Early dynamics of transmission and control of COVID-19: a mathematical modelling study
Tóm tắt
Từ khóa
Tài liệu tham khảo
2020
Camacho, 2015, Temporal changes in Ebola transmission in Sierra Leone and implications for control requirements: a real-time modelling study, PLoS Curr, 7
Funk, 2017, The impact of control strategies and behavioural changes on the elimination of Ebola from Lofa County, Liberia, Philos Trans R Soc Lond B Biol Sci, 372, 20160302, 10.1098/rstb.2016.0302
Riley, 2003, Transmission dynamics of the etiological agent of SARS in Hong Kong: impact of public health interventions, Science, 300, 1961, 10.1126/science.1086478
Viboud, 2018, The RAPIDD Ebola forecasting challenge: synthesis and lessons learnt, Epidemics, 22, 13, 10.1016/j.epidem.2017.08.002
Cooper, 2006, Delaying the international spread of pandemic influenza, PLoS Med, 3, e212, 10.1371/journal.pmed.0030212
Kucharski, 2015, Evaluation of the benefits and risks of introducing Ebola community care centers, Sierra Leone, Emerg Infect Dis, 21, 393, 10.3201/eid2103.141892
Aylward, 2014, Ebola virus disease in West Africa—the first 9 months of the epidemic and forward projections, N Engl J Med, 371, 1481, 10.1056/NEJMoa1411100
Nishiura, 2009, Early epidemiological assessment of the virulence of emerging infectious diseases: a case study of an influenza pandemic, PLoS One, 4, e6852, 10.1371/journal.pone.0006852
Birrell, 2018, Evidence synthesis for stochastic epidemic models, Stat Sci, 33, 34, 10.1214/17-STS631
Baguelin, 2013, Assessing optimal target populations for influenza vaccination programmes: an evidence synthesis and modelling study, PLoS Med, 10, e1001527, 10.1371/journal.pmed.1001527
Dureau, 2013, Capturing the time-varying drivers of an epidemic using stochastic dynamical systems, Biostatistics, 14, 541, 10.1093/biostatistics/kxs052
Li, 2020, Early transmission dynamics in Wuhan, China, of novel coronavirus–infected pneumonia, N Engl J Med, 10.1056/NEJMoa2001316
Liu, 2020, Transmission dynamics of 2019 novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV), bioRxiv
Riou, 2020, Pattern of early human-to-human transmission of Wuhan 2019 novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV), December 2019 to January 2020, Euro Surveill, 10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2020.25.4.2000058
Lloyd-Smith, 2005, Superspreading and the effect of individual variation on disease emergence, Nature, 438, 355, 10.1038/nature04153
Kucharski, 2015, The role of superspreading in Middle East respiratory syndrome coronavirus (MERS-CoV) transmission, Euro Surveill, 20, 14, 10.2807/1560-7917.ES2015.20.25.21167
Hellewell, 2020, Feasibility of controlling 2019-nCoV outbreaks by isolation of cases and contacts, medRxiv
Imai
Pullano, 2020, Novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) early-stage importation risk to Europe, January 2020, Euro Surveill, 25, 2000057, 10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2020.25.4.2000057
Lai