Examining the Relationship Between Road Structure and Burglary Risk Via Quantitative Network Analysis

T. Davies1, Shane D. Johnson1
1Department of Security and Crime Science, University College London 35 Tavistock Square, London WC1H 9EZ, UK

Tóm tắt

Từ khóa


Tài liệu tham khảo

Andresen MA (2014) Environmental criminology: evolution, theory, and practice. Routledge, Abingdon

Andresen MA, Malleson N (2011) Testing the stability of crime patterns: implications for theory and policy. J Res Crime Delinq 48(1):58–82

Armitage R (2007) Sustainability versus safety: confusion, conflict and contradiction in designing out crime. In: Farrell G, Bowers KJ, Johnson SD, Townsley M (eds) Imagination for crime prevention: essays in honour of Ken Pease. Willan, Cullompton, pp 81–110

Ashton J, Brown I, Senior B, Pease K (1998) Repeat victimisation: offender accounts. Int J Risk Secur Crime Prev 3:269–280

Barr R, Pease K (1990) Crime placement, displacement, and deflection. Crime Justice 12:277–318

Barthélemy M (2011) Spatial networks. Phys Rep 499(1–3):1–101

Beavon D, Brantingham P, Brantingham P (1994) The influence of street networks on the patterning of property offences. In: Clarke R (ed) Crime prevention studies, vol 2. Criminal Justice Press, Monsey, pp 115–148

Berestycki H, Nadal J-P (2010) Self-organised critical hot spots of criminal activity. Eur J Appl Math 21(Special Double Issue 4–5):371–399

Bernasco W, Block R (2011) Robberies in Chicago: a block-level analysis of the influence of crime generators, crime attractors, and offender anchor points. J Res Crime Delinq 48(1):33–57

Bevis C, Nutter J (1977) Changing street layouts to reduce residential burglary. Minnesota Crime Prevention Center, Minnesota

Blau PM (1977) Inequality and heterogeneity: a primitive theory of social structure. Free Press, New York

Block RL, Block CR (1995) Space, place, and crime: hot spot areas and hot places of liquor-related crime. Crime Prev Stud 4:145–184

Bollobás B (2002) Modern graph theory, 2nd edn. Springer, New York

Brantingham PJ, Brantingham PL (1981) Environmental criminology. Sage, Thousand Oaks

Brantingham PL, Brantingham PJ (1993a) Environment, routine and situation: toward a pattern theory of crime. Adv Criminol Theory 5:259–294

Brantingham PL, Brantingham PJ (1995) Criminality of place. Eur J Crim Policy Res 3(3):5–26

Brantingham PL, Brantingham PJ (1975) Residential burglary and urban form. Urban Stud 12(3):273–284

Brantingham PL, Brantingham PJ (1993b) Nodes, paths and edges: considerations on the complexity of crime and the physical environment. J Environ Psychol 13(1):3–28

Brantingham PL, Brantingham PJ, Vajihollahi M, Wuschke K (2009) Crime analysis at multiple scales of aggregation: a topological approach. In: Weisburd D, Bernasco W, Bruinsma GJ (eds) Putting crime in its place. Springer, New York, pp 87–107

Chan SHY, Donner RV, Lämmer S (2011) Urban road networks— spatial networks with universal geometric features? Eur Phys J B 84(4):563–577

Clarke RVG (2004) Closing streets and alleys to reduce crime: should you go down this road?. US Department of Justice, Office of Community Oriented Policing Services, Washington

Cohen LE, Felson M (1979) Social change and crime rate trends: a routine activity approach. Am Sociol Rev 44(4):588–608

Cromwell PF, Olson JN, Avary DW (1991) Breaking and entering: an ethnographic analysis of burglary. Sage, Thousand Oaks

Crucitti P, Latora V, Porta S (2006) Centrality measures in spatial networks of urban streets. Phys Rev E 73(3):036125

Farrington DP (1983) Offending from 10 to 25 years of age. In: Van Dusen KT, Mednick SA (eds) Prospect Stud Crime Delinq. Kluwer-Nijhoff, Dordrecht, pp 17–37

Felson M (1987) Routine activities and crime prevention in the developing metropolis. Criminology 25(4):911–932

Freeman LC (1977) A set of measures of centrality based on betweenness. Sociometry 40(1):35–41

Gini C (1921) Measurement of inequality of incomes. Econ J 31(121):124–126

Groff ER (2007) ‘Situating’ simulation to model human spatio–temporal interactions: an example using crime events. Trans GIS 11(4):507–530

Groff E, Mazerolle L (2008) Simulated experiments and their potential role in criminology and criminal justice. J Exp Criminol 4(3):187–193

Hillier B (1996) Space is the machine. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge

Hillier B (1997) Cities as movement economies. In: Droege P (ed) Intelligent environments: spatial aspects of the information revolution. Elsevier, North Holland

Hillier B (2004) Can streets be made safe? Urban Des Int 9(1):31–45

Hillier B, Iida S (2005) Network and psychological effects in urban movement. In: Cohn AG, Mark DM (eds) Spatial information theory, vol 3693., Lecture notes in computer scienceSpringer, Berlin, pp 475–490

Hillier B, Shu S (2000) Crime and urban layout: the need for evidence. In: Ballantyne S, MacLaren V, Pease K (eds) Secure foundations: key issues in crime prevention, crime reduction and community safety. University College London Institute for Public Policy Research, London, pp 224–248

Hillier B, Turner A, Yang T, Park H-T (2010) Metric and topo-geometric properties of urban street networks: some convergences, divergence and new results. J. Space Syntax 1(2):258–279

