Drought prediction using a wavelet based approach to model the temporal consequences of different types of droughts

American Meteorological Society, 1997, Policy statement: meteorological drought, Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 78, 847, 10.1175/1520-0477-78.5.847 Bayazit, 2001, Nonparametric streamflow simulation by wavelet or Fourier analysis, Hydrol. Sci. J., 46, 623, 10.1080/02626660109492855 Burrus, 1998 Cao, 1995, Predicting chaotic time series with wavelet networks, Physica D, 85, 225 CPC, 2014. Soil Moisture (V2), NOAA/OAR/ESRL PSD, Boulder, Colorado, USA, Available on <http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/psd/data/gridded/data.cpcsoil.html> (accessed in November, 2014). Das, M., Ghosh, S.K., 2014. A probabilistic approach for weather forecast using spatio-temporal inter-relationships among climate variables. In: Industrial and Information Systems (ICIIS), 2014, 9th International Conference on. IEEE, pp. 1–6. Das, 2015, A hydrometeorological approach for probabilistic simulation of monthly soil moisture under bare and crop land conditions, Water Resour. Res., 51, 2336, 10.1002/2014WR016043 Daubechies, 1988, Orthonormal bases of compactly supported wavelets, Commun. Pure Appl. Math., 41, 909, 10.1002/cpa.3160410705 Dieppois, 2013, Quasi-decadal signals of Sahel rainfall and West African monsoon since the mid-twentieth century, J. Geophys. Res.: Atmos., 118, 12, 10.1002/2013JD019681 Duhamel, 1990, Fast Fourier transforms: a tutorial review and a state of the art, Signal Process., 19, 259, 10.1016/0165-1684(90)90158-U Fan, 2004, Climate Prediction Center global monthly soil moisture data set at 0.5 degree resolution for 1948 to present, J. Geophys. Res., 109, D10102, 10.1029/2003JD004345 Fleming, 2002, Practical applications of spectral analysis to hydrologic time series, Hydrol. Process., 16, 565, 10.1002/hyp.523 Huang, 1996, Analysis of model-calculated soil moisture over the United States (1931–1993) and applications to long-range temperature forecasts, J. Clim., 9, 1350, 10.1175/1520-0442(1996)009<1350:AOMCSM>2.0.CO;2 India-WRIS version 4, 2014. Non Classified Hydro Observation data at Jondhra Station, India, Available on <http://india-wris.nrsc.gov.in/HydroObservationStationApp.html> (accessed in November, 2014). Jiang, 2015, Separating the impacts of climate change and human activities on runoff using the Budyko-type equations with time-varying parameters, J. Hydrol., 522, 326, 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2014.12.060 Kang, 2007, Wavelet analysis of hydrological and water quality signals in an agricultural watershed, J. Hydrol., 338, 1, 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2007.01.047 Karthikeyan, 2013, Predictability of nonstationary time series using wavelet and EMD based ARMA models, J. Hydrol., 502, 103, 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2013.08.030 Keyantash, 2002, The quantification of drought: an evaluation of drought indices, Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 83, 1167, 10.1175/1520-0477-83.8.1167 Kim, 2003, Nonlinear model for drought forecasting based on a conjunction of wavelet transforms and neural networks, J. Hydrol. Eng., 8, 319, 10.1061/(ASCE)1084-0699(2003)8:6(319) Krause, 2005, Comparison of different efficiency criteria for hydrological model assessment, Adv. Geosci., 5, 89, 10.5194/adgeo-5-89-2005 Labat, 2000, Rainfall–runoff relations for karstic springs. Part II: continuous wavelet and discrete orthogonal multiresolution analyses, J. Hydrol., 238, 149, 10.1016/S0022-1694(00)00322-X Mabrouk, 2008, Wavelet decomposition and autoregressive model for time series prediction, Appl. Math. Comput., 199, 334 Madhu, 2015, Trend analysis of evapotranspiration and its response to droughts over India, Theoret. Appl. Climatol., 41, 10.1007/s00704-014-1210-3 Mallat, 1993, Matching pursuits with time–frequency dictionaries, IEEE Trans. Signal Process., 41, 3397, 10.1109/78.258082 Mallat, 1999 Massmann, 2014, A new approach to visualizing time-varying sensitivity indices for environmental model diagnostics across evaluation time-scales, Environ. Model. Softw., 51, 190, 10.1016/j.envsoft.2013.09.033 Maybank, 1995, Drought as a natural disaster, Atmos.-Ocean, 33, 195, 10.1080/07055900.1995.9649532 McKee, 1993, The relationship of drought frequency and duration to time scales, vol. 17(22), 179 Mo, 2008, Model-based drought indices over the United States, J. Hydrometeorol., 9, 1212, 10.1175/2008JHM1002.1 Ozger, 2011, Estimating Palmer Drought Severity Index using a wavelet fuzzy logic model based on meteorological variables, Int. J. Climatol., 31, 2021, 10.1002/joc.2215 Özger, 2012, Long lead time drought forecasting using a wavelet and fuzzy logic combination model: a case study in Texas, J. Hydrometeorol., 13, 284, 10.1175/JHM-D-10-05007.1 Pan, F., Smerdon, J.E., Stieglitz, M., Webster, P., 2005. A wavelet approach to reconstructing near-surface temperature time series from observations of subsurface temperatures at several meters depth. In: AGU Fall Meeting Abstracts. Peters, E., 2003. Propagation of drought through groundwater systems: illustrated in the Pang (UK) and Upper-Guadiana (ES) catchments, Wageningen Universiteit. Rajeevan, M., Bhate, J., 2008. A high resolution daily gridded rainfall Data Set (1971–2005) for Mesoscale Meteorological Studies, NCC research report, No. 9/2008. Available at <http://www.imdpune.gov.in/ncc_rept/RESEARCH%20REPORT%209.pdf> (accessed in November, 2014). Sang, 2016, Wavelet-based hydrological time series forecasting, J. Hydrol. Eng., 06016001, 10.1061/(ASCE)HE.1943-5584.0001347 Shannon, 1949, Communication in the presence of noise, Proc. IRE, 37, 10, 10.1109/JRPROC.1949.232969 Shukla, 2011, Drought monitoring for Washington State: indicators and applications, J. Hydrometeorol., 12, 66, 10.1175/2010JHM1307.1 Smith, 1998, Stream flow characterization and feature detection using a discrete wavelet transform, Hydrol. Process., 12, 233, 10.1002/(SICI)1099-1085(199802)12:2<233::AID-HYP573>3.0.CO;2-3 Soltani, 2002, On the use of the wavelet decomposition for time series prediction, Neurocomputing, 48, 267, 10.1016/S0925-2312(01)00648-8 Ujeneza, 2014, Drought regimes in Southern Africa and how well GCMs simulate them, Clim. Dyn., 44, 1595, 10.1007/s00382-014-2325-z van den Dool, 2003, Performance and analysis of the constructed analogue method applied to U.S. soil moisture over 1981–2001, J. Geophys. Res., 108, 10.1029/2002JD003114 Wang, 2015, Spatial and temporal variability of drought in the arid region of China and its relationships to teleconnection indices, J. Hydrol., 523, 283, 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2015.01.055 Westra, 2006, Dominant modes of interannual variability in Australian rainfall analyzed using wavelets, J. Geophys. Res., 111, 10.1029/2005JD005996 Willmott, 2012, A refined index of model performance, Int. J. Climatol., 32, 2088, 10.1002/joc.2419