Disruption of maritime trade chokepoints and the global LNG trade: An agent-based modeling approach

Abar, 2017, Agent based modelling and simulation tools: a review of the state-of-art software, Comput. Sci. Rev., 24, 13, 10.1016/j.cosrev.2017.03.001 Abay, E.G., 2021. Russia seeks to create alternative to Suez Canal via Northern Sea Route. Alderson, 2020, Analysis of the global maritime transportation system as a layered network, J. Transp. Secur., 13, 291, 10.1007/s12198-019-00204-z AnyLogic Company, 2021. AnyLogic Software [WWW Document]. URL https://www.anylogic.com/(accessed 10.1.21). Ari, 2021, Philanthropic-crowdfunding-partnership: a proof-of-concept study for sustainable financing in low-carbon energy transitions, Energy, 222, 10.1016/j.energy.2021.119925 Ari, 2019, Sustainable financing for sustainable development: agent-based modeling of alternative financing models for clean energy investments, Sustainability, 11, 1967, 10.3390/su11071967 Bailey, 2017 BBC, 2021a. Suez Canal: ships stuck in “traffic jam” as salvage efforts continue [WWW Document]. URL https://www.bbc.com/news/world-middle-east-56538653 (accessed 11.21.21). BBC, 2021b. Suez Canal reopens after giant stranded ship is freed. Bendall, 2010, Cost of piracy: a comparative voyage approach, Marit. Econ. Logist., 12, 178, 10.1057/mel.2010.1 Birol, 2011 BP, 2020. BP Statistical Review of World Energy 2020. London, UK. Brigham, 2021, The Suez Canal and Global Trade Routes, 147 Corbeau, 2016 Dimitroff, 2014, Cross-border oil and gas pipeline risk and sustainable mitigations, J. World Energy Law Bus., 7, 287, 10.1093/jwelb/jwu024 Energy Information Agency, 2017. World Oil Transit Chokepoints [WWW Document]. EIA - Indep. Stat. Anal. URL https://www.eia.gov/international/analysis/special-topics/World_Oil_Transit_Chokepoints (accessed 11.18.21). Feng, 2018, System dynamics model for battery recycling of electric vehicles in Anylogic simulation, Int. J. Internet Manuf. Serv., 5, 405 Feyrer, 2021, Distance, trade, and income — The 1967 to 1975 closing of the Suez canal as a natural experiment, J. Dev. Econ., 153, 10.1016/j.jdeveco.2021.102708 Foss, 2012 Fu, 2010, The impacts of maritime piracy on global economic development: the case of Somalia, Marit. Policy Manag., 37, 677, 10.1080/03088839.2010.524736 Fulwood, 2022 Funk, 2017 Gong, 2018, Strait/canal security assessment of the Maritime Silk Road, Int. J. Shipp. Transp. Logist., 10, 281, 10.1504/IJSTL.2018.091674 Graham, 2015, Maritime security and threats to energy transportation in Southeast Asia, RUSI J, 160, 20, 10.1080/03071847.2015.1031522 Heidari, 2017, The changing landscape of world gas markets at the horizon 2020, 1 Heppenstall, 2012 IEA, 2012. Golden Rules for a Golden Age of Gas. 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 Kilisek, 2014, Economics of Alaskan and US gulf coast LNG projects, Break. Energy. Kimura, S., Morikawa, T., Singh, S., 2015. Sea lane security of oil and liquefied natural gas in the East Asia Summit Region. Kitamura, 2017, Energy security and potential supply disruption: a case study in Japan, Energy Policy, 110, 90, 10.1016/j.enpol.2017.08.008 Komiss, 2011 Kosai, 2016, Conceptualizing maritime security for energy transportation security, J. Transp. Secur., 9, 175, 10.1007/s12198-016-0173-2 Ledesma, 2014 Lee, 2021, Suez Canal blockage: an analysis of legal impact, risks and liabilities to the global supply chain Leung, 2011, China's energy security: perception and reality, Energy Policy, 39, 1330, 10.1016/j.enpol.2010.12.005 Lin, 2019, Transport geography and geopolitics: visions, rules and militarism in China's Belt and Road Initiative and beyond, J. Transp. Geogr., 81, 0, 10.1016/j.jtrangeo.2019.05.001 Liu, 2010, The potential economic viability of using the Northern Sea Route (NSR) as an alternative route between Asia and Europe, J. Transp. Geogr., 18, 434, 10.1016/j.jtrangeo.2009.08.004 Meza, 2021, Future LNG competition and trade using an agent-based predictive model, Energy Strateg. Rev., 38 Meza, 2021, The LNG trade between Qatar and East Asia: potential impacts of unconventional energy resources on the LNG sector and Qatar's economic development goals, Resour. Policy, 70, 10.1016/j.resourpol.2020.101886 Meza, 2022, Perspectives and strategies for LNG expansion in Qatar: a SWOT analysis, Resour. Policy, 76, 10.1016/j.resourpol.2022.102633 Miah, 2019, Control over maritime chokepoints an assurance of secure lifeline, Bangladesh Marit. J., 3, 109 Muller, 2019, Nicaragua's Chinese-financed canal project still in Limbo, Dipl Muravev, 2021, Multi-agent optimization of the intermodal terminal main parameters by using AnyLogic simulation platform: case study on the Ningbo-Zhoushan Port, Int. J. Inf. Manage., 57, 10.1016/j.ijinfomgt.2020.102133 Narula, 2019, 117 Neumann, 2015 Notteboom, 2012, Towards a new intermediate hub region in container shipping? Relay and interlining via the Cape route vs. the Suez route, J. Transp. Geogr., 22, 164, 10.1016/j.jtrangeo.2012.01.003 Rodrigue, 2004, Straits, passages and chokepoints. A maritime geostrategy of petroleum distribution, Cah. Geogr. Que., 48, 357 Schach, 2018, Impacts of an ice-free Northeast Passage on LNG markets and geopolitics, Energy Policy, 122, 438, 10.1016/j.enpol.2018.07.009 Schøyen, 2011, The Northern Sea Route versus the Suez Canal: cases from bulk shipping, J. Transp. Geogr., 19, 977, 10.1016/j.jtrangeo.2011.03.003 Steuer, 2019 Tereshin, 2015, Golden age of gas and its impact on the world energy, the global carbon cycle and climate, Therm. Eng., 62, 311, 10.1134/S0040601515050122 2017, Expanded Panama Canal Operational for a Year, Marit. Exec. 2018 Vivoda, 2010, Evaluating energy security in the Asia-Pacific region: a novel methodological approach, Energy Policy, 38, 5258, 10.1016/j.enpol.2010.05.028 Von Hippel, 2011, Energy security and sustainability in Northeast Asia, Energy Policy, 39, 6719, 10.1016/j.enpol.2009.07.001 Willenski, 2015 Yip, 2015, The nicaragua canal: scenarios of its future roles, J. Transp. Geogr., 43, 1, 10.1016/j.jtrangeo.2015.01.002 Zhang, 2011, China's energy security, the Malacca dilemma and responses, Energy Policy, 39, 7612, 10.1016/j.enpol.2011.09.033