Nội dung được dịch bởi AI, chỉ mang tính chất tham khảo
Đường cong Kuznets môi trường đối với nạn phá rừng ở Đông Âu: phân tích đồng liên kết theo bảng
Tóm tắt
Nạn phá rừng, một nguyên nhân chính gây ra biến đổi khí hậu, ở các quốc gia Đông Âu đã trở thành một hoạt động gắn liền với sự mở rộng nông nghiệp, chủ yếu trong khoảng thời gian chuyển giao chính trị. Nghiên cứu hiện tại khảo sát tác động môi trường của nạn phá rừng và mối liên hệ của nó với thu nhập từ nông nghiệp như được tóm tắt trong đường cong Kuznets môi trường. Cụ thể hơn, mối quan hệ giữa lượng phát thải carbon do nạn phá rừng theo mỗi hecta (COD) và thu nhập nông nghiệp được phản ánh qua giá trị gia tăng ròng (NVA) trên đầu người của dân số nông thôn được nghiên cứu với sự hỗ trợ của ba mô hình dữ liệu bảng, bao gồm phương pháp bình phương bé nhất đã được sửa đổi hoàn toàn (FMOLS), phương pháp bình phương bé nhất động (DOLS) và kỹ thuật đồng liên kết dự báo tự hồi quy phân phối trễ nhóm trung bình (PMG-ARDL). Các kết quả nghiên cứu không chứng thực đường cong Kuznets môi trường (EKC) ở dạng truyền thống, nhưng xác nhận quỹ đạo hình chữ N ngược (FMOLS, DOLS), hoặc quỹ đạo hình chữ N (phương pháp PMG-ARDL). Các kết quả cung cấp động lực cho các nhà hoạch định chính sách tập trung vào sự mở rộng nông nghiệp dựa trên năng suất hoặc sử dụng đất bờ rìa và không dựa vào sự thay đổi mục đích sử dụng đất dựa trên nạn phá rừng.
Từ khóa
#nạn phá rừng #đường cong Kuznets môi trường #phát thải carbon #thu nhập nông nghiệp #phân tích đồng liên kết #Đông ÂuTài liệu tham khảo
Angelsen, A., & Kaimowitz, D. (2001). Introduction: the role of agricultural technologies in Tropical deforestation. In A. Angelsen & D. Kaimowitz (Eds.), Agricult Tech and trop Deforestation. UK: CABI Publishing.
Antle, J. M., & Heidebrink, G. (1995). Environment and development: Theory and international evidence. Economic Development and Cultural Change, 43(3), 603–625.
Barbier, E. B., Burgess, J. C., & Grainger, A. (2010). The forest transition: Towards a more comprehensive theoretical framework. Land Use Policy. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.landusepol.2009.02.001
Benedek, Z., Fertő, I., & Szente, V. (2020). The multiplier effects of food relocalization: A systematic review. Sustainability. https://doi.org/10.3390/su12093524
Bhattarai, M., & Hammig, M. (2001). Institutions and the environmental kuznets curve for deforestation: A crosscountry analysis for Latin America, Africa and Asia. World Development, 29(6), 995–1010. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0305-750X(01)00019-5
Breitung, J., & Das, S. (2005). Panel unit root tests under cross-sectional dependence. Statistica Neerlandica. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-9574.2005.00299.x
Busa, M. J. H. (2013). Deforestation beyond borders: Addressing the disparity between production and consumption of global resources. Conservation Letters. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1755-263X.2012.00304.x
Call, M., Mayer, T., Sellers, S., Ebanks, D., Bertalan, M., Nebie, E., & Gray, C. (2017). Socio-environmental drivers of forest change in rural Uganda. Land Use Policy. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.landusepol.2016.12.012
Carson, R. T. (2009). The environmental Kuznets curve: Seeking empirical regularity and theoretical structure. Rev Environ Econ Policy. https://doi.org/10.1093/reep/rep021
Caviglia-Harris, J. L., Chambers, D., & Kahn, J. R. (2009). Taking the “U” out of Kuznets: A comprehensive analysis of the EKC and environmental degradation. Ecological Economics. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolecon.2005.03.031
Ceddia, M. G., Sedlacek, S., Bardsley, N. O., & Paloma, S. G. (2013). Sustainable agricultural intensification or Jevons paradox? The role of public governance in tropical South America. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2013.07.005
Choumert, J., Motel, P. C., & Dakpo, H. K. (2013). Is the Environmental Kuznets Curve for deforestation a threatened theory? A meta-analysis of the literature. Ecological Economics. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolecon.2013.02.016
Cropper, M., & Griffiths, C. (1994). The interaction of population growth and environmental quality. The American Economic Review, 84(2), 250–254.
