Nội dung được dịch bởi AI, chỉ mang tính chất tham khảo
Các yếu tố ảnh hưởng đến hiện tượng dâng nước bão ở vùng vịnh Tây Triều Tiên của Biển Vàng: nghiên cứu trường hợp bão nhiệt đới Winnie, năm 1997
Tóm tắt
Các thảm họa ven biển do bão và các biện pháp phòng ngừa, dự đoán liên quan là những vấn đề chính trong quản lý và quy hoạch môi trường ven biển. Trong nghiên cứu này, mô hình dâng nước bão – thủy triều – sóng đã được sử dụng để nghiên cứu ảnh hưởng của một số yếu tố đến hiện tượng dâng nước bão ở Vùng Vịnh Tây Triều Tiên trong bão Winnie năm 1997. Kết quả cho thấy mô hình kết hợp có khả năng dự đoán mức nước tổng cộng dưới các sự kiện bão với độ chính xác hợp lý. Kết quả cũng cho thấy lưu lượng dòng sông đóng một vai trò quan trọng trong sự phát triển của hiện tượng dâng nước bão. Dâng nước cực đại tại các trạm 1 và 2 nằm ở cửa sông lớn hơn từ 0.2 đến 1.5 m so với các trạm 3 và 4. Đặc biệt, dâng nước cực đại tại trạm 3 nằm ở cửa sông Taedong nhỏ hơn rất nhiều so với dâng nước tại các trạm 1 và 2, do sự kiểm soát của lưu lượng dòng sông bởi các đập như đập Biển Tây. Dâng nước cực đại tại trạm 1 nằm ở cửa sông Amrok lớn hơn 12% so với dâng nước tại trạm 2 nằm ở cửa sông Chongchon, do sự khác biệt đáng kể trong lưu lượng dòng sông. Tóm lại, kết quả của chúng tôi cho thấy rằng việc tích hợp công nghệ mô hình dâng nước bão – thủy triều – sóng với dự báo lưu lượng dòng sông theo thời gian thực là khả thi cho việc dự đoán ngập lụt dưới ảnh hưởng của cả hiện tượng dâng nước bão và lũ lụt sông ở Vùng Vịnh Tây Triều Tiên.
Từ khóa
#thảm họa ven biển #dâng nước bão #mô hình thủy triều #lưu lượng dòng sông #dự đoán ngập lụt #bão Winnie #Vùng Vịnh Tây Triều TiênTài liệu tham khảo
Bakhtyar R, Orton P.M, Marsooli R, Miller JK (2018) Rapid wave modeling of severe historical extratropical cyclones off the northeastern United States. Ocean Eng 159:315–332
Baugh J, Altuntas A, Dyer T, Simon J (2015) An exact reanalysis technique for storm surge and tides in a geographic region of interest. Coast Eng 97:60–77
Bertin X, Bruneau N, Breilh J-F, Fortunato AB, Karpytchev M (2012) Importance of wave age and resonance in storm surges: the case Xynthia Bay of Biscay. Ocean Model 42:16–30
Booij N, Ris RC, Holthuijsen LH (1999) A third-generation wave model for coastal regions part 1, model description and validation. J Geophys Res 104:7649–7666
Brown JM, Wolf J (2009) Coupled wave and surge modelling for the eastern Irish Sea and implications for model wind-stress. Cont Shelf Res 29:1329–1342
Brown JM, Bolaños R, Wolf J (2013) The depth-varying response of coastal circulation and water levels to 2D radiation stress when applied in a coupled wave–tide–surge modelling system during an extreme storm. Coast Eng 82:102–113
Bunya S, Dietrich JC, Westerink JJ, Ebersole BA, Smith JM, Atkinson JH, Jensen R, Resio DT, Luettich RA, Dawson C, Cardone VJ, Cox AT, Powell MD, Westerink HJ, Roberts HJ (2010) A high resolution coupled riverine flow, tide, wind, wind wave and storm surge model for southern Louisiana and Mississippi: part I–model development and validation. Mon Weather Rev 138:345–377
Carrasco AR, Ferreira Ó, Matias A, Freire P (2012) Flood hazard assessment and management of fetch-limited coastal environments. Ocean Coast Manag 65:15–25
Dietrich JC, Bunya S, Westerink JJ, Ebersole BA, Smith JM, Atkinson JH, Jensen R, Resio DT, Luettich RA, Dawson C, Cardone VJ, Cox AT, Powell MD, Westerink HJ, Roberts HJ (2010) A high resolution coupled riverine flow, tide, wind, wind wave and storm surge model for southern Louisiana and Mississippi: part II–synoptic description and analyses of hurricanes Katrina and Rita. Mon Weather Rev 138:378–404