Hirschfield A, Bowers KJ (1997) The effect of social cohesion on levels of recorded crime in disadvantaged areas. Urban Stud 34(8):1275–1295

Iwanski N, Frank R, Reid A, Dabbaghian V (2012) A computational model for predicting the location of crime attractors on a road network. In: Memon N, Zeng D (eds) Proceedings of the 2012 European intelligence and security informatics conference (EISIC). IEEE, Los Alamitos, pp 60–67

Jacobs J (1961) The life and death of Great American cities. Random House, New York

Jiang B (2007) A topological pattern of urban street networks: universality and peculiarity. Phys A 384(2):647–655

Johnson SD (2010) A brief history of the analysis of crime concentration. Eur J Appl Math 21(Special Double Issue 4–5):349–370

Johnson SD, Bernasco W, Bowers KJ, Elffers H, Ratcliffe J, Rengert G, Townsley M (2007) Space–time patterns of risk: a cross national assessment of residential burglary victimization. J Quant Criminol 23(3):201–219

Johnson SD, Bowers KJ (2010) Permeability and burglary risk: are cul-de-sacs safer? J Quant Criminol 26(1):89–111

Johnson SD, Summers L, Pease K (2009) Offender as forager? A direct test of the boost account of victimization. J Quant Criminol 25:181–200

Masucci AP, Smith D, Crooks A, Batty M (2009) Random planar graphs and the London street network. Eur Phys J B 71(2):259–271

Matthews R (1993) Kerb-crawling, prostitution and multi-agency policing. Crime prevention unit series paper no 43. Home Office, London. http://www.popcenter.org/problems/street_prostitution/PDFs/fcpu43.pdf

Matthews R (1997) Developing more effective strategies for curbing prostitution. In: Clarke RV (ed) Situational crime prevention: successful case studies, 2nd edn. Criminal Justice Press, Monsey

Mawby RI (1977) Defensible space: a theoretical and empirical appraisal. Urban Stud 14(2):169–179

McCord ES, Ratcliffe JH (2007) A micro-spatial analysis of the demographic and criminogenic environment of drug markets in Philadelphia. Aust N Z J Criminol 40(1):43–63

Newman M (2010) Networks: an introduction. Oxford University Press, Oxford

Newman O (1972) Defensible space; crime prevention through urban design. Macmillan, New York

North BV, Curtis D, Sham PC (2002) A note on the calculation of empirical p values from Monte Carlo procedures. Am J Hum Genet 71(2):439–441

Pease K (1998) Repeat victimisation: taking stock. Home Office Police Research Group, London

Pitcher AB (2010) Adding police to a mathematical model of burglary. Eur J Appl Math 21(Special Double Issue 4–5):401–419

Porta S, Crucitti P, Latora V (2006a) The network analysis of urban streets: a dual approach. Phys A 369(2):853–866

Porta S, Crucitti P, Latora V (2006b) The network analysis of urban streets: a primal approach. Environ Plan B 33(5):705–725

Porta S, Latora V, Wang F, Rueda S, Strano E, Scellato S, Cardillo A, Belli E, Càrdenas F, Cormenzana B, Latora L (2012) Street centrality and the location of economic activities in Barcelona. Urban Stud 49(7):1471–1488

Porta S, Latora V, Wang F, Strano E, Cardillo A, Scellato S, Iacoviello V, Messora R (2009) Street centrality and densities of retail and services in Bologna, Italy. Environ Plan B 36(3):450–465

Reynald DM (2010) Guardians on guardianship: factors affecting the willingness to supervise, the ability to detect potential offenders, and the willingness to intervene. J Res Crime Delinq 47(3):358–390

Reynald DM, Elffers H (2009) The future of Newman’s defensible space theory: linking defensible space and the routine activities of place. Eur J Criminol 6(1):25–46

Robinson W (1950) Ecological correlations and the behavior of individuals. Am Sociol Rev 15(3):351–357

Sampson RJ, Raudenbush SW, Earls F (1997) Neighborhoods and violent crime: a multilevel study of collective efficacy. Science 277(5328):918–924

Sampson RJ, Raudenbush SW (1999) Systematic social observation of public spaces: a new look at disorder in urban neighborhoods. Am J Sociol 105(3):603–651

Short M, D’Orsogna M, Pasour V, Tita G, Brantingham P, Bertozzi A, Chayes L (2008) A statistical model of criminal behavior. Math Models Methods Appl Sci 18(S1):1249–1267

Simpson EH (1949) Measurement of diversity. Nature 163:688

Spelman W (1993) Abandoned buildings: magnets for crime? J Crim Justice 21(5):481–495

Strano E, Viana M, da Fontoura Costa L, Cardillo A, Porta S, Latora V (2013) Urban street networks, a comparative analysis of ten European cities. Environ Plan B 40(6):1071–1086

Tilley N, Pease K, Hough M, Brown R (1999) Burglary prevention: early lessons from the crime reduction programme. Home Office Policing and Reducing Crime Unit, London

Weisburd D, Bushway S, Lum C, Yang S-M (2004) Trajectories of crime at places: a longitudinal study of street segments in the city of Seattle. Criminology 42(2):283–322

Weisburd D, Groff ER, Yang S-M (2012) The criminology of place. Oxford University Press, New York

White GF (1990) Neighborhood permeability and burglary rates. Justice Q 7(1):57–67

Wright RT, Decker SH (1994) Burglars on the Job. Northeastern University Press, Boston