European Commission (2019). Environment. Available online: https://ec.europa.eu/environment/forests/deforestation.htm. Accessed 9th December 2019.
Culas, R. J. (2007). Deforestation and the environmental Kuznets curve: An institutional perspective. Ecological Economics. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolecon.2006.03.014
da Silva, A. M., & Rodgers, J. (2018). Deforestation across the world: Causes and alternatives for mitigating. International Journal of Environmental Science and Development, 9(3), 67–73. https://doi.org/10.18178/ijesd.2018.9.3.1075
Das, P. (2014). Panel Unit Root Test. Econometrics in Theory and Practice (pp. 513–540). Springer.
Esmaeili, A., & Nasrnia, F. (2019). Deforestation and the environmental kuznets curve in Iran. Small-Scale Forestry, 13, 397–406.
FAOSTAT (2019). Annual time series of FAOSTAT net value added by agriculture, rural population, carbon emissions equivalent generated by deforestation for 16 ex socialist countries. Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations. Available online: http://faosts.fao.org. Accessed 9th December 2019.
Feranec, J., Soukup, T., Taff, G. N., Stych, P., & Bicik, I. (2017). Overview of Changes in Land Use and Land Cover in Eastern Europe. In G. Gutman & V. Radeloff (Eds.), Land-Cover and Land-Use Changes in Eastern Europe after the Collapse of the Soviet Union in 1991 (pp. 13–33). Switzerland: Springer.
Fosten, J., Morley, B., & Taylor, T. (2012). Dynamic misspecification in the environmental Kuznets curve: Evidence from CO2 and SO2 emissions in the United Kingdom. Ecological Economics. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolecon.2012.01.023
Galeotti, M., Lanza, A., & Pauli, F. (2006). Reassessing the environmental Kuznets curve for CO2 emissions: A robustness exercise. Ecological Economics. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolecon.2005.03.031
Geist, H. J., & Lambin, E. F. (2002). Proximate causes and underlying driving forces of tropical deforestation tropical forests are disappearing as the result of many pressures, both local and regional, acting in various combinations in different geographical locations. BioScience. https://doi.org/10.1641/0006
Germani, A. R., Ker, A. P., & Castaldo, A. (2020). On the existence and shape of an environmental crime Kuznets Curve: A case study of Italian provinces. Ecological Indicators. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolind.2019.105685
Ghatak, S., & Siddiki, J. U. (2001). The use of the ARDL approach in estimating virtual exchange rates in India. J. of Applied Stats. https://doi.org/10.1080/02664760120047906
Gibbs, H. K., Ruesch, A. S., Achard, F., Clayton, M. K., Holmgren, P., Ramankutty, N., & Foley, J. A. (2010). Tropical forests were the primary sources of new agricultural land in the 1980s and 1990s. PNAS. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.0910275107
Gingrich, S., Lauk, Ch., Niedertscheider, M., Pichler, M., Schaffartzik, A., Schmid, M., Magerl, A., Le Noe, J., Bhan, M., & Erb, K. (2019). Hidden emissions of forest transitions: a socio-ecological reading of forest change. Current Opinion in Environ Sustain. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cosust.2019.04.005
Hais, M., Langhammer, J., Jirsova, P., & Dvorak, L. (2008). Dynamics of forest disturbance in central part of the Šumava mountains between 1985 and 2007 based on Landsat TM/ETM + satellite data. Acta Universitatis Carolinae Geographica, 1–2, 53–62.
Hlouskova, J., Wagner, M. (2005). The performance of panel unit root and stationarity tests: Results from a large scale simulation study, No ECO2005/05, Economics Working Papers, European University Institute, Available online https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eui:euiwps:eco2005/05.
Hoang, N. T., & Kanemoto, K. (2021). Mapping the deforestation footprint of nations reveals growing threat to tropical forests. Nature Ecology & Evolution, 5(6), 845–853.
Hosonuma, N., Herold, M., De Sy, V., De Fries, R., Brockhaus, M., Verchot, L., & Romijn, E. (2012). An assessment of deforestation and forest degradation drivers in developing countries. Environmental Research Letters. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/7/4/044009
Im, K. S., Pesaran, M. H., & Shin, Y. (2003). Testing for unit roots in heterogeneous panels. J. of Econometrics. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0304-4076(03)00092-7
Indarto, J., & Mutaqin, D. J. (2016). (2016) An overview of theoretical and empirical studies on deforestation. J Int Dev Cooperation, 22(1–2), 107–120.