Dietrich JC, Tanaka S, Westerink JJ, Dawson CN, Jr L, Zijlema M, Holthuijsen LH, Smith JM, Westerink LG, Westerink HJ (2012) Performance of the unstructured-mesh, SWAN + ADCIRC model in computing hurricane waves and surge. J Sci Comput 52:468–497
Feng X, Yin B, Yang D (2016) Development of an unstructured-grid wave-current coupled model and its application. Ocean Model 104:213–225
Ferrarin C, Roland A, Bajo M, Umgiesser G, Cucco A, Davolio S, Buzzi A, Malguzzi P, Drofa O (2013) Tide-surge-wave modelling and forecasting in the Mediterranean Sea with focus on the Italian coast. Ocean Model 61:38–48
Funakoshi Y, Hagen SC, Bacopoulos P (2008) Coupling of hydrodynamic and wave models: case study for hurricane Floyd (1999) hindcast. ASCE J Waterw Port Coast Ocean Eng 134:321–335
Grant WD, Madsen OS (1986) The continental shelf bottom boundary layer. Annu Rev Fluid Mech 18:265–305
Jennifer MB, Bolaños R, Wolf J (2013) The depth-varying response of coastal circulation and water levels to 2D radiation stress when applied in a coupled wave–tide–surge modeling system during an extreme storm. Coast Eng 82:102–113
Kim SY, Yasuda T, Mase H (2008) Numerical analysis of effects of tidal variations on storm surges and waves. Appl Ocean Res 30:311–322
Kumar N, Voulgaris G, Warner JC (2011) Implementation and modification of a three-dimensional radiation stress formulation for surf zone and rip-current applications. Coast Eng 58:1097–1117
Li YS, Zhang MY (1997) Dynamic coupling of wave and surge models by Eulerian–Lagrangian method. J Waterw Port Coast Ocean Eng 123:1–7
Lin X, Yin BS, Hou YJ et al (2003) The effects of radiation stress on wave heights and sea level in the interaction of coupled wave–tide–surge in the coastal area. J Hydrodyn (Ser B) 1:97–102
Liu H, Zhang D-L (2012) Analysis and prediction of hazard risks caused by tropical cyclones in southern China with fuzzy mathematical and grey models. Appl Math Model 36:626–637
Maia NZ, Calliari LJ, Nicolodi JL (2016) Analytical model of sea level elevation during a storm: support for coastal flood risk assessment associated with cyclone passage. Cont Shelf Res 124:23–34
Mao M, Xia M (2017) Dynamics of wave–current–surge interactions in Lake Michigan: a model comparison. Ocean Model 110:1–20
Mastenbroek C, Burgers G, Janssen PAEM (1993) The dynamical coupling of a wave model and a storm surge model through the atmospheric boundary layer. J Phys Oceanogr 23:1856–1866
Ozer J, Padilla-Henandez R, Monbaliu J, Alvarez Fanjul E, Carretero Albiach JC, Osuna P, Yu JCS, Wolf J (2000) A coupling module for tides, surges and waves. Coast Eng 41:95–124
Rueda A, Camus P, Tomás A, Vitousek S, Méndez FJ (2016) A multivariate extreme wave and storm surge climate emulator based on weather patterns. Ocean Model 104:242–251
Sahoo B, Bhaskaran PK (2019) Prediction of storm surge and coastal inundation using artificial neural network - a case study for 1999 Odisha super cyclone. Weather Clim Extremes 23:100196
Sarker MA (2018) Numerical modelling of waves and surge from cyclone Chapala (2015) in the Arabian Sea. Ocean Eng 158:299–310
Sebastian A, Proft J, Dietrich JC, Du W, Bedient PB, Dawson CN (2014) Characterizing hurricane storm surge behavior in Galveston Bay using the SWAN + ADCIRC model. Coast Eng 88:171–181
