Chi phí môi trường của bất ổn chính trị tại Pakistan: các tùy chọn chính sách cho tiêu thụ năng lượng sạch và môi trường

Springer Science and Business Media LLC - Tập 29 - Trang 25184-25193 - 2021
Muhammad Tayyab Sohail1, Muhammad Tariq Majeed2, Parvez Ahmed Shaikh3, Zubaria Andlib4
1School of Public Administration, Xiangtan University, Hunan, China
2School of Economics, Quaid-I-Azam University, Islamabad, Pakistan
3Department of Economics, Water and Marine Sciences, Lasbela University of Agriculture, Lasbela, Pakistan
4Department of Economics, Federal Urdu University, Islamabad, Pakistan

Tóm tắt

Sử dụng dữ liệu chuỗi thời gian của Pakistan từ năm 1990 đến 2019, nghiên cứu này khám phá tác động bất đối xứng của bất ổn chính trị đối với tiêu thụ năng lượng sạch và lượng phát thải CO2. Kết quả từ mô hình ARDL truyền thống cho thấy rằng sự ổn định chính trị làm giảm thiệt hại cho môi trường bằng cách giảm lượng phát thải CO2 trong dài hạn. Tuy nhiên, khi áp dụng phương pháp ARDL phi tuyến, chúng tôi phát hiện rằng bất ổn chính trị không chỉ làm giảm tiêu thụ năng lượng sạch mà còn dẫn đến thiệt hại chất lượng môi trường trong dài hạn tại Pakistan, trong khi sự ổn định chính trị không chỉ làm tăng tiêu thụ năng lượng sạch mà còn giúp cải thiện chất lượng môi trường trong ngắn hạn tại Pakistan. Do đó, các chính sách kinh tế vĩ mô nhằm thúc đẩy mở rộng tiêu thụ năng lượng sạch sẽ kích thích trực tiếp tăng trưởng kinh tế xanh và chất lượng môi trường.

Từ khóa

#bất ổn chính trị #năng lượng sạch #phát thải CO2 #Pakistan #chính sách kinh tế vĩ mô

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