Sinh sản và năng suất: một mô hình tăng trưởng với cân bằng tiến hóa

Journal of Population Economics - Tập 34 Số 3 - Trang 1073-1104 - 2021
James Foreman‐Peck1, Peng Zhou1
1Cardiff Business School, Cardiff University, Cardiff CF10 3EU, UK

Tóm tắt

Tóm tắtChúng tôi phát triển một mô hình định lượng phù hợp với ba khối xây dựng chính của Lý thuyết Tăng trưởng Thống nhất: sự thoát khỏi tình trạng trì trệ kinh tế, sự phát triển dẫn đến Cách mạng Công nghiệp, và sự khởi đầu của chuyển đổi sinh sản. Phân tích của chúng tôi cho thấy rằng việc Anh thoát khỏi bẫy Malthus đã được kích hoạt bởi các thảm họa nhân khẩu học sau cái Chết Đen; đầu tư hộ gia đình vào trẻ em cuối cùng đã làm tăng lương bất chấp dân số gia tăng; và vốn nhân lực ngày càng gia tăng, kết hợp với tính đàn hồi thay thế ngày càng cao giữa số lượng và chất lượng trẻ em, đã làm giảm kích thước gia đình mục tiêu và góp phần vào chuyển đổi sinh sản.

Từ khóa


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