Federated machine learning for predicting acute kidney injury in critically ill patients: a multicenter study in Taiwan

Chun-Te Huang1,2, Tsai‐Jung Wang2, Li‐Kuo Kuo3, Ming‐Ju Tsai4, Cong-Tat Cia5, Dung-Hung Chiang6, Pi‐Chen Chang7, Inn‐Wen Chong4, Yi-Shan Tsai8, Fa-Yauh Lee9, Chia‐Jen Liu1, Cheng‐Hsu Chen10, Kai-Chih Pai11, Chieh‐Liang Wu12
1Institute of Emergency and Critical Care Medicine, National Yang-Ming Chiao Tung University, Taipei, Taiwan
2Nephrology and Critical Care Medicine, Department of Internal Medicine and Critical Care Medicine, Taichung Veterans General Hospital, Taichung, Taiwan
3Department of Critical Care Medicine, MacKay Memorial Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan
4Division of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, Department of Internal Medicine, School of Medicine, College of Medicine, Kaohsiung Medical University, Kaohsiung, Taiwan
5Division of Critical Care Medicine, Department of Internal Medicine, National Cheng Kung University Hospital, College of Medicine, National Cheng Kung University, Tainan, Taiwan
6Department of Critical Care Medicine, Taipei Veterans General Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan
7Department of Information Technology, MacKay Memorial Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan
8Department of Diagnostic Radiology, National Cheng Kung University Hospital, College of Medicine, National Cheng Kung University, Tainan, Taiwan
9Department of Information Technology, Taipei Veterans General Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan
10Division of Nephrology, Department of Internal Medicine, Taichung Veterans General Hospital, Taichung, Taiwan
11College of Engineering, Tunghai University, Taichung, Taiwan
12College of Medicine, National Chung Hshin University, Taichung, Taiwan

Tóm tắt

Abstract Purpose To address the contentious data sharing across hospitals, this study adopted a novel approach, federated learning (FL), to establish an aggregate model for acute kidney injury (AKI) prediction in critically ill patients in Taiwan. Methods This study used data from the Critical Care Database of Taichung Veterans General Hospital (TCVGH) from 2015 to 2020 and electrical medical records of the intensive care units (ICUs) between 2018 and 2020 of four referral centers in different areas across Taiwan. AKI prediction models were trained and validated thereupon. An FL-based prediction model across hospitals was then established. Results The study included 16,732 ICU admissions from the TCVGH and 38,424 ICU admissions from the other four hospitals. The complete model with 60 features and the parsimonious model with 21 features demonstrated comparable accuracies using extreme gradient boosting, neural network (NN), and random forest, with an area under the receiver-operating characteristic (AUROC) curve of approximately 0.90. The Shapley Additive Explanations plot demonstrated that the selected features were the key clinical components of AKI for critically ill patients. The AUROC curve of the established parsimonious model for external validation at the four hospitals ranged from 0.760 to 0.865. NN-based FL slightly improved the model performance at the four centers. Conclusion A reliable prediction model for AKI in ICU patients was developed with a lead time of 24 h, and it performed better when the novel FL platform across hospitals was implemented.

Từ khóa


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