Fertility and Financial Development in South Asia

Springer Science and Business Media LLC - Tập 133 - Trang 645-668 - 2016
Muhammad Zakaria1, Bashir Ahmed Fida2, Saquib Yousaf Janjua1, Syed Jawad Hussain Shahzad3
1COMSATS Institute of Information Technology, Islamabad, Pakistan
2Modern College of Business and Science, Muscat, Oman
3COMSATS Virtual Campus, Islamabad, Pakistan

Tóm tắt

The paper empirically examines old-age security hypothesis to explain fertility rates in South Asia. Panel data is used for the period 1972–2013 for seven South Asian countries which include Bangladesh, Bhutan, India, Maldives, Nepal, Pakistan and Sri Lanka. The estimated results reveal that in South Asia fertility rate decreases with the increase in financial development. Thus, the findings support old-age security hypothesis that parents use children as financial instruments to secure their old age. This paper validates the theory that the availability of alternative financial tools reduces the incentives of households to have large offspring. Infant mortality is also shown an important factor for high fertility rate in South Asia. This implies that households cover their risk from losing children by producing more children. The results also reveal that fertility rate decreases with the increase in per capita income, which implies that households treat children as inferior good in this region. In other words, households prefer quality of children over quantity of children when their income level increases. The results have also shown that fertility decreases with the increase in education, urbanization, agriculture productivity and industrialization. The study has some important policy implications.

Tài liệu tham khảo

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