regional Studies, 15, 279 Doyle, C.J., Mitchell, M., 1994. Effectiveness of Farm Policies on Social and Economic Development in Rural Areas in Scotland. Report prepared for Scottish Office Agriculture and Fisheries Department. Doyle, 1997, Effectiveness of farm policies on social and economic development in rural areas, European Review of Agricultural Economics, 24, 530, 10.1093/erae/24.3-4.530 Engelen, 1995, Using cellular automata for integrated modelling of socio-environmental systems, Environmental Monitoring and Assessment, 34, 203, 10.1007/BF00546036 European Commission, 1997. Long Term Prospects: Grains, Milk and Meat Markets. European Commission, Brussels, Internet publication. European Commission, 1998a. Explanatory Memorandum: The Future for European Agriculture. European Commission, Brussels, Internet publication. European Commission, 1998b. Prospects for Agricultural Markets 1998–2005. European Commission, Brussels, Internet publication. Fowler, 1998 Green, 1997, An overview of commuting in Canada with special emphasis on rural commuting and employment, Journal of Rural Studies, 13, 163, 10.1016/S0743-0167(97)83095-1 Hill, 1979 Jongman, 1995 1993 1996 1997 1998 Miles, 1987, Vegetation succession, 1 Ministry of Agriculture Forestry and Fisheries, 2000. Current and Prospective Economic Situation in Agriculture. Discussion Document prepared by the Economic and Statistics Group of the Ministry of Agriculture Forestry and Fisheries. Mitchell, M., 2002. Regional Economic Impacts of Pluriactivity in Scottish Farm Households. PhD thesis, University of Glasgow. Moxey, 1995, An approach to linking an ecological vegetation model to an agricultural economic model, Journal of Agricultural Economics, 46, 381, 10.1111/j.1477-9552.1995.tb00784.x 1993 1998 Parris, K., 1995. Developing Indicators for Environmental Sustainability: The Nuts and Bolts. Paper presented to the Resource Policy Consortium Symposium, Washington DC. Richardson, 1976 Rodwell, 1991 Rodwell, 1992 Rushton, 1988, The use of multivariate ordination techniques to assess the effects of chlorpyrifos on ground beetle and spider communities in grassland, 175 Sanderson, 1995, A preliminary method of predicting plant species distributions using the British National Vegetation Classification, Journal of Environmental Management, 43, 265, 10.1016/S0301-4797(95)90426-3 Scottish Executive Rural Affairs Department, 2001. Agricultural Census Summary Sheets by Geographical Area: June 2000. Available: www.scotland.gov.uk/publications. 1998 Smith, 1996, The conservation of mesotrophic (meadow) grassland in Northern England. 1. Effects of grazing, cutting date and fertilizer on the vegetation of a traditionally managed sward, Grass and Forage Science, 51, 278, 10.1111/j.1365-2494.1996.tb02063.x Smith, 1996, The conservation of mesotrophic (meadow) grassland in Northern England. 2. Effects of grazing, cutting, fertilizer, seed application on the vegetation of an agriculturally improved sward, Grass and Forage Science, 51, 292, 10.1111/j.1365-2494.1996.tb02064.x 1998