Seenath A, Wilson M, Miller K (2016) Hydrodynamic versus GIS modelling for coastal flood vulnerability assessment: which is better for guiding coastal management? Ocean Coast Manage 120:99–109
Shen J, Gong W (2009) Influence of model domain size, wind directions and Ekman transport on storm surge development inside the Chesapeake Bay: a case study of extratropical cyclone Ernesto, 2006. J Marine Syst 75:198–215
Shen Y, Jia H, Li C, Tang J (2018) Numerical simulation of saltwater intrusion and storm surge effects of reclamation in Pearl River estuary, China. Appl Ocean Res 79:101–112
Sheng YP, Zhang Y, Paramygin VA (2010) Simulation of storm surge, wave, and coastal inundation in the northeastern Gulf of Mexico region during hurricane Ivan in 2004. Ocean Model 35:314–331
Stark J, Plancke Y, Ides S, Meire P, Temmerman S (2016) Coastal flood protection by a combined nature-based and engineering approach: modeling the effects of marsh geometry and surrounding dikes. Estuar Coast Shelf Sci 175:34–45
Stephens SA, Bell RG, Lawrence J (2017) Applying principles of uncertainty within coastal hazard assessments to better support coastal adaptation. J Mar Sci Eng 5:1–20
Taramelli A, Valentini E, Sterlacchini S (2015) A GIS-based approach for hurricane hazard and vulnerability assessment in the Cayman Islands. Ocean Coast Manage 108:116–130
Thompson M, Brenner J, Gilmer B (2014) Informing conservation planning using future sea-level rise and storm surge modeling impact scenarios in the northern Gulf of Mexico. Ocean Coast Manage 100:51–62
Thumerer T, Jones AP, Brown D (2000) A GIS based coastal management system for climate change associated flood risk assessment on the east coast of England. Int J Geogr Inf Sci 14:265–281
Wang HV, Loftis JD, Liu Z, Forrest D, Zhang J (2014) The storm surge and sub-grid inundation modeling in New York City during hurricane Sandy. J Mar Sci Eng 2:226–246
Wang HV, Loftis JD, Forrest D, Smith W, Stamey B (2015) Modeling storm surge and inundation in Washington, DC, during hurricane Isabel and the 1936 Potomac River great flood. J Mar Sci Eng 3:607–629
Wang X, Wang W, Tong C (2016) A review on impact of typhoons and hurricanes on coastal wetland ecosystems. Acta Ecol Sin 36:23–29
Wang Y, Gao T, Han Z, Liu Q (2017) Impacts of wind-field correction on the numerical simulation of storm-surge inundation during typhoon “Rammasun”. Estuar Coast Shelf Sci 196:198–206
Warner NN, Tissot PE (2012) Storm flooding sensitivity to sea level rise for Galveston Bay, Texas. Ocean Eng 44:23–32
Wu G, Shi F, Kirby JT, Liang B, Shi J (2018) Modeling wave effects on storm surge and coastal inundation. Coast Eng 140:371–382
Wu Z, Jiang C, Deng B, Chen J, Long Y, Qu K, Liu X (2019) Numerical investigation of typhoon Kai-tak (1213) using a mesoscale coupled WRF-ROMS model. Ocean Eng 175:1–15
Yin BS, Liu H, Lin X et al (2004) The net impact of interaction physical mechanisms in a coupled wave–tide–surge model. J Hydrodyn (Ser B) 16:615–620
Yin B, Xu Z, Huang Y, Lin X (2009) Simulating a typhoon storm surge in the East Sea of China using a coupled model. Prog Nat Sci 19:65–71
Yin K, Xu S, Huang W, Xie Y (2017) Effects of sea level rise and typhoon intensity on storm surge and waves in Pearl River estuary. Ocean Eng 136:80–93
Yu X, Pan W, Zheng X, Zhou S, Tao X (2017) Effects of wave-current interaction on storm surge in the Taiwan Strait: insights from typhoon Morakot. Cont Shelf Res 146:47–57
Zhang MY, Li YS (1997) The dynamic coupling of a third-generation wave model and a 3D hydrodynamic model through boundary layers. Cont Shelf Res 10:1141–1170