IPCC (2013). Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. In: Stocker, T.F., Qin, D., Plattner, K., Tignor. M., Allen. S.K., Boschung, J., Nauels, A., Xia, Y., Bex, V., Midgley, P.M. (Eds.); Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
IPCC. (2018). Global warming of 1.5°C. An IPCC Special Report on the impacts of global warming of 1.5°C. In V. Masson-Delmotte, P. Zhai, H.-O. Pörtner, D. Roberts, J. Skea, P. R. Shukla, A. Pirani, W. Moufouma-Okia, C. Péan, & R. Pidcock (Eds). 1.
Kaika, D., & Zervas, E. (2013a). The environmental kuznets curve (EKC) theory—Part A: Concept, causes and the CO2 emissions case. Energy Policy. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2013.07.131
Kaika, D., & Zervas, E. (2013b). The Environmental Kuznets Curve (EKC) theory—Part B: Critical issues. Energy Policy. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2013.07.130
Kao, C., Chiang, M. H., & Chen, B. (1999). International R&D spillovers: An application of estimation and inference in panel cointegration. Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics. https://doi.org/10.1111/1468-0084.0610s1691
Köthke, M., Leischner, B., & Elsasser, P. (2013). Uniform global deforestation patterns- An empirical analysis. Forest Policy Economics. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.forpol.2013.01.001
Kuemmerle, T., Kaplan, J. O., Prishchepov, A. V., Rylsky, I., Chaskovskyy, O., Tikunov, V. S., & Muller, D. (2015). Forest transitions in Eastern Europe and their effects on carbon budgets. Global Change Biology. https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.12897
Kuemmerle, T., Müller, M., Rusu, M., & Griffiths, P. (2009). Land use change in southern Romania after the collapse of socialism. Regional Environmental Change. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10113-008-0050-z
Kyriakopoulos, G., Chalikias, M., Kalaitzidou, O., Skordoulis, M., & Drosos, D. (2015). Environmental viewpoint of fuelwood management. In Proceedings of the 7th International Conference on ICT in Agriculture, Food and Environment HAICTA 2015, Kavala, Greece, September 17–20, 2015, pp 416–425.
Kyriakopoulos, G., Kolovos, K. G., & Chalikias, M. S. (2010). Environmental sustainability and financial feasibility evaluation of woodfuel biomass used for a potential replacement of conventional space heating sources. Part II: A Combined Greek and the nearby Balkan Countries Case Study. Operational Research. https://doi.org/10.1007/s12351-009-0034-x
Lambin, E. F., & Meyfroidt, P. (2010). Land use transitions: Socio-ecological feedback versus socio-economic change. Land Use Policy. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.landusepol.2009.09.003
Leblois, A., Damette, O., & Wolfersberger, J. (2017). What has driven deforestation in developing countries since the 2000s? Evidence from new remote-sensing data. World Development. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.worlddev.2016.11.012
Leinenkugel, P., Deck, R., Huth, J., Ottinger, M., & Mack, B. (2019). The potential of open geodata for automated large-scale land use and land cover classification. Remote Sensing. https://doi.org/10.3390/rs11192249
López-Carr, D. (2021). A review of small farmer land use and deforestation in tropical forest frontiers: Implications for conservation and sustainable livelihoods. Land, 10(11), 1113.
Mather, A. S. (1992). The forest transition. Area, 24, 367–379.
Meyer, A. L., Van Kooten, G. C., & Wang, S. (2003). Institutional, social and economic roots of deforestation: A cross-country comparison. International Forestry Review. https://doi.org/10.1505/IFOR.5.1.29.17427
Munasinghe, M. (1999). Is environmental degradation an inevitable consequence of economic growth: Tunneling through the environmental Kuznets curve. Ecological Economics. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0921-8009(98)00062-7
Ntanos, S., Kyriakopoulos, G., Chalikias, M., Arabatzis, G., Skordoulis, M., Galatsidas, S., & Drosos, D. (2018). A social assessment of the usage of renewable energy sources and its contribution to life quality: The case of an Attica urban area in Greece. Sustainability. https://doi.org/10.3390/su10051414
Ntanos, S., Skordoulis, M., Kyriakopoulos, G., Arabatzis, G., Chalikias, M., Galatsidas, S., & Katsarou, A. (2018). Renewable energy and economic growth: Evidence from European countries. Sustainability. https://doi.org/10.3390/su10082626
Panayotou, T. (1993). Empirical tests and policy analysis of environmental degradation at different stages of economic development. ILO Working Papers 992927783402676, International Labour Organization. No. WEP 2–22/WP.238, Geneva, Switzerland.
Papageorgiou, A., Skordoulis, M., Trichias, C., Georgakellos, D.,Koniordos, M. (2015). Emissions trading scheme: Evidence from the European Union countries. In Communications in Computer and Information Science; Kravets, A., Shcherbakov, M., Kultsova, M., Shabalina, O. Eds. (pp. 222–233).
Pedroni, P. (2004). Panel cointegration; asymptotic and finite sample properties of pooled time series tests with an application to the PPP hypothesis. Econ Theory. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0266466604203073
Pendril, I. F., Persson, U. M., Godar, J., & Kastner, T. (2019). Deforestation displaced: trade in forest-risk commodities and the prospects for a global forest transition. Environ Res Lett. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ab0d41
Pirard, R., & Belna, K. (2012). Agriculture and deforestation: Is REDD+ rooted in evidence? Forest Pol Econ. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.forpol.2012.01.012
Rudel, T. K., Coomes, O. T., Moran, E., Achard, F., Angelsen, A., Xu, J., & Lambin, E. (2005). Forest transitions: Towards a global understanding of land use change. Global Environmental Change. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2004.11.001
Scriban, R. E., Nichiforel, L., Bouriaud, L. G., Barnoaiea, I., Cosofret, V. C., & Barbu, C. O. (2019). Governance of the forest restitution process in Romania: An application of the DPSIR model. Forest Policy and Economics, 99, 59–67.
Shafik, N. (1994). Economic development and environmental quality: An econometric analysis. Oxford Economic Papers. https://doi.org/10.1093/oep/46.Supplement_1.757
Skordoulis, M., Chalikias, M., Galatsidas, S., & Arabatzis, G. (2019) Competitive Advantage Establishment through Sustainable Environmental Management and Green Entrepreneurship: A Proposed Differential Equations Framework. In International Conference on Information and Communication Technologies in Agriculture, Food & Environment; Springer Cham, (pp 205–219).
Skoutaras, D. (2010). Tropical forests: Problems and opportunities of confrontation. MSc thesis. Department of Planning and Regional Development, School of Engineering. University of Thessaly, Volos, 99 pp (in Greek).
Smith, P., Bustamante, M., Ahammad, H., Clark, H., Dong, H., Elsiddig, E.A. et al. (2014). Agriculture forestry and other land use (AFOLU). In: Edenhofer, O., Pichs, Madruga, R., Sokona, Y., Farahani, E., Kadner, S., Seyboth, K., Adler, A., Baum, I., Brunner, S., Eickemeier, P., Kriemann, B., Savolainen, J., Schlömer, S., von Stechow, C., Zwickel, T., Minx, J.C., (Eds.) Climate Change 2014 Mitigation of Climate Change Contribution of Working Group III to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge.
Stern, D. I. (2004). The rise and fall of the environmental Kuznets curve. World Development. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.worlddev.2004.03.004
Stern, D. I., Common, M. S., & Barbier, E. B. (1996). Economic growth and environmental degradation: The environmental Kuznets curve and sustainable development. World Development. https://doi.org/10.1016/0305-750X(96)00032-0
Taff, G. N. (2005). Conflict between global and local land-use values in latvia’s gauja national park. Landscape Res. https://doi.org/10.1080/01426390500171227
Tazeen, H. (2021). Impact of agriculture on deforestation. International Journal of Modern Agriculture, 10(2), 2940–2947.
Tsiantikoudis, S., Zafeiriou, E., Kyriakopoulos, G. L., & Arabatzis, G. (2019). Revising the environmental kuznets curve for deforestation: An empirical study for Bulgaria. Sustainability. https://doi.org/10.3390/su11164364
Uusivuori, J., Lehto, E., & Palo, M. (2002). Population, income and ecological conditions as determinants of forest area variation in the tropics. Global Environmental Change, 12(4), 313–323. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0959-3780(02)00042-0
Zafeiriou, E., & Azam, M. (2017). CO2 emissions and economic performance in EU agriculture: Some evidence from Mediterranean countries. Ecological Indicators. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolind.2017.05.039
Zafeiriou, E., Sofios, S., & Partalidou, X. (2017). Environmental Kuznets curve for EU agriculture: Empirical evidence from new entrant EU countries. Environ Sci Pollution Res. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11356-017-9090-6
Živojinović, I., Gerhard, W., Lidestav, G., Feliciano, D., Hujala, T., Dobšinská, Z., Lawrence, A., Nybakk, E., Quiroga, S., Schraml, U. (2015). Forest land ownership change in Europe. COST Action FP1201 FACESMAP Country Reports: Joint Volume. EFICEEC-EFISEE Research Report, University of Natural Resources and Life Sciences, Vienna (BOKU), Vienna, Austria (2015), p. 693 (ISBN 978–3–900932–26–8) online